Switch Romney and McCain

[Alben Barkley]

2008:



2012:



That’s McCain’s best case scenario; I’m not sure he actually would have won OH or VA or even FL,  but he may have had a better chance than Romney.

2008 is pretty much exactly what I would have expected.

[Alben Barkley]

I’m confused by people giving Romney Indiana. McCain didn’t lose that state so much as Obama won it. I think Romney would have done worse across the board, for representing both the unpopular incumbent party and the “rich bank man” stereotype at a horrible time for that image. That’s why I flip the states that were within a couple points because I think he would have done a couple points worse basically everywhere but Utah.

Also I don’t think Arizona was “there yet” in 2008. Without McCain it would have been closer but I doubt it flips.