Well, New Mexico IS a swing state. Bush only lost it by 366 votes in 2004, primarily because of the early call of Florida for Gore. Were it not for that, he probably would've gotten the state. In 2004, he won there outright by about 10K votes.
NC, however, is not a real swing state, at least not at the presidential level. The only reason Obama got it in 2008 is because of high black turnout, and the only reason it was close this last time is because Trump was so unpopular as a candidate.
Generally, NC will be Lean R in most presidential elections.
Wait, earlier you were saying both are swing states due to the PVI of both states being similar, now you're saying one is because of older elections but the other isn't despite a more recent election....which story are you going with?
