UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread
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  UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread
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Author Topic: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 147851 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #425 on: June 08, 2017, 05:49:14 PM »

BBC saying the young vote has come out to vote, in line with that the polls where thinking.

They are saying that the signals have been very consistant so far.
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jaichind
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« Reply #426 on: June 08, 2017, 05:49:41 PM »

Sunderland Central roughly matches Ashcroft 2016 model which has CON getting 350 seats.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #427 on: June 08, 2017, 05:49:50 PM »

I will say that the results are showing the exit poll could be off. As of now, it looks like that would only be a little, but let's wait and see
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #428 on: June 08, 2017, 05:50:10 PM »

That made me laugh.
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #429 on: June 08, 2017, 05:50:28 PM »

Results are only coming from the north east and safe labout seats so far. I want to see other regions and swing seats first before i want to make any conclusion
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #430 on: June 08, 2017, 05:50:42 PM »

I think we can junk the exiit poll then...

lol it's been three results bud. 95% of all polls are junk to begin with.

Yes and none of them match it even in a close manner!
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136or142
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« Reply #431 on: June 08, 2017, 05:51:09 PM »

I think we can junk the exiit poll then...

All the results so far are from the same region.  Swings could be completely different elsewhere.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #432 on: June 08, 2017, 05:51:23 PM »

I think we should wait for the marginals, Labour is still gaining from UKIP here.
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Leftbehind
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« Reply #433 on: June 08, 2017, 05:51:44 PM »

I think we can junk the exiit poll then...

lol it's been three results bud. 95% of all polls are junk to begin with.

Yes and none of them match it even in a close manner!

As said earlier, Labour are outperforming YG's model so far which has a hung parliament.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #434 on: June 08, 2017, 05:51:58 PM »

Stephen Bush says the results are matching up with the YouGov model and not exit poll.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #435 on: June 08, 2017, 05:51:59 PM »

Results are only coming from the north east and safe labout seats so far. I want to see other regions and swing seats first before i want to make any conclusion

True, we will need to see those... but this is worse than expected for Labour.
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nicholas.slaydon
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« Reply #436 on: June 08, 2017, 05:52:16 PM »

Results are only coming from the north east and safe labout seats so far. I want to see other regions and swing seats first before i want to make any conclusion
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DavidB.
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« Reply #437 on: June 08, 2017, 05:52:42 PM »

Results are only coming from the north east and safe labout seats so far. I want to see other regions and swing seats first before i want to make any conclusion
Yeah, like last time, we need Swindon N and Nuneaton
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kyc0705
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« Reply #438 on: June 08, 2017, 05:52:59 PM »

I think we can junk the exiit poll then...

lol it's been three results bud. 95% of all polls are junk to begin with.

Yes and none of them match it even in a close manner!

Are you seriously arguing that the results in three demographically close constituencies in north-east England are representative of the entire country's swing?

Hell, I'm American and I don't even think that makes sense.
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Zinneke
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« Reply #439 on: June 08, 2017, 05:53:15 PM »

I'll wait for Nuneaton and if that's solid Torry its over.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #440 on: June 08, 2017, 05:53:20 PM »

Possible "hidden" (my term) Tory strength outside London in postal vote per BBC.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #441 on: June 08, 2017, 05:54:10 PM »

portsmouth south is rumored as a labour gain from the count
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
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« Reply #442 on: June 08, 2017, 05:54:27 PM »

Stephen Bush says the results are matching up with the YouGov model and not exit poll.

Isn't the YouGov model only calling for 300ish seats for the Tories?
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #443 on: June 08, 2017, 05:54:35 PM »

I think we can junk the exiit poll then...

lol it's been three results bud. 95% of all polls are junk to begin with.

Yes and none of them match it even in a close manner!

Are you seriously arguing that the results in three demographically close constituencies in north-east England are representative of the entire country's swing?

Hell, I'm American and I don't even think that makes sense.

No, but I am arguing that it doesn't match the exit poll at all.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #444 on: June 08, 2017, 05:55:05 PM »

portsmouth south is rumored as a labour gain from the count

I realize what you're saying here, but I definitely read it as Labour knocking off a Tory MP who referred to himself as "The Count."
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #445 on: June 08, 2017, 05:55:22 PM »

Lib Dems worried Nick Clegg is going to get axed.
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kyc0705
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« Reply #446 on: June 08, 2017, 05:55:52 PM »

I think we can junk the exiit poll then...

lol it's been three results bud. 95% of all polls are junk to begin with.

Yes and none of them match it even in a close manner!

Are you seriously arguing that the results in three demographically close constituencies in north-east England are representative of the entire country's swing?

Hell, I'm American and I don't even think that makes sense.

No, but I am arguing that it doesn't match the exit poll at all.

Once again:

3 constituencies out of 650.
All demographically similar.
No swing seats called yet.
Polls closed <2 hours ago.

Calm down.
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parochial boy
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« Reply #447 on: June 08, 2017, 05:56:33 PM »

I don't see how anyone could have realistically expected Sunderland to swing towards Labour this time round...
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #448 on: June 08, 2017, 05:57:06 PM »

Labour doing better
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nicholas.slaydon
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« Reply #449 on: June 08, 2017, 05:57:14 PM »

Newcastle Upon Tyne East= Labour Hold
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