WV-PPD: Manchin holding early 9-point lead over "generic Republican" (user search)
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  WV-PPD: Manchin holding early 9-point lead over "generic Republican" (search mode)
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Author Topic: WV-PPD: Manchin holding early 9-point lead over "generic Republican"  (Read 4516 times)
windjammer
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« on: June 17, 2017, 05:32:46 PM »

Clearly because of the WV polling bias that means he's actually down by 15!!!!

In all seriousness, this isn't implausible, and it could be that Manchin/Jenkins is a bit closer than this.
Match ups are never closer than "generic"
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windjammer
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Posts: 15,514
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« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2017, 08:05:24 AM »

^Exactly. I know people here think 2018 will be a massive Democratic wave year even in the "red" states, but I think all of these races will be highly competitive, with the GOP favored in IN and MO, and MT/WV/OH all as Tossups. We'll just have to see again. I'm not going to argue about this anymore, though.
I mean, I expect Trump to have a 35% approval rating. Meaning he will be unpopular in all these Trump dem states except ND and WV.
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