WV-SEN 2018: Haunted Manchin

[Atlas Force]

Really bad news

http://www.oann.com/president-trump-set-for-west-virginia-rally-for-senate-hopeful-patrick-morrisey/

this is really not good. Shifting this thing from tilt D back to tilt R, expecting a narrow edge out for Morrisey again.

For the love of god, stop.

[TarHeelDem]

Really bad news

http://www.oann.com/president-trump-set-for-west-virginia-rally-for-senate-hopeful-patrick-morrisey/

this is really not good. Shifting this thing from tilt D back to tilt R, expecting a narrow edge out for Morrisey again.

For the love of god, stop.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Really bad news

http://www.oann.com/president-trump-set-for-west-virginia-rally-for-senate-hopeful-patrick-morrisey/

this is really not good. Shifting this thing from tilt D back to tilt R, expecting a narrow edge out for Morrisey again.

For the love of god, stop.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Bagel, it'll be okay. Morrissey from the Smiths has a better chance of winning this race than Patrick Morrisey.

[Intell]

West Virginia voters do not differentiate between federal and state elections, neither of which are very partisan in the state.

If that was so, Tennant would have done much better in 2014, but she did not. She should have hit at least Obama 2008 levels if that was the case.

WV swung hard against the Democrats during 2008-2012.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Bagel, it'll be okay. Morrissey from the Smiths has a better chance of winning this race than Patrick Morrisey.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Really bad news

http://www.oann.com/president-trump-set-for-west-virginia-rally-for-senate-hopeful-patrick-morrisey/

this is really not good. Shifting this thing from tilt D back to tilt R, expecting a narrow edge out for Morrisey again.

For the love of god, stop.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

Bagel, it'll be okay. Morrissey from the Smiths has a better chance of winning this race than Patrick Morrisey.

Oh, mother
I can feel
the coal falling over my head...
As I yell at my campaign chair-
Oh well. Enough said...

[Canis]

New DCCC poll of WV-03 Ojeda leads by 4
https://dccc.org/poll-ojeda-leads-miller-wv-03/

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[Co-Chair Bagel23]

From the master of WV politics Hoppy Kercheval

http://wvmetronews.com/2018/08/30/florida-results-show-potential-for-a-trump-bump-for-morrisey-in-wv/

Trump is not just wasting his time for Morrisey like that, he does not like wasting time. My guess is that GOP internals have Manchin ahead by 5-6, but once they poll around with a hypothetical Trump effect and questions and situations regarding that, then Morrisey takes the narrow lead. So Trump is making an investment with a lot of time and many many visits to the state, he is not just wasting his time, he knows what he is doing and is doing this after much internal polling data and research probably shows that there is a great chance that he will bring the race home for the gop.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1045025248087887877

[TarHeelDem]

No surprise there. Likely D race is Likely D. That money is better spent elsewhere.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

My friend Rob today said that Manchin is f*****. That’s probably why they cancelled the ads.

[BudgieForce]

Either internals are very good or very bad. I'm gonna go with very good.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Either internals are very good or very bad. I'm gonna go with very good.

I'm gonna go with bad since it fits my narrative better.

[Gass3268]

Either internals are very good or very bad. I'm gonna go with very good.

I'm gonna go with bad since it fits my narrative better.

This is very much a good thing.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Either internals are very good or very bad. I'm gonna go with very good.

I'm gonna go with bad since it fits my narrative better.

This is very much a good thing.

[Xing]

Either internals are very good or very bad. I'm gonna go with very good.

I'm gonna go with bad since it fits my narrative better.

Well, you gotta hand it to Bagel, at least he's honest about caring more about his "narrative" than actual evidence. That's more than most people will admit.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Man, reading this really brought down my mood. Who knew Manchin acts like he’s depressed?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.gq.com/story/joe-manchin-last-democrat-in-trump-country/amp

[IceSpear]

Either internals are very good or very bad. I'm gonna go with very good.

I'm gonna go with bad since it fits my narrative better.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Many people outside this dem overconfidence place have more realistic expectations, like this is the first response I got when I shared this on nationstates:

[Sadader]

Man, reading this really brought down my mood. Who knew Manchin acts like he’s depressed?

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.gq.com/story/joe-manchin-last-democrat-in-trump-country/amp

That's an excellent piece. Yeah, that end is super depressing. God I feel bad for Manchin/The USA (even though my politics pretty much diametrically oppose his). Reminds me of Clare Malone's fantastic 538 profile of Doug Jones (but kinda opposite) (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/doug-jones-thinks-hes-supposed-to-be-here).

Anyway, just to keep this thread somewhat on track - Blankenship is still at large and he's still hilarious. No ballot access luckily.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DonBlankenship/status/1045445733212729344

[Zaybay]

Many people outside this dem overconfidence place have more realistic expectations, like this is the first response I got when I shared this on nationstates:

Wonder why, did you even say it was an internal poll?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Many people outside this dem overconfidence place have more realistic expectations, like this is the first response I got when I shared this on nationstates:

Wonder why, did you even say it was an internal poll?

No, but as soon as you click on the article it says so on the title.

[Sadader]

Many people outside this dem overconfidence place have more realistic expectations, like this is the first response I got when I shared this on nationstates:

Wonder why, did you even say it was an internal poll?

Oh no... Bagel23's thought process here is like a Scientist who's trying to prove a meteor will hit the Earth suddenly feeling a wave of validation for his quest when a homeless guy screams about the apocalypse on the subway.