^Exactly. I know people here think 2018 will be a massive Democratic wave year even in the "red" states, but I think all of these races will be highly competitive, with the GOP favored in IN and MO, and MT/WV/OH all as Tossups. We'll just have to see again. I'm not going to argue about this anymore, though.
I mean, I expect Trump to have a 35% approval rating. Meaning he will be unpopular in all these Trump dem states except ND and WV.
It's really not worth arguing over. Half of Atlas thinks that 2018 will reflect 2016, so all we can do is wait and see who ends up right
Before a long absence I was actually an active poster in like 06/07 and yes Atlas has a tendency to have recency bias and thinks the map is set in stone. Probably because of the younger population. I saw 06/08/10/12/14/16. A lot of our posters may only faintly remember the 2008 election. Back in June 2008 it would be unthinkable of seeing Hillary Clinton losing West Virginia by a nearly 3 to 1 margin in a future election.