Trump approval ratings thread 1.1
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #350 on: June 13, 2017, 12:16:34 PM »

Worst Gallup disapproval ever, second-worst Gallup approval ever.

Tied with March 28 (35/59) as the worst all-time Gallup net approval.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #351 on: June 13, 2017, 12:20:22 PM »

Worst Gallup disapproval ever, second-worst Gallup approval ever.

Tied with March 28 (35/59) as the worst all-time Gallup net approval.

No one can deny that Trump has been a record-setting President.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #352 on: June 13, 2017, 12:41:17 PM »

He has finally reached 60% disapproval on Gallup.

Congrats, Mr. President!

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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #353 on: June 13, 2017, 12:52:50 PM »

It's Day 144 of the Trump presidency. Here are the Gallup net approvals of U.S. presidents 144 days (or the closest approximation) after their term had started.


Truman +73 (82/9)
Johnson +63 (75/12)
Kennedy +63 (74/11)
Bush Sr. +56 (70/14)
Eisenhower +54 (69/15)
Nixon +47 (63/16)
Carter +44 (63/19)
Reagan +31 (59/28)
Obama +30 (61/31)
Bush Jr. +20 (55/35)

Ford -2 (37/39)
Clinton -12 (37/49)
Trump -24 (36/60)
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KingSweden
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« Reply #354 on: June 13, 2017, 12:59:09 PM »

It's Day 144 of the Trump presidency. Here are the Gallup net approvals of U.S. presidents 144 days (or the closest approximation) after their term had started.


Truman +73 (82/9)
Johnson +63 (75/12)
Kennedy +63 (74/11)
Bush Sr. +56 (70/14)
Eisenhower +54 (69/15)
Nixon +47 (63/16)
Carter +44 (63/19)
Reagan +31 (59/28)
Obama +30 (61/31)
Bush Jr. +20 (55/35)

Ford -2 (37/39)
Clinton -12 (37/49)
Trump -24 (36/60)

And Ford's would have certainly been higher had he not pardoned Tricky Dick within a month of taking office
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Crumpets
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« Reply #355 on: June 13, 2017, 01:05:56 PM »

He has finally reached 60% disapproval on Gallup.

Congrats, Mr. President!

I remember at one point they compared how long it took all the presidents to reach 50% disapproval. Anybody have the numbers for 60%? I'm pretty sure Obama never hit 60% on Gallup, at least.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #356 on: June 13, 2017, 01:08:50 PM »

He has finally reached 60% disapproval on Gallup.

Congrats, Mr. President!

I remember at one point they compared how long it took all the presidents to reach 50% disapproval. Anybody have the numbers for 60%? I'm pretty sure Obama never hit 60% on Gallup, at least.

Carter: Never
Reagan: Never
H.W. Bush:1,288
Clinton: Never
W. Bush: 1,756
Obama: Never
Trump: 144

I know it is early, but House Republicans are toast. Gallup may be a bit of an outlier, but it falls in line with what we have seen with Trump's numbers the last month.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #357 on: June 13, 2017, 01:26:19 PM »

History probably does have a sense of irony too, because Richard Nixon reached 60% disapproval for the first time ever in late October 1973. The Saturday Night Massacre had occurred on October 20.
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kyc0705
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« Reply #358 on: June 13, 2017, 01:43:51 PM »

He has finally reached 60% disapproval on Gallup.

Congrats, Mr. President!

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Brittain33
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« Reply #359 on: June 13, 2017, 01:47:58 PM »

Anyone remember what happened in February-April 2006 to bring W down into the 30s for approvals?
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emailking
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« Reply #360 on: June 13, 2017, 02:14:02 PM »

Anyone remember what happened in February-April 2006 to bring W down into the 30s for approvals?

Iraq getting worse IIRC
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #361 on: June 13, 2017, 02:32:00 PM »

Anyone remember what happened in February-April 2006 to bring W down into the 30s for approvals?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comprehensive_Immigration_Reform_Act_of_2006

Conservatives stopped supporting him unanimously.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #362 on: June 13, 2017, 03:35:50 PM »

Anyone remember what happened in February-April 2006 to bring W down into the 30s for approvals?

It was a slow erosion of a once-high approval rating -- probably over the conduct of the Second Gulf War, secondarily over an economy showing signs of collapse (mass foreclosures and some bank failures). 
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Person Man
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« Reply #363 on: June 13, 2017, 04:05:02 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2017, 04:07:43 PM by The Gianforte Covfefe »

Anyone remember what happened in February-April 2006 to bring W down into the 30s for approvals?

It was a slow erosion of a once-high approval rating -- probably over the conduct of the Second Gulf War, secondarily over an economy showing signs of collapse (mass foreclosures and some bank failures).  

All the talking heads were still trying to sell the economy as strong all the way into Q2 2008. For their credit, getting a job wasn't that tough until the news broke that some big accounting office in France couldn't close the books. That was like in August. Then, no one was hiring until 2011.

I think that the protrayal of W as being unqualified and too conservative began to stick (though it was begining to just as the war broke out) after Saddam became a distant memory, his congress refused to vote on his scheme to cash out social security, and of course Katrina and Schaivo provided each a scenario showing he was both unqualified and too conservative. People started to listen to Democrats again by the fall of 05 and the economy was "meh, but great if you already had money" and on the backburner until the GE in 08.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #364 on: June 13, 2017, 04:20:56 PM »

To add on to what others have said, early 2006 was also pretty much the peak of the criminal investigation into the Plame Affair.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #365 on: June 13, 2017, 06:10:24 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2017, 06:14:29 PM by Zyzz »

He has finally reached 60% disapproval on Gallup.

Congrats, Mr. President!

A investigation led by Joe Arpaio and Sarah Palin has found out that Gallup is cooking the books and inverting the numbers. Trump's actual approval is 60%. Sad!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #366 on: June 13, 2017, 07:13:01 PM »

Gallup weekly: http://www.gallup.com/poll/212120/trump-approval-edges-down-new-weekly-low.aspx

Approve 37% (-1)
Disapprove 58% (+2)

Both are new extremes for Trump so far.

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Virginiá
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« Reply #367 on: June 14, 2017, 12:22:50 PM »

Gallup (June 13th)

Approve 36% (-/-)
Disapprove 59% (-1)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #368 on: June 14, 2017, 12:46:57 PM »

Quinnipiac NJ: 28/66
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #369 on: June 14, 2017, 01:27:04 PM »

Aloha!

Hawaii-Civil Beat Poll, May 18-24:

32% Approve
59% Disapprove

Link.

...I doubt that anyone would be surprised.

I am not using favorability polls unless the rating is uncontroversial and there is no approval poll.

The letter F shall signify a favorability poll, as the only polls that I have for Massachusetts and Oklahoma



Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40%
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

White - tie.
 
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation  


The map has an F on Arizona too.

I recognize that. I was trying to decide whether to show the very old poll of Arizona... and I decided to keep it.

President Trump has just gotten two polls of sub-30 approval one each in California and New Jersey. Neither changes the map.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #370 on: June 14, 2017, 01:30:34 PM »


So long Guadagno
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #371 on: June 14, 2017, 01:37:47 PM »

Aloha!

Hawaii-Civil Beat Poll, May 18-24:

32% Approve
59% Disapprove

Link.

...I doubt that anyone would be surprised.

I am not using favorability polls unless the rating is uncontroversial and there is no approval poll.

The letter F shall signify a favorability poll, as the only polls that I have for Massachusetts and Oklahoma  



Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40%
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

White - tie.
 
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation  


Translated to the electoral map in 2020.....

Democrat: 331
Trump: 32
Unknown: 175

(Yea, I know the Democratic candidate won't win all of those states where Trump's disapproval is higher than his approval.)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #372 on: June 15, 2017, 08:13:05 AM »

Texas Tribune/YouGov - TX: 43/51

Second poll to have Trump underwater in Texas
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windjammer
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« Reply #373 on: June 15, 2017, 08:16:06 AM »

That seems to be in line with his -20 approval
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #374 on: June 15, 2017, 10:10:09 AM »

HuffPo/AP-NORC: 35/64



(HuffPo, so take it with a grain of salt, but.)
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