If NC is a swing state, then so is NM... (user search)
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  If NC is a swing state, then so is NM... (search mode)
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Author Topic: If NC is a swing state, then so is NM...  (Read 2014 times)
Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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Posts: 2,480


« on: August 31, 2017, 11:38:06 AM »

You're using the state's lean, relative to the national popular vote. The Dems have an advantage in the national popular vote, and therefore it's easier for them to win North Carolina than it is for the GOP to win New Mexico.
I'm not sure democrats actually have an advantage in the popular vote.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,480


« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2017, 03:54:15 PM »

You're using the state's lean, relative to the national popular vote. The Dems have an advantage in the national popular vote, and therefore it's easier for them to win North Carolina than it is for the GOP to win New Mexico.
I'm not sure democrats actually have an advantage in the popular vote.
In recent elections, they've won it more often than the Republicans and by larger margins than when Republicans did win it.
That's only mostly true if your criteria for recent is elections where democrats have won.
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