Trump approval ratings thread 1.2

[Gass3268]

IBD/TIPP:

Trump Approval - 35%

This is down a point from December, but no Disapproval numbers.

Source

[Landslide Lyndon]

IBD/TIPP:

Trump Approval - 35%

This is down a point from December, but no Disapproval numbers.

Source

WTF?

[Gass3268]

IBD/TIPP:

Trump Approval - 35%

This is down a point from December, but no Disapproval numbers.

Source

WTF?

Yeah, it looks like they only provide the approval number.

[Ronnie]

IBD/TIPP:

Trump Approval - 35%

This is down a point from December, but no Disapproval numbers.

Source

WTF?

I’m pretty sure that poll is this one.  Disapproval is 58%, and it was released over a week ago:

https://www.investors.com/politics/everything-is-looking-up-except-for-trumps-approval-rating-ibdtipp-poll/

[Gass3268]

IBD/TIPP:

Trump Approval - 35%

This is down a point from December, but no Disapproval numbers.

Source

WTF?

I’m pretty sure that poll is this one.  Disapproval is 58%, and it was released over a week ago:

https://www.investors.com/politics/everything-is-looking-up-except-for-trumps-approval-rating-ibdtipp-poll/

Thanks for finding that, I wasn't able to find it in the other article.

[LimoLiberal]

CNN 1/19

Approve: 40 (+5)
Disapprove: 55 (-4)

Pretty massive shift, although still extremely low.

[BudgieForce]

His baseline seems to be 39/55 give or take a few points. Sometimes he goes above it, sometimes he dips below it but he eventually always seems to return to it. Its probably not going to dramatically change unless the economy takes a dive or we get attacked.

[Young Conservative]

His baseline seems to be 39/55 give or take a few points. Sometimes he goes above it, sometimes he dips below it but he eventually always seems to return to it. Its probably not going to dramatically change unless the economy takes a dive or we get attacked.

I agree. He seems to be fairly stable. His max is about 42 and his bottom is usually about 36.

[LimoLiberal]

https://twitter.com/Brand_Allen/status/954476779196092416

Wow!

[BudgieForce]

https://twitter.com/Brand_Allen/status/954476779196092416

Wow!

I hate you.

[super6646]

https://twitter.com/Brand_Allen/status/954476779196092416

Wow!

I hate you.

He has improved (a bit) in just about every poll. Some polls show Trump moving up more than others, while some show him down a bit these last few days. Moves by 1-2% aren't really that big a deal, but I'm surprised that he's jumped 13% with registered voters in the CNN poll.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

https://twitter.com/Brand_Allen/status/954476779196092416

Wow!

I hate you.

He has improved (a bit) in just about every poll. Some polls show Trump moving up more than others, while some show him down a bit these last few days. Moves by 1-2% aren't really that big a deal, but I'm surprised that he's jumped 13% with registered voters in the CNN poll.

538 has him going back down again, even with CNN's biased poll.

[KingSweden]

His baseline seems to be 39/55 give or take a few points. Sometimes he goes above it, sometimes he dips below it but he eventually always seems to return to it. Its probably not going to dramatically change unless the economy takes a dive or we get attacked.

I agree. He seems to be fairly stable. His max is about 42 and his bottom is usually about 36.

I was saying exactly this the other idea. It’s a very delineated range.

[LimoLiberal]

His baseline seems to be 39/55 give or take a few points. Sometimes he goes above it, sometimes he dips below it but he eventually always seems to return to it. Its probably not going to dramatically change unless the economy takes a dive or we get attacked.

These "ranges" are just meant to be broken.

[King Lear]

Latest CNN survey:
Approval: 43%
Disapproval: 53%
I can not put into words how devastating these numbers are for Democrats, CNN’s last poll had Trump at 35% now they have him at 43%, this is roughly in line with Rasmussen (which has him at 45%). This bump in Trump approvals from every major pollster, alongside the obvious collapse of the Democratic generic ballot lead is extremely ominous for Democratic chances in November (especially for the 10 Democratic Senator’s in Trump states).

[KingSweden]

Latest CNN survey:
Approval: 43%
Disapproval: 53%
I can not put into words how devastating these numbers are for Democrats, CNN’s last poll had Trump at 35% now they have him at 43%, this is roughly in line with Rasmussen (which has him at 45%). This bump in Trump approvals from every major pollster, alongside the obvious collapse of the Democratic generic ballot lead is extremely ominous for Democratic chances in November (especially for the 10 Democratic Senator’s in Trump states).

At least get the numbers right, you hack

[Doimper]

Can we make a subforum called "The Garbage Dump" and set it so that LimoLiberal and King Lear are only allowed to post there?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Can we make a subforum called "The Garbage Dump" and set it so that LimoLiberal and King Lear are only allowed to post there?

I have found that putting them both on Ignore has greatly enhanced my Atlas experience.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

[IceSpear]

Trump is currently sitting at 40% approval. Unless you thought he was going to get less than 40% of the vote in 2020 (in which case you might be retarded), why do you care that he's rising? Would it really have mattered if more solid McCain voters approved of Bush and gave him a 45% rating instead of a 25% rating? It makes no practical difference. I'll be worried when Trump can expand beyond people that already voted for him, the vast majority of which will again rationalize a vote for him in 2020 even if Democrats nominated Jesus Christ himself.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Trump is currently sitting at 40% approval. Unless you thought he was going to get less than 40% of the vote in 2020 (in which case you might be retarded), why do you care that he's rising? Would it really have mattered if more solid McCain voters approved of Bush and gave him a 45% rating instead of a 25% rating? It makes no practical difference. I'll be worried when Trump can expand beyond people that already voted for him, the vast majority of which will again rationalize a vote for him in 2020 even if Democrats nominated Jesus Christ himself.

Jesus Christ isn't eligible.  He's not a natural-born citizen.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Trump is currently sitting at 40% approval. Unless you thought he was going to get less than 40% of the vote in 2020 (in which case you might be retarded), why do you care that he's rising? Would it really have mattered if more solid McCain voters approved of Bush and gave him a 45% rating instead of a 25% rating? It makes no practical difference. I'll be worried when Trump can expand beyond people that already voted for him, the vast majority of which will again rationalize a vote for him in 2020 even if Democrats nominated Jesus Christ himself.

This! All the concern trolling over people that are going to vote for him regardless. What matters is the Democratic nominee and getting OUR base out. These people are going to label whoever the Dems nominate as a gun hating, communist, gay, Anti-Christ Muslim infidel.

[Adam Griffin]

Trump is currently sitting at 40% approval. Unless you thought he was going to get less than 40% of the vote in 2020 (in which case you might be retarded), why do you care that he's rising? Would it really have mattered if more solid McCain voters approved of Bush and gave him a 45% rating instead of a 25% rating? It makes no practical difference. I'll be worried when Trump can expand beyond people that already voted for him, the vast majority of which will again rationalize a vote for him in 2020 even if Democrats nominated Jesus Christ himself.

I think there's something to be said about the subtle effects on turnout that can occur when dealing with two disparate points on the approval scale; had Bush been at 45% approval in 2008, downballot Republicans likely wouldn't have been wiped out to the extent that they were. A low approval rating is often indicative of apathy and despondence among the base - even if it's only a relative handful of voters here and there, it can add up quickly downballot. It adds up not just in terms of votes among those people, but it compounds in how much they volunteer, donate and so forth, which also affect how many votes they earn outside of their base.

Of course, the difference between 40% and 45% approval for a presidential election alone probably doesn't change the overall outcome in that specific race, but there are other reasons to care where that number falls.

[Pericles]

Latest CNN survey:
Approval: 43%
Disapproval: 53%
I can not put into words how devastating these numbers are for Democrats, CNN’s last poll had Trump at 35% now they have him at 43%, this is roughly in line with Rasmussen (which has him at 45%). This bump in Trump approvals from every major pollster, alongside the obvious collapse of the Democratic generic ballot lead is extremely ominous for Democratic chances in November (especially for the 10 Democratic Senator’s in Trump states).

43-53. Obama lost the House with less.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos/Reuters, Jan 14-18, 1570 adults

Approve 37 (-4)
Disapprove 59 (+5)

The 3 previous Ipsos polls were all at 41 approval and 54 or 55 disapproval.