Michigan county map predictions?
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Author Topic: Michigan county map predictions?  (Read 229 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 02, 2017, 09:14:17 PM »
discuss
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2017, 10:33:00 PM »
I think the first county to flip back to D would probably be Saginaw, due to its margin in 2016. The others I'm not sure in what order they might flip.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2017, 02:57:57 PM »
Kent (Grand Rapids)? Eaton (suburban Lansing)? Isabella (Indian reservation and Central Michigan University)?

Wild swings are possible against a President when the President is unpopular.

Thus 2016:

 

probably translates to this if Donald Trump should be as unpopular as he is now (roughly 56% disapproval) tries to get re-elected:



That's 2008, one of the worst years ever for a Republican nominee in Michigan. That year the Democrat got 57% of the vote in Michigan.
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