1984 with economic conditions of 1982

[Sir Mohamed]

A huge factor in Reagan's landslide reelection of 1984 was the economy, which significatly imporoved, starting by late 1983/early 1984. The situation in 1982 was way different. The GOP lost ground in the midterms (-26 house seats) and the president was not very popular (just around 40% approval rating).

What if the econmic conditions of November 1982 had existed in November 1984? Can Mondale or the Democrats in general win that one?

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

I think it'd be closer, but not enough

[dw93]

Best case scenario for the Democrats. Reagan in this scenario would be like Obama in 2012.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Reagan would have lost with around 200 EVs imo.

[Agonized-Statism]

President Ronald Reagan (R-CA) / Vice President George Bush (R-TX) ✓
Fmr. Vice President Walter Mondale (D-MN) / Senator Gary Hart (D-CO)

Instead of star-spangled "Morning in America" optimism, we get a nastier Reagan campaign focused on crime and abortion in a return to his '60s form. I kinda get the impression that Mondale chose Ferraro because he knew he would lose anyway and just wanted to make history, so here he might go with Hart as he seriously considered IRL. Also IRL, the Farm Credit System and the USDA were only forced to admit that a farm debt crisis even existed in 1985, but a continuing early 1980s recession might trigger a backlash in the Midwest early. It's still not enough.