PPP - Alaska, Nevada, WV - Bad numbers for AHCA, could decide re-election !
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  PPP - Alaska, Nevada, WV - Bad numbers for AHCA, could decide re-election !
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Author Topic: PPP - Alaska, Nevada, WV - Bad numbers for AHCA, could decide re-election !  (Read 696 times)
Shadows
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« on: June 19, 2017, 10:47:50 PM »
« edited: June 19, 2017, 10:49:43 PM by Shadows »

Alaska -

Trump's approval - 44/48 (-4)
Lisa Murkowski - 35/43 (-8)
Trumpcare - 29/53 (-24)
Voting intention of Murkowski to Generic D - 39/31 (+8)
If Murkowski votes for AHCA, are you likely to vote for or against her - 22/49 (-27)


Nevada -

Trump's approval - 44/50 (-6)
Dean Heller - 31/44 (-13)
Trumpcare - 31/51 (-20)
Voting intention of Heller to Generic D - 39/46 (-7)
If Heller votes for AHCA, are you likely to vote for or against her - 27/45 (-18)

West Virginia -

Trump's approval - 55/36 (+19)
Shelly Capito - 42/33(+9)
Trumpcare - 35/11 (-6)
Voting intention of Shelly Capito to Generic D - 48/35 (+13)
If Heller votes for AHCA, are you likely to vote for or against her - 29/36 (-7)

http://www.savemycare.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/AlaskaResults.pdf
https://www.scribd.com/document/351703448/NevadaResults-06-14-17
http://www.savemycare.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/WestVirginiaResults.pdf

Surprised with Alaska where this is a much bigger issue than Nevada! If WV with such a high Trump approval disapproves of Trumpcare, then it is likely under water in every state !
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2017, 10:49:03 PM »

Capito I imagine is more vulnerable than Murko. Shame it's a ways off
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Shadows
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2017, 10:51:09 PM »

Capito I imagine is more vulnerable than Murko. Shame it's a ways off

Capito is from WV. One of the most solid states that went for Trump where he still has a +19 approval whereas he is in negative territory in Alaska. It is not going to be easy for Democrats in win in WV, Alaska may just be in play in 2020 !
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Skunk
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2017, 11:07:55 PM »

I doubt Trump's more popular in Alaska than Murkowski but that's just me.
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Matty
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2017, 11:28:54 PM »

On the surface, it seems weird that trump is more popular than heller and murkowksi in their home states.

PPP seems to get funky approval polls sometimes.
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JA
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« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2017, 11:30:43 AM »

It seems odd that Trump appears to be in a worse situation in Alaska, which he won by double-digits (yet has been trending Democratic lately), than Nevada, which he lost. It also seems unlikely that Murkowski has worse numbers than Trump. Overall, the results of this poll seem rather odd. Not to say that they're wrong, but it's very questionable.

Republicans need to find a way to come to terms with the new reality that a majority (or soon to be a majority) of Americans view healthcare as a right and that establishing yourself in opposition to the majority view on such a major issue won't payoff long-term.
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Shadows
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« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2017, 11:44:33 AM »

It seems odd that Trump appears to be in a worse situation in Alaska, which he won by double-digits (yet has been trending Democratic lately), than Nevada, which he lost. It also seems unlikely that Murkowski has worse numbers than Trump. Overall, the results of this poll seem rather odd. Not to say that they're wrong, but it's very questionable.

Republicans need to find a way to come to terms with the new reality that a majority (or soon to be a majority) of Americans view healthcare as a right and that establishing yourself in opposition to the majority view on such a major issue won't payoff long-term.

That's true although approval rankings for President & Senator need not imply 1 is more popular than the other. Murkowski won 44% of the vote in a multi-pronged race & has never won crossed 50%. Trump won Alaska 51-36 vs Hillary. That needn't imply Trump is more popular though !
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: June 20, 2017, 12:09:07 PM »

For what it's worth, Nevada and Alaska are tough states to poll, and I doubt Trump has similar approval numbers in both states unless Alaska has moved sharply against the GOP.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #8 on: June 20, 2017, 12:41:22 PM »

Has anyone pointed out that Murkowski isn't up for reelection until 2022?
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