OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[IceSpear]

Balderson is soaring! 1700 vote lead.

It's going to fun watching all of you in horror as the returns come in in November. I've been where you are, hitting that wall after you run out of denial is harsh.

He's just trolling.

[Devout Centrist]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

[IceSpear]

Well ugh.

Democrats needed to win this by 3 or more points to prove that they had not lost momentum since the PA-18 special.

It seems that they did not win at all.

This is not how politics works.

Political environment is extremely important, but it's not going to dictate the margin of every single race down to the decimal point.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Balderson is soaring! 1700 vote lead.

It's going to fun watching all of you in horror as the returns come in in November. I've been where you are, hitting that wall after you run out of denial is harsh.

He's just trolling.

But there are people who aren't, and they need to hear it too.

[john cage bubblegum]

The provisional ballots are not gonna save O'Connor. People saying "it's over" ought to keep saying it as long as there's posters who believe there's a golden box of absentees waiting to be picked up in Franklin County.

It's fair at this point to say that this is a Balderson win.  What some of us were critcizing was declaring a race over when there was still a lot of Delaware Co. out, with no real knowledge of what precincts had yet to be counted.

Basically, this is the reverse of PA-18, an absolute coinflip that appears to have landed in favor of the GOP this time.  But as IceSpear said, these are not districts you want to be coinflips, especially when you consider that these specials are not low turnout exceptions.  200k people voted in OH-12 and PA-18; that's midterm level turnout.

[Zaybay]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

.....

This about sums up my opinion on this:

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1027016496877318144


A win would have been nice, but there is no real difference between 50.1 - 49.3 or whatever it is right now, other than Danny boy loses. But in terms of forecasting the midterm general election, the difference between 50.1 for Baldie and 50.1 for Danny is neglible. It still points to a major shift in support away from the Republican Party and towards the Democratic Party: aka, bad news for Rs in November.

[BudgieForce]

Balderson is soaring! 1700 vote lead.

It's going to fun watching all of you in horror as the returns come in in November. I've been where you are, hitting that wall after you run out of denial is harsh.

He's just trolling.

Sanchez and Krazen know Republicans are screwed in November. That's why they never post anything of substance anymore.

[KingSweden]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

Lolwut

[Zaybay]

Based on the swing, partisan lean of the district, and previous performances, this is in line with a D+11-D+13 result in Nov.

[Atlas Force]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

.....

This about sums up my opinion on this:

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1027016496877318144


A win would have been nice, but there is no real difference between 50.1 - 49.3 or whatever it is right now, other than Danny boy loses. But in terms of forecasting the midterm general election, the difference between 50.1 for Baldie and 50.1 for Danny is neglible. It still points to a major shift in support away from the Republican Party and towards the Democratic Party: aka, bad news for Rs in November.

He’s being sarcastic.

[Devout Centrist]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

Lolwut

Go back to my post and click the link

[Zaybay]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

Lolwut

Go back to my post and click the link

link is broken

[Devout Centrist]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_2010)

Lolwut

Go back to my post and click the link

link is broken

Well here it is again

[Zaybay]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_2010)

Lolwut

Go back to my post and click the link

link is broken

Well here it is again

there we go, now it works. You are right though, and that election was a D overpreformance.

This election corresponds with a D10-14 election, so Im happy with that.

[ON Progressive]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

Do you seriously think anyone switches their vote based on some random tech writer? LOL.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Reported Beet for trolling... not like the admins are going to do anything about it.

[Beet]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

Do you seriously think anyone switches their vote based on some random tech writer? LOL.

Given how close it was, I honestly believe this story swung it, yes. So did Trump coming to campaign for Balderson, though.

[Virginiá]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/mobile/000/026/832/jeongtweet.jpg

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

So do you actually have any evidence this had any impact whatsoever or are you just throwing that out there to be snarky?

[Devout Centrist]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

What the hell is that, no. I'm lamenting how we couldn't win a historically favorable district! Our Presidential nominee won here not too long ago. And we still only had a modest swing. Red wave is dead folks, it's over. We couldn't win the 12th district.

[Gass3268]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/mobile/000/026/832/jeongtweet.jpg

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

So do you actually have any evidence this had any impact whatsoever or are you just throwing that out there to be snarky?

Can you de-Mod him? A troll should not be a mod.

[IceSpear]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

Wow, OH-12 must really love that message then, considering they went from R+37 just two short years ago to a mere R+1 now!

Sarah whatever for president!

[Adam Griffin]

Guys, those of us with enough common sense to put the dips[inks]ts on full ignore don't have to see any of their commentary - until you mindlessly quote it and break the system. Stop it.

[Sestak]

Eh, this one was a long shot anyway. I don’t think the Democrats had the candidate quality advantage they would have needed here.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Christ what a horrible performance! And in a district where our nominee did so well not too long ago. Damn, this is not good. We're gonna have to do much better than this in November. I can't believe that we couldn't take the 12th...I mean, my god...we couldn't win Murtha's old seat.

I think we need to reevaluate our prospects after this loss...maybe the Midwest and MidAtlantic is just not responding to our message.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_201)

https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/mobile/000/026/832/jeongtweet.jpg

Who woulda thunk the Midwest would not respond to the message? Deplorables!

So do you actually have any evidence this had any impact whatsoever or are you just throwing that out there to be snarky?

Can you de-Mod him? A troll should not be a mod.

leave Beet alone!

[Adam Griffin]

Delaware has fully reported (at least accordiing to their website):

R 31742   53.96   
G 226   0.38
D 26854   45.65

That gives Balderson an additional 1514 and O'Connor 1436.