Possible future winning maps?

[Sir Mohamed]

Looking forward into the 2030s and 2040s, may this be winning maps for Republicans and Democrats? Thoughts?

A relatively narrow Republican victory:

A relatively narrow Democratic victory:

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Narrow Republican Win

Narrow Democratic

[DPKdebator]

Comfortable Republican victory:

Narrow Republican victory:

Narrow Democratic victory:

Comfortable Democratic victory:

[Sir Mohamed]

Narrow Republican Win

Narrow Democratic

I don't see how NY is turning GOP in presidential elections.

[RINO Tom]

Narrow Republican Win

Narrow Democratic

I don't see how NY is turning GOP in presidential elections.

While Idaho and the Dakotas and Nebraska are oting GOP, LOL.

[RINO Tom]

Anyway, I think the Democrats will nominate someone significantly more populist in 2020, and I think that nominee will barely lose to Trump with a shockingly similar map (minus a few county switches).  Then I think Trump will be George W. Bush 2.0 in 2024, dooming the GOP to almost certain defeat.  I think a young progressive will win the Democratic nomination and election in 2024 and easily sail to a YUGE re-election in 2028, leaving the GOP in a similar feel in the 2030s that they had in the 1930s.  At this point, I think they'll take a similar roll that they did back then, arguing that they will more efficiently implement and administer the current rather popular policies of the Democrats.  After Democratic fatigue post-2030s, I think the GOP will start to regain its spot as the party of more upscale voters (well, I guess reinforce would be a better word, as they still do better with upscale voters) but also break through with more "minority" voters, especially ones who are more affluent.  The main dividing line in politics again becomes economics.  As for what the STATES are like then and how they would vote (accordingly), I have no idea.   Florida was a backwater swamp with a few people who'd vote Democrat until the day they died at one point, and before you knew it, it was the fastest growing and most Republican state in the South.  I think you can almost predict how the parties will change more easily than what states will vote for them.

[President Johnson]

The battleground map of the 2030s could look something like this:

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

2040 isn't just going to be 2016, but with trends extended.
If you did that in 1992, you'd get this (https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/alternate-electoral-maps.228375/page-453#post-14191204). You would miss on 19 states. If you just took 1992, you would miss on 14.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Narrow Republican Win

Narrow Democratic

I don't see how NY is turning GOP in presidential elections.

Lower urban margins, higher upstate ones.

[The_Doctor]

Anyway, I think the Democrats will nominate someone significantly more populist in 2020, and I think that nominee will barely lose to Trump with a shockingly similar map (minus a few county switches).  Then I think Trump will be George W. Bush 2.0 in 2024, dooming the GOP to almost certain defeat.  I think a young progressive will win the Democratic nomination and election in 2024 and easily sail to a YUGE re-election in 2028, leaving the GOP in a similar feel in the 2030s that they had in the 1930s.  At this point, I think they'll take a similar roll that they did back then, arguing that they will more efficiently implement and administer the current rather popular policies of the Democrats.

Yeah that's basically my timeline summarized. Except, I don't think Trump will be the nominee.

To be clear: you mean, the northern technocratic Republican Party who replaces the southern evangelicals, buttressed by the return of upscale whites who return from the progressive Democratic coalition of 2024 to the GOP (fleeing, as they were, the overreach of populist liberals in administering a bunch of government programs)?

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

The battleground map of the 2030s could look something like this: