Maryland ungerrymandered map (user search)
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  Maryland ungerrymandered map (search mode)
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Author Topic: Maryland ungerrymandered map  (Read 2535 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: June 11, 2017, 06:03:59 PM »

This past decade, it would have been a 4D/3R/1T map.  Given how far left MD-06 and the outer DC suburbs in general moved last cycle, there probably isn't enough there to make a 3rd R district anymore, so it would probably be 5D/2R/1T.  MD still has a huge Republican geographical advantage.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2017, 06:18:58 PM »

This past decade, it would have been a 4D/3R/1T map.  Given how far left MD-06 and the outer DC suburbs in general moved last cycle, there probably isn't enough there to make a 3rd R district anymore, so it would probably be 5D/2R/1T.  MD still has a huge Republican geographical advantage.

It would take a Republican gerrymander to draw a 4D/3R/1T map.

Not really, I can do a map that like that with rectangular districts and 2008 numbers.  The tossup seat would be Lean D by 2016, though and the 3rd R district would be close to flipping now.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2017, 08:08:04 PM »

Here is version Stephen Wolf did at DKE:






That looks great. Gee, isn't it obvious that if state legislators were required to come up with maps like that, it would make them feel too bored?

A slightly different version of Districts 2 and 3 here makes one of them a toss up seat Obama won by less than his nationwide margin in 2008, but it would have swung toward Obama in 2012 and 2016 would seal the deal as a Lean Dem seat.
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