UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread

[Matty]

A reporter for the German Phoenix channel said that turnout in London is lower than last time, in the precinct he visited.

turnout reports.....ugh....

[jaichind]

Sporting Index markets is now

CON    358.5
LAB     209.5

CON down one more seat from a few hours earlier

Predictit now with CON slightly below 360

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Both sides are claiming high turnout in their strong areas. We'll have to wait and see but I think Labour on twitter is overhyping the youth turnout.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Sporting Index markets is now

CON    358.5
LAB     209.5

CON down one more seat from a few hours earlier

Predictit now with CON slightly below 360

A very Strong and Stable projection for May.

[Classic Conservative]

If youth turnout is high, it wouldn't help Labour all that much correct? The reason for this is because don't most young people live in Labour seats.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Does anyone know if the will be be YouTube live stream of the results?

[jaichind]

Does anyone know if the will be be YouTube live stream of the results?

I personally will just watch BBC on the BBC website

[Helsinkian]

Does anyone know if the will be be YouTube live stream of the results?

The Sky News live feed is always on: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y60wDzZt8yg

[Krago]

Rumour has it that Rogers Cable (the main purveyor of cable TV in Southern Ontario, Canada) dropped BBC World News from its VIP package last week and replaced it with RT.

Seriously.

[OSR stands with Israel]

While 350-360 is good it is probably disappointing as the Tories were expected to get any where between 395-405 when the campaign began , and 395-405 seats likely means the Tories would be safe for 10 more years, while with 350-360 its possible that they will lose next time. 

[parochial boy]

Don't feed the troll, FFS.
I've put him in ignore list months ago yet I end up reading his posts because of all the people quoting him.

My bad, sorry, overreacted to a blatant troll :$

On a more serious note, ignore the rumours swirling around - I've seen loads going in both directions, generally by hugely partisan types.

A high youth turn out could swing a few seats as well; Canterbury and Derby North stick out as examples. It could also keep places like Southampton Test Safe

[Antonio the Sixth]

What is the Ipsos-MORI change from the previous poll?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://mobile.twitter.com/NorbertElekes/status/872799400728424448/video/1 To lighten up the mood a little

[Terry the Fat Shark]

What is the Ipsos-MORI change from the previous poll?

Labour down 4, Tories down 1

[Antonio the Sixth]

What is the Ipsos-MORI change from the previous poll?

Labour down 4, Tories down 1

Huh.

[Boston Bread]

What is the Ipsos-MORI change from the previous poll?

Labour down 4, Tories down 1

Like Yougov, Ipsos-Mori changed their model for the final poll to prevent any outlier result.
Their last poll was 45-40 which was bigger for the big parties than other polls.

[parochial boy]

What is the Ipsos-MORI change from the previous poll?

Labour down 4, Tories down 1

Like Yougov, Ipsos-Mori changed their model for the final poll to prevent any outlier result.
Their last poll was 45-40 which was bigger for the big parties than other polls.

That's the thing right? the pollsters have all changed their models so many times that they're basically guessing. Even if one of them happens to be spot on it will be more down to pure fluke than any inherent improvements to their methodology.

[IceAgeComing]

While 350-360 is good it is probably disappointing as the Tories were expected to get any where between 395-405 when the campaign began , and 395-405 seats likely means the Tories would be safe for 10 more years, while with 350-360 its possible that they will lose next time. 

big majorities don't guarantee success at the next election - if they went in to the next election with Major-level popularity levels then they'd struggle a lot.

[DL]

I don't think it matters all that much how many seats the Tories get in terms of whether or not they will win again in 2022 - every election is a discreet event. If the Tories are unpopular enough in 2022 they will lose and it won't matter if they are starting from 390 seats or 340 seats.

In 1997the Tories had become very unpopular and they lost 178 seats in one election!

[IceAgeComing]

Labour were elected with a majority of near 100 in 1966; Tories won a majority in 1970.  The Tories had a majority of near 100 in 1959; Labour barely got a majority in 1964.  Its not like getting into three digits secures you for an election because each election is quick clearly its own event; just because swing voters vote Tory this time doesn't mean they will in 2022 (assuming that we go that far)

[Clyde1998]

I don't know if this has been posted on here yet: http://election.pressassociation.com/Declaration_times/general_2017_by_time.php

This is the Press Association's declaration times list. It's the best guide we've got as to when constituencies are likely to declare their results.

[Gass3268]

Is there a good place for a map?

[Baki]

Is there a good place for a map?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jun/08/live-uk-election-results-in-full-2017

I'll be looking at that one.

It's not the prettiest, but seems to have quite a lot of data once the results start coming in.

[Gass3268]

Is there a good place for a map?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jun/08/live-uk-election-results-in-full-2017

I'll be looking at that one.

It's not the prettiest, but seems to have quite a lot of data once the results start coming in.

Thanks, hopefully there is another one out there that is not a cartogram and I can compare with both.

[Classic Conservative]

Is there a good place for a map?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jun/08/live-uk-election-results-in-full-2017

I'll be looking at that one.

It's not the prettiest, but seems to have quite a lot of data once the results start coming in.

Thanks, hopefully there is another one out there that is not a cartogram and I can compare with both.

The BBC has a good results page as well.