OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Horrid news for Cordray. He's gonna need to win districts like this in order to take back the State House when the South-Eastern corner of the state votes like West Virginia.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Judging from Trump's tweet, even he's discomforted by the margin.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Horrid news for Cordray. He's gonna need to win districts like this in order to take back the State House when the South-Eastern corner of the state votes like West Virginia.

lol

[BudgieForce]

Kornacki said provisional and absentee ballots have to be counted by the 17th. So uhm...we've got at least another week before we get the final results.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Guys, we needa learn how to take an L.

[Lachi]

Horrid news for Cordray. He's gonna need to win districts like this in order to take back the State House when the South-Eastern corner of the state votes like West Virginia.

Cordray will probably have to keep the margin close, but he doesn't have to win this district outright

[NOVA Green]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house!

Look Bagel----

I'll be unusually blunt which is not my typical style.

Your "Election Analysis" on this thread quite frankly sucks, and has added 0% to the overall conversation, regardless of Partisan affiliation on the part of the vast majority of Atlas posters on the thread.

Sure, I'll give my PUB knowledgeable contributors the credit that the current evidence appears that Balderson won narrowly.

Still, you seem to forget the basic data, and neglect the fundamental point that the OH State Gvt has been systematically finding various ways of disenfranchising legit voters as part of a systematic effort to control of the levers of POWER within the great state of Ohio.

The slippery weasels essentially put ~ 5% of the entire voting population of OH CD-12 SE into a "Provisional Voting" category, and now you are bending down and worshiping at the altar of "Free and Fair elections"....

Call me confused as a former Resident of the Buckeye State?

[BudgieForce]

Judging from Trump's tweet, even he's discomforted by the margin.

Yeah, "tough time for voting" is code for Democrats over performing.

[Tekken_Guy]

Kornacki said provisional and absentee ballots have to be counted by the 17th. So uhm...we've got at least another week before we get the final results.

Yeah. Troy’s got the seat. The margin tonight is wider than Lamb’s was.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house!

Look Bagel----

I'll be unusually blunt which is not my typical style.

Your "Election Analysis" on this thread quite frankly sucks, and has added 0% to the overall conversation, regardless of Partisan affiliation on the part of the vast majority of Atlas posters on the thread.

Sure, I'll give my PUB knowledgeable contributors the credit that the current evidence appears that Balderson won narrowly.

Still, you seem to forget the basic data, and neglect the fundamental point that the OH State Gvt has been systematically finding various ways of disenfranchising legit voters as part of a systematic effort to control of the levers of POWER within the great state of Ohio.

The slippery weasels essentially put ~ 5% of the entire voting population of OH CD-12 SE into a "Provisional Voting" category, and now you are bending down and worshiping at the altar of "Free and Fair elections"....

Call me confused as a former Resident of the Buckeye State?

I may have been a little off in the margin, but I picked the right candidate.

[mds32]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house!

Look Bagel----

I'll be unusually blunt which is not my typical style.

Your "Election Analysis" on this thread quite frankly sucks, and has added 0% to the overall conversation, regardless of Partisan affiliation on the part of the vast majority of Atlas posters on the thread.

Sure, I'll give my PUB knowledgeable contributors the credit that the current evidence appears that Balderson won narrowly.

Still, you seem to forget the basic data, and neglect the fundamental point that the OH State Gvt has been systematically finding various ways of disenfranchising legit voters as part of a systematic effort to control of the levers of POWER within the great state of Ohio.

The slippery weasels essentially put ~ 5% of the entire voting population of OH CD-12 SE into a "Provisional Voting" category, and now you are bending down and worshiping at the altar of "Free and Fair elections"....

Call me confused as a former Resident of the Buckeye State?

Harsh.

[BuckeyeNut]

Frankly good results for Cordray this fall.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Frankly good results for Cordray this fall.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Guys, we needa learn how to take an L.

We are, this is visibly less painful for Atlas Democrats compared to the Ossoff loss a little over a year ago. It’s a lot easier to take it on the chin when we have so many indicators pointing to a favorable midterm environment and Republicans barely clinching a race that shouldn’t have been competitive. I think you’re overreacting a bit.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

[AtorBoltox]

Fantastic result for democrats tonight

[Zaybay]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

So, thats good. This means that Rs are tricked into thinking the R wave is real, Ds are more motivated to come out, and we here know the truth.

[Virginiá]

Guys, we needa learn how to take an L.

We are, this is visibly less painful for Atlas Democrats compared to the Ossoff loss a little over a year ago. It’s a lot easier to take it on the chin when we have so many indicators pointing to a favorable midterm environment and Republicans barely clinching a race that shouldn’t have been competitive. I think you’re overreacting a bit.

Bagel seems like he drinks too much caffeine and/or takes too much adderall around election time lol

I don't really see many people unable to accept a loss. I see a lot of people correctly stating or in some way acknowledging that losing by <1 point in a R+7 / T+11 and historically R district is not the same as a win but still informative that Ds are finally going to get a very good midterm and regain some power in DC. I also see the usual posters trying to move the goal posts and act as if this race is supposed to be competitive in the first place.

[InheritTheWind]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

So if I'm a swing voter in and I see "R beats D in congressional election" on the news, am I supposed to immediately think "well I guess this means I'm voting GOP in November"

[BudgieForce]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

But Fox wont report that. They havent called the race either. It'll be "too close to call, Balderson hold small lead" or something like that.

[mds32]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

So if I'm a swing voter in and I see "R beats D in congressional election" on the news, am I supposed to immediately think "well I guess this means I'm voting GOP in November"

No that's what all the political signs of candidates on roadways are supposed to do lol

[Nyvin]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

The "average voter" outside of OH-12 had no clue this election even happened.

[InheritTheWind]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

So if I'm a swing voter in and I see "R beats D in congressional election" on the news, am I supposed to immediately think "well I guess this means I'm voting GOP in November"

No that's what all the political signs of candidates on roadways are supposed to do lol

Exactly. Which is why I think "The average voter will think Balderson won so that's bad news for the Dems" is a terrible take — there's no way in hell the results of some random special election is gonna influence the vote of anyone outside of it.

[IceSpear]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

Yeah, because FOX News watchers are so winnable...

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Guys, we needa learn how to take an L.

We are, this is visibly less painful for Atlas Democrats compared to the Ossoff loss a little over a year ago. It’s a lot easier to take it on the chin when we have so many indicators pointing to a favorable midterm environment and Republicans barely clinching a race that shouldn’t have been competitive. I think you’re overreacting a bit.

Bagel seems like he drinks too much caffeine and/or takes too much adderall around election time lol

I don't really see many people unable to accept a loss. I see a lot of people correctly stating or in some way acknowledging that losing by <1 point in a R+7 / T+11 and historically R district is not the same as a win but still informative that Ds are finally going to get a very good midterm and regain some power in DC. I also see the usual posters trying to move the goal posts and act as if this race is supposed to be competitive in the first place.

I've never had dexies or pep pills, and I have not intentionally drank caffeine for over 3 weeks.