OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[BudgieForce]

It will come down to Delaware county, and unsurprisingly, Delaware county is taking forever to report in.

[Oryxslayer]

69 precincts in Franklin
33 in Licking
1 Muskigum
35 Richland
156 Delaware.

It is really going to be Delaware - the rest will cancel each other out.

[Nyvin]

Are we really going to see every county finish reporting before Delaware reports 10 precincts?

[ajc0918]

DOC pollster:
https://twitter.com/JasonMMcGrath/status/1026999637352357889

[Virginiá]

The gloating from Trump/GOP if Balderson wins will be unbearable no matter how narrow there will be endless talk of #RedWave Dems are doomed.

It's pretty sad that Trump/some Republicans feel this overwhelming need to counter the blue wave narrative with a polar-opposite "red wave" narrative of their own. I mean, really? You'd have to be a moron to think this election would actually be a Republican wave year. There is absolutely nothing suggesting anything close to an R wave and actually most of the data suggests the opposite. The best argument is that Democrats will fall short of expectations in the end and it'll be more neutral even if somewhat Dem-leaning, which would lead to Rs possibly keeping Congress/the House. That is a far better rebuttal that is grounded in reality.

Instead, you just have people reflexively spewing unadulterated BS just to counter every single theory of the election from the left. Do they not care at all about looking like idiots on election day?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1026999737592016896

[136or142]

51.4%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   60,535   
48%   Troy Balderson   GOP   56,568   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   780   
54% of precincts reporting (319/591)
117,883 total votes

[NOVA Green]

Here are the precincts that have fully reported in Franklin County....

Where are the outstanding votes and what types of ED margins might we expect?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Danny O’Connor
Democrat
60,535   51.4%   
Troy Balderson
Republican
56,568   48.0   
Joe Manchik
Green
780   0.7   
117,883 votes, 54% reporting (319 of 591 precincts)

[ajc0918]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1027000054505250817

[adrac]

Delaware county looking bad...

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Delaware County is in

Cue the 'doom & gloom'...

[100% pro-life no matter what]

ED vote in Delaware helping Balderson.  The county is now 50-49 with only 20-some precincts in.  Race down to 3.4 points.

[136or142]

69 precincts in Franklin
33 in Licking
1 Muskigum
35 Richland
156 Delaware.

It is really going to be Delaware - the rest will cancel each other out.

Have any precincts in Delaware Country reported yet?

[ajc0918]

I'm to pack it up.

[Alabama_Indy10]

The gloating from Trump/GOP if Balderson wins will be unbearable no matter how narrow there will be endless talk of #RedWave Dems are doomed.

It's pretty sad that Trump/some Republicans feel this overwhelming need to counter the blue wave narrative with a polar-opposite "red wave" narrative of their own. I mean, really? You'd have to be a moron to think this election would actually be a Republican wave year. The best argument is that Democrats will fall short of exprectations in the end and it'll be more neutral even if somewhat Dem-leaning, which would lead to Rs possibly keeping Congress/the House. That is a far better rebuttal that is grounded in reality.

Instead, you just have people reflexively spewing unadulterated BS just to counter every single theory of the election from the left. Do they not care at all about looking like idiots on election day?

What’s inspiring or motivating about saying that it’s a neutral or tilt D year? He’s trying to fire up the base and get them to the polls

[Oryxslayer]

Richland Dump, O'Conner barely ahead.

1 Muskigum
5 Richland
33 Licking

134 Delaware

69 franklin

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

I think a bunch more of Richland just dumped as well.

[MAINEiac4434]

69 precincts in Franklin
33 in Licking
1 Muskigum
35 Richland
156 Delaware.

It is really going to be Delaware - the rest will cancel each other out.

Have any precincts in Delaware Country reported yet?

25 just came in.

[Gass3268]

Balderson took the lead

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Nate Cohn now expecting turnout below 200k

Democrats are busing in blacks from Chicago to steal to election at the last minute. Bad!

[Hindsight was 2020]

I’d say Troy will barely win

[136or142]

   50.6%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   62,804   
48.7%   Troy Balderson   GOP   60,486   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   826   
59.1% of precincts reporting (349/591)
124,116 total votes

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The red avatars are really insufferable in this thread...

GEM said that DOC really shouldn't be concerned unless the Delaware vote turns R+10.