Less than 2 weeks out, your VA Gov race prediction.

[History505]

With less than 2 weeks until the Virginia Gov Race, who do you see pulling it out in the end?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Northam 51-47.

[TheSaint250]

I'd say that Northam wins by anywhere from +1 to +5, but in the event of a surprise result for Gillespie, the margin would be Gillespie by less than +1.

[BudgieForce]

Northam by high single digits. I'm putting my trust in Quinnipiac.

[KingSweden]

Northam +5

[Cynthia]

Northam 49.7 - 49.4

[UncleSam]

Northam 49.5 - Gillespie 48.5

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Northam 51-46.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Northam 51-47.

[Pericles]

Pessimistic scenario
Ed Gillespie-49.33%
Ralph Northam-48.68%
Gillespie by 0.65%

[Keep cool-idge]

I’m sticking with this margin that I have had since September 11th

Ed Gillespie 48.72%

Ralph Northam 48.31%

[Mr. Smith]

VA-GOV: Northam 48.72-48.1

This, but I wouldn't be surprised if Gillespie pulled it out.

[Keep cool-idge]

I’m sticking with this margin that I have had since September 11th

Ed Gillespie 48.72%

Ralph Northam 48.31%

Before everyone starts trashing me so far for predictions I have a 1.4% margin of error
Also I only got 3 states wrong for 2016 election
And my toss ups were  OHIO MICHIGAN NEVADA NORTH CAROLINA FLORIDA and NEW HAMPSHIRE which I said a few before the election would be the closest state.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What I want to happen:

I’m sticking with this margin that I have had since September 11th

Ed Gillespie 48.72%

Ralph Northam 48.31%

What I think will actually happen:

Northam 51.22%
Gillespie 46.26%

[Tartarus Sauce]

Northam wins by 5-10%.

The average for most of the polls aggregated is around +7 Northam.

[Pericles]

Pessimistic scenario
Ed Gillespie-49.33%
Ralph Northam-48.68%
Gillespie by 0.65%

Optimistic scenario
Ralph Northam-52.94%
Ed Gillespie-45.41%
Northam by 7.53%

Medium scenario
Ralph Northam-50.27%
Ed Gillespie-47.91%
Northam by 2.36%

[TML]

Since Northam's average lead has been smaller than Warner's average lead in 2014, I suspect there is a good chance this one will go down to the wire just like the 2014 race. In other words, the identity of the winner will probably not be apparent until over 95% of the precincts report their results.

[Keep cool-idge]

Since Northam's average lead has been smaller than Warner's average lead in 2014, I suspect there is a good chance this one will go down to the wire just like the 2014 race. In other words, the identity of the winner will probably not be apparent until over 95% of the precincts report their results.

Yep don’t forget the reason I’m saying Gillespie is going to win is because KC in 2013 and EG in 2014 never led in 1 poll. Heck McAuliffe was up in the average by 6.7 points only won by 2.5.
So if that happens again in 2017 then Gillespie is going to be called at 95-99% in.

[LimoLiberal]

+5 Northam. To be more exact, +4.6 Northam.

[Cactus Jack]

Because someone needs to be the optimist to everybody else's Eeyore: Northam +9.

I'm prepared to eat that prediction on Election Day if I have to.

[Sir Mohamed]

Governor:

✓ Ralph Northam: 50.7%
Ed Gillipsie: 46.3%


Lieutenant Governor:

✓ Justin Fairfax: 49.0%
Jill Vogel: 47.8%

[_]

Northam:  48.7%
Gillespie:  48.1%

Vogel:  50.2%
Fairfax:  49.8%

[Canis]

Northam 48-46
Northam wins by two points

[windjammer]

Northam +7

[Hoosier_Nick]

50-46 Northam