France 2017: Results Thread
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Author Topic: France 2017: Results Thread  (Read 105530 times)
Crumpets
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« Reply #800 on: April 25, 2017, 07:26:41 PM »
« edited: April 25, 2017, 07:28:17 PM by Crumpets »

Okay, here's a map of the overseas results:



Macron
Le Pen
Fillon
Melenchon
Hamon/Fillon tie

Some interesting results -
- Le Pen won precisely one country's overseas vote - Djibouti.
- Fillon cleaned it up in Syria, which he won with over 70% of the vote.
- Libya was an exact tie between Fillon and Hamon - 3 votes each!
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Edu
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« Reply #801 on: April 25, 2017, 07:29:11 PM »

Le Pen did well in a part of Argentina, getting 32%.

It would appear that Assomption is Asunción, which is the capital of Paraguay. Paraguay is not in the list of countries so I assume they throw it together with Argentina or something like that.

The same thing happens with Guatemala, where Tegucigalpa (capital of Honduras) appears in the list in the Guatemala section.
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Barnes
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« Reply #802 on: April 25, 2017, 07:31:55 PM »

Le Pen did well in a part of Argentina, getting 32%.

It would appear that Assomption is Asunción, which is the capital of Paraguay. Paraguay is not in the list of countries so I assume they throw it together with Argentina or something like that.

The same thing happens with Guatemala, where Tegucigalpa (capital of Honduras) appears in the list in the Guatemala section.

I would guess that the consular services in Asunción are run through the Argentine embassy.
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Mike88
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« Reply #803 on: April 25, 2017, 07:48:27 PM »

Okay, here's a map of the overseas results:



Macron
Le Pen
Fillon
Melenchon
Hamon/Fillon tie

Some interesting results -
- Le Pen won precisely one country's overseas vote - Djibouti.
- Fillon cleaned it up in Syria, which he won with over 70% of the vote.
- Libya was an exact tie between Fillon and Hamon - 3 votes each!
The light blue is for Fillon, right? If so, Fillon won Portugal.

Where did you find the results? I've search and search and i can't find the overseas vote by country.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #804 on: April 25, 2017, 07:49:36 PM »

Here's the best results for each candidate by country:

Macron:
1) Germany - 55.92%
2) Zimbabwe - 52.31%
3) Netherlands - 52.22%
4) Algeria - 51.89%
5) Sweden - 51.26%

Le Pen:
1) Belarus - 27.42%
2) Djibouti - 27.21%
3) Monaco - 23.42%
4) Serbia - 20.96%
5) Vanuatu - 20.00%

Fillon:
1) Syria - 74.42%
2) Lebanon - 60.97%
3) Israel - 60.41%
(Jerusalem - 57.12%)
4) Armenia - 46.59%
5) Mauritius - 44.68%

Melenchon:
1) Mozambique - 33.66%
2) Mongolia - 32.50%
3) Iceland - 32.39%
4) Tunisia - 32.11%
5) Laos - 31.61%

Hamon:
1) Libya - 42.86%
2) Mozambique - 16.34%
3) Rwanda - 15.87%
4) Afghanistan - 15.63%
5) Mongolia - 15.00%

Dupont-Aignan:
1) Djibouti - 5.94%
2) Belarus - 4.84%
3) Zimbabwe - 4.62%
4) Andorra - 4.07%
5) Kosovo - 3.64%
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Crumpets
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« Reply #805 on: April 25, 2017, 07:51:33 PM »

Okay, here's a map of the overseas results:



Macron
Le Pen
Fillon
Melenchon
Hamon/Fillon tie

Some interesting results -
- Le Pen won precisely one country's overseas vote - Djibouti.
- Fillon cleaned it up in Syria, which he won with over 70% of the vote.
- Libya was an exact tie between Fillon and Hamon - 3 votes each!
The light blue is for Fillon, right? If so, Fillon won Portugal.

Where did you find the results? I've search and search and i can't find the overseas vote by country.

Yes, Fillon narrowly won Portugal with 35.86% of the vote. Here's the source I used to make the map: https://ca.ambafrance.org/Election-presidentielle-Resultats-du-premier-tour-pour-les-Francais-de-l
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Mike88
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« Reply #806 on: April 25, 2017, 08:14:05 PM »
« Edited: April 25, 2017, 08:19:53 PM by Mike88 »

Yes, Fillon narrowly won Portugal with 35.86% of the vote. Here's the source I used to make the map: https://ca.ambafrance.org/Election-presidentielle-Resultats-du-premier-tour-pour-les-Francais-de-l
Fantastic!! Thank you!!

So, Portugal's results are:

35.86% Fillon
33.61% Macron
12.35% Mélenchon
  7.85% Le Pen
  6.49% Hamon
  1.62% NDA
  0.75% Asselineau
  0.70% Poutou
  0.37% Lassalle
  0.28% Arthaud
  0.12% Cheminade

Very interesting that Portugal is the only western European country, apart from Andorra, to vote for Fillon. In 2012 we also voted, in both rounds, for Sarkozy. The French community in Portugal seems to be very conservative. The good fiscal conditions for pensioners from other EU countries have resulted in many French elders residing in Portugal. Maybe this influences the result.
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Alex
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« Reply #807 on: April 25, 2017, 08:31:05 PM »
« Edited: April 25, 2017, 08:37:25 PM by Alex »


That's the famous Argentinean city of Assomption, also known as Asunción, the capital of Paraguay (which is it's own country, and not part of Argentina)
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God-Empress Stacey I of House Abrams
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« Reply #808 on: April 26, 2017, 12:40:21 AM »

Here's a map of the top 2 candidates in each Department:



FBM/Panzergirl
FBM/Fillon
FBM/Mélenchon
Panzergirl/Fillon
Panzergirl/Mélenchon

Is it the first election ever when a majority of the Departments did not have the top-2 as the nation as a whole? 2002 might be a possibility, but I'm not sure.
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kelestian
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« Reply #809 on: April 26, 2017, 04:50:04 AM »

How many departments can Le Pen win in the second tour?
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jaichind
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« Reply #810 on: April 26, 2017, 05:49:02 AM »

Macron Seen Having Poor Start to 2nd-Round Campaign: Harris Poll

(Bloomberg) -- French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron failed to successfully start his campaign for the second round of elections, according to a majority of French voters surveyed in a poll by Harris Interactive.
52% of those polled considered that Macron failed in the start of his campaign
61% considered that National Front candidate Marine Le Pen had a successful start to her second-round campaign
Of those polled, 43% consider that Macron was wrong to celebrate his 1st-round victory at Paris restaurant La Rotonde, 35% have no opinion, 22% consider he was right to celebrate.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #811 on: April 26, 2017, 06:22:21 AM »

Macron Seen Having Poor Start to 2nd-Round Campaign: Harris Poll

(Bloomberg) -- French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron failed to successfully start his campaign for the second round of elections, according to a majority of French voters surveyed in a poll by Harris Interactive.
52% of those polled considered that Macron failed in the start of his campaign
61% considered that National Front candidate Marine Le Pen had a successful start to her second-round campaign
Of those polled, 43% consider that Macron was wrong to celebrate his 1st-round victory at Paris restaurant La Rotonde, 35% have no opinion, 22% consider he was right to celebrate.
Doesn't matter, his floor is similar to Ma Ying-jeou's performance in 2008 (58.45).
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #812 on: April 26, 2017, 06:25:44 AM »
« Edited: April 26, 2017, 10:16:19 AM by Hash »

Macron Seen Having Poor Start to 2nd-Round Campaign: Harris Poll

(Bloomberg) -- French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron failed to successfully start his campaign for the second round of elections, according to a majority of French voters surveyed in a poll by Harris Interactive.
52% of those polled considered that Macron failed in the start of his campaign
61% considered that National Front candidate Marine Le Pen had a successful start to her second-round campaign
Of those polled, 43% consider that Macron was wrong to celebrate his 1st-round victory at Paris restaurant La Rotonde, 35% have no opinion, 22% consider he was right to celebrate.
Doesn't matter, his floor is similar to Ma Ying-jeou's performance in 2008 (58.45).

Yeah, Le Pen can only get to 45% with extremely low turnout and/or an increased amount of Fillon/Melenchon/Dupont voters backing her somehow.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #813 on: April 26, 2017, 06:26:31 AM »

By the way, the results in Hong Kong went in this way:
Macron 45.82
Fillon 39.11
Melenchon 5.85
Le Pen 3.37
Hamon 3.26
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #814 on: April 26, 2017, 06:39:53 AM »

answering my own question....


sarkozy is going to vote for macron.

https://twitter.com/NicolasSarkozy/status/857186826712481792

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c r a b c a k e
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« Reply #815 on: April 26, 2017, 06:43:24 AM »

Macron Seen Having Poor Start to 2nd-Round Campaign: Harris Poll

(Bloomberg) -- French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron failed to successfully start his campaign for the second round of elections, according to a majority of French voters surveyed in a poll by Harris Interactive.
52% of those polled considered that Macron failed in the start of his campaign
61% considered that National Front candidate Marine Le Pen had a successful start to her second-round campaign
Of those polled, 43% consider that Macron was wrong to celebrate his 1st-round victory at Paris restaurant La Rotonde, 35% have no opinion, 22% consider he was right to celebrate.
Doesn't matter, his floor is similar to Ma Ying-jeou's performance in 2008 (58.45).

Yeah, Le Pen can only get to 45% with extremely low turnout and/or an increased amount of Fillon/Melenchon/Dupont voters backing her somehow.

Or, if the recent controversial Van der Bellen comments make it into the FN headquarters in the next days ...

if a minor gaffe by the President of Austria causes a swing in this election, I will literally tattoo a map of Austria on my bum.
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jaichind
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« Reply #816 on: April 26, 2017, 07:07:29 AM »

It seems like the candidates outside the top 5 go 8.74% of the vote.  This is very surprising. I would figure given a near 4 way tie for first two spots there would be significant tactical voting.  Dupont-Aignan vote share is shocking and much to the loss of Le Pen and Fillon.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #817 on: April 26, 2017, 07:09:35 AM »

It seems like the candidates outside the top 5 go 8.74% of the vote.  This is very surprising. I would figure given a near 4 way tie for first two spots there would be significant tactical voting.  Dupont-Aignan vote share is shocking and much to the loss of Le Pen and Fillon.

Yeah, I thought the smaller candidates would get 4% combined, not 9%.
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Kringla Heimsins
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« Reply #818 on: April 26, 2017, 08:15:52 AM »

The map if Hamon had dropped out, and 50% of his voters had voted to Jean-Luc Mélenchon while 30% to Emmanuel Macron, as suggested by polls.

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parochial boy
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« Reply #819 on: April 26, 2017, 09:35:30 AM »

Carrying on the map theme (blatantly ripping off Antonio's one).

The combined score of the left (Hamon + Mélenchon + Poutou + Arthaud) by department.

Anything marked with a star in the 25-30% category is where their combined score was above the national average of 27.67%

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DL
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« Reply #820 on: April 26, 2017, 09:58:50 AM »

I asked this earlier and no one answered. Why is Corsica so rightwing?
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Umengus
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« Reply #821 on: April 26, 2017, 10:21:44 AM »

https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-04-26/le-pen-ambushes-macron-with-french-plant-trip-to-attack-on-trade

good move from Marine. Her campaign for the runoff is very good. Not enough to be elected of course.

Macron is going to be very unpopular very soon (faster than Hollande, if possible).
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Umengus
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« Reply #822 on: April 26, 2017, 10:22:56 AM »

I asked this earlier and no one answered. Why is Corsica so rightwing?

lol it's corsica.

Muslim immigration maybe.
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Hydera
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« Reply #823 on: April 26, 2017, 10:31:09 AM »

I asked this earlier and no one answered. Why is Corsica so rightwing?

lol it's corsica.

Muslim immigration maybe.


Also Pied-noirs.  Plus higher unemployment because of lack of a value producing industry other than tourism which feeds into resentment.
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DL
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« Reply #824 on: April 26, 2017, 11:12:31 AM »

I asked this earlier and no one answered. Why is Corsica so rightwing?

lol it's corsica.

Muslim immigration maybe.

I was not under the impression that all that many Muslim immigrants move to Corsica...why would they (apart from sunny weather)? Its remote, economically depressed etc...
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