Fusion states (user search)
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  Fusion states (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fusion states  (Read 2049 times)
The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ
laddicus finch
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,850


« on: December 18, 2020, 06:28:04 PM »

How about Marylansas (Maryland x Kansas)? New Mexicohio? Tongue

Marylansas:
2020: 58-40
2016: 53-41
2012: 55-43
2008: 55-43
2004: 50-49 (rounded from 49.5-49.3, a real nail biter)
2000: 50-46
1996: 47-44
1992: 44-37-19
1988: 53-46
1984: 58-42
1980: 49-42-7
1976: 50-49
1972: 65-34
1968: 47-40-13
1964: 61-39
1960: 53-47

Bellwether from 1964-1996, and perpetually close except for landslides. Obama wins with a 12-pt margin in 2008, and by holding that margin in 2012 solidified its safe state status.

It's actually pretty similar to Michigan, voted the same way from 1980 to 2012. But while Michigan moved to the right post-Obama, marylansas did the opposite
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The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ
laddicus finch
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,850


« Reply #1 on: December 19, 2020, 10:13:39 PM »
« Edited: December 19, 2020, 10:32:34 PM by laddicus finch »

Washingtouisiana (WA+LA)

1960: D 49-42 R (8 for unpledged electors)
1964: D 54-45 R
1968: D 39-35 R (26 for George Wallace)

1972: R 60-34 D
1976: D 49-48 R
1980: R 50-41 D (6 for John Anderson)
1984: R 58-41 D
1988: R 51-47 D

1992: D 44-36 R (18 for Ross Perot)
1996: D 51-39 R (8 for Ross Perot)
2000: D 48-48 R (Gore wins by less than 0.2%, and he actually ends up winning the electoral college)

2004: R 50-49 D
2008: D 50-47 R
2012: D 50-48 R
2016: D 48-46 R
2020: D 52-46 R



Relative to the nation:

1960: 7 points more D than national average
1964: 14 points more R
1968: 13 points more American Independent
1972: 3 points more R
1976: 1 point more R

1980: 1 point more D
1984: 1 point more D
1988: 4 points more D
1992: 2 points more D
1996: 3 points more D

2000: EVEN
2004: 1 point more D
2008: 4 points more R
2012: 2 points more R

2016: EVEN
2020: 2 points more D
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The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ
laddicus finch
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,850


« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2020, 03:00:35 PM »


New Mexicohio:

1960: R 53-47 D
1964: D 63-37 R
1968: R 47-43 D (10 for Wallace)
1972: R 60-38 D

1976: D 49-49 R (Carter wins by 845 votes)
1980: R 52-41 D
1984: R 59-40 D
1988: R 55-44 D

1992: D 41-38 R (20 for Perot)
1996: D 48-41 R

2000: R 50-47 D
2004: R 51-49 D

2008: D 52-46 R
2012: D 51-47 R

2016: R 50-44 D
2020: R 52-46 D


In other words, this fusion is literally just Ohio. It voted the same way as Ohio since 1960, and with either the same or very close margins. NM is just too small and not partisan enough to make a real difference. The most notable election is 1976, when New Mexico's Republican lean meant the state came down to less than 1000 votes. But even if Ford had carried New Mexicohio, Carter would still have enough electoral votes to win.
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