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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2019 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  NJ-Fox News Poll: Murphy +14
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Author Topic: NJ-Fox News Poll: Murphy +14  (Read 870 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: October 17, 2017, 06:01:51 pm »

Murphy - 47%
Guadagno - 33%
Someone else - 8%
Unsure - 11%

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http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/10/17/fox-news-poll-guadagno-trails-murphy-by-14-in-new-jersey-governor-race.html
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2017, 06:11:05 pm »

Safe D nothing to see here
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2017, 06:14:47 pm »


Eh, I think there's a kind of an interesting story underneath the surface. Am I the only one who thinks it's kinda sad that Dems are only matching Clinton's margin here when a) the political environment is supposedly far better for Democrats now than it was a year ago b) Trump's approval is in the high 20s/low 30s in the state c) Christie's approval is in the 10s d) the Republican candidate is Christie's lieutenant governor and e) Murphy is vastly outspending Guadagno?

Meh, I guess I should just be happy Dems will finally win something for once.
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#Klobmentum
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2017, 06:37:08 pm »


Eh, I think there's a kind of an interesting story underneath the surface. Am I the only one who thinks it's kinda sad that Dems are only matching Clinton's margin here when a) the political environment is supposedly far better for Democrats now than it was a year ago b) Trump's approval is in the high 20s/low 30s in the state c) Christie's approval is in the 10s d) the Republican candidate is Christie's lieutenant governor and e) Murphy is vastly outspending Guadagno?

Meh, I guess I should just be happy Dems will finally win something for once.

Damn, you came back all jaded.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2017, 06:42:51 pm »


Eh, I think there's a kind of an interesting story underneath the surface. Am I the only one who thinks it's kinda sad that Dems are only matching Clinton's margin here when a) the political environment is supposedly far better for Democrats now than it was a year ago b) Trump's approval is in the high 20s/low 30s in the state c) Christie's approval is in the 10s d) the Republican candidate is Christie's lieutenant governor and e) Murphy is vastly outspending Guadagno?

Meh, I guess I should just be happy Dems will finally win something for once.

Damn, you came back all jaded.

lol, somewhat. I mean, I feel like my points are pretty accurate though. Tongue
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2017, 06:49:57 pm »


Eh, I think there's a kind of an interesting story underneath the surface. Am I the only one who thinks it's kinda sad that Dems are only matching Clinton's margin here when a) the political environment is supposedly far better for Democrats now than it was a year ago b) Trump's approval is in the high 20s/low 30s in the state c) Christie's approval is in the 10s d) the Republican candidate is Christie's lieutenant governor and e) Murphy is vastly outspending Guadagno?

Meh, I guess I should just be happy Dems will finally win something for once.

Yes, you should just be happy that Dems win something. At the end of the day there isn't much difference between Murphy +15 and Murphy +30 in terms of what it will mean for the future of NJ.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2017, 06:56:31 pm »


Eh, I think there's a kind of an interesting story underneath the surface. Am I the only one who thinks it's kinda sad that Dems are only matching Clinton's margin here when a) the political environment is supposedly far better for Democrats now than it was a year ago b) Trump's approval is in the high 20s/low 30s in the state c) Christie's approval is in the 10s d) the Republican candidate is Christie's lieutenant governor and e) Murphy is vastly outspending Guadagno?

Meh, I guess I should just be happy Dems will finally win something for once.

Yes, you should just be happy that Dems win something. At the end of the day there isn't much difference between Murphy +15 and Murphy +30 in terms of what it will mean for the future of NJ.

That's true for NJ, but even though I love my next door neighbors, I'm more concerned for the country as a whole. Tongue And it seems like whenever there's an actual election as opposed to polls taken months/years before one, there's not much to be optimistic about on that front. Murphy +15 and Murphy +30 may be roughly the same for NJ, but for the country as a whole they could signal two very different things.
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bronz4141
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2017, 08:41:17 pm »

The Guadagno ads and her property taxes campaign could be resonating with NJ voters...but Murphy will win by 10-20%.
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Kamala
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2017, 09:55:15 pm »

The thing is, Gwadawnoh wouldn't have been the worst governor. Miles better than Christie, but a Democrat is needed now to erase all of general Christie's terribleness .
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Arch
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2017, 10:13:47 pm »


Eh, I think there's a kind of an interesting story underneath the surface. Am I the only one who thinks it's kinda sad that Dems are only matching Clinton's margin here when a) the political environment is supposedly far better for Democrats now than it was a year ago b) Trump's approval is in the high 20s/low 30s in the state c) Christie's approval is in the 10s d) the Republican candidate is Christie's lieutenant governor and e) Murphy is vastly outspending Guadagno?

Meh, I guess I should just be happy Dems will finally win something for once.

Damn, you came back all jaded.

I feel a lot like IceSpear. I'm glad I'm not alone.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2017, 09:08:09 am »

Still safe D, but looks like GOPers are coming home. Murphy won't crack the 60% mark. I think it will end up 56-40%.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2017, 09:18:24 am »

I'm thinking this probably ends up looking like McGreeveys 2001 win over Schundler, which was something like 56%-42%.
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