2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Young Conservative]

Senate Candidate Phil Bredesen (D-TN) says he raised $518,000 over a 24-day period in his bid for the U.S. Senate

For only 24 days that is really good

Martha destroyed those fundraising numbers. Actually, so did Fincher.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Senate Candidate Phil Bredesen (D-TN) says he raised $518,000 over a 24-day period in his bid for the U.S. Senate

For only 24 days that is really good

Martha destroyed those fundraising numbers. Actually, so did Fincher.

Yeah but Blackburn has been in this race for 2 months longer than Bredesen.

[Young Conservative]

Senate Candidate Phil Bredesen (D-TN) says he raised $518,000 over a 24-day period in his bid for the U.S. Senate

For only 24 days that is really good

Martha destroyed those fundraising numbers. Actually, so did Fincher.

Yeah but Blackburn has been in this race for 2 months longer than Bredesen.

Most candidates do well when they first announce.

[Jeppe]

I’ll post some sporadic fundraising data as I parse them through the FEC website.

Hawaii’s 1st Democratic Primary (rounded figures)
Donna Mercado Kim - $173,000
Kaniela Ing - $83,000
Doug Chin - $28,000

Kentucky's 6th Democratic Primary
Jim Gray - $344,213
Amy McGrath - $320,967

California’s 49th Democratic Primary
Sara Jacobs - $1,390,645

Arizona’s 2nd Democratic Primary
Ann Kirkpatrick - $399,311
Matt Heinz - $81,610
Mary Matiella - $50,181

Illinois Democratic Primary
Dan Lipinski - $228,318
Marie Newman - $160,835

[Young Conservative]

Illinois Democratic Primary
Dan Lipinski - $228,318
Marie Newman - $160,835

Those aren't very good numbers for either candidate. Lipinski has the connections to make way more and Newman would need more to make the raise competitive.

[Jeppe]

Maybe Lipinski’s not taking it seriously?

[KingSweden]

Maybe Lipinski’s not taking it seriously?

Quite possibly. He’s never had a serious challenge before.

[Jeppe]

Dianne Feinstein gave her CA SEN campaign $5m last quarter. She’s got $10m on hand. Kevin de Leon has $359k in the bank

[Hindsight was 2020]

30 GOP house members were outrasied by a dem challenger https://mobile.twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/959085855930572801

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The one Monmouth poll showed the Dems collapsing, so I will ignore the other factors that favor them and just conclude the Democrats will lose every seat in Congress.

[The Other Castro]

30 GOP house members were outrasied by a dem challenger https://mobile.twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/959085855930572801

There's some pretty surprising results in here. NJ-4 (Smith) and WV-1 (McKinley) are two districts I haven't even considered on my list of 101 potentially competitive Republican districts.

[Cactus Jack]

Arizona’s 2nd Democratic Primary
Mary Matiella - $50,181

For f**k's sake.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Arizona’s 2nd Democratic Primary
Mary Matiella - $50,181

For f**k's sake.

Still think she's a powerhouse candidate?

[136or142]

Bad news for Democrats: In the Indiana 8th district, Jonathan Weinzapfel has decided to not run after Democrats tried to recruit him and in the 9th district 2016 nominee Shelli Yoder have decided to not run against Freshman carpetbagger Republican Trey Hollingsworth leaving the Democrats with only a slate of second tier candidates (I gather Dan Canon is emerging as the favorite.)

OK news for Democrats: Robert Kennedy Jr (no relation) who ran against Doug Jones for the Democratic nomination for the U.S Senate is running against Bradley Byrne in Alabama 1st.  Alabama 1st was one of just 13 districts where the Democrats don't have a candidate yet. 

[Cactus Jack]

Arizona’s 2nd Democratic Primary
Mary Matiella - $50,181

For f**k's sake.

Still think she's a powerhouse candidate?

Not fundraising-wise, no, but I still seriously doubt Kirkpatrick's strength, especially as a long-term candidate. Our field of candidates in AZ-02 absolutely sucks.

[GeorgiaModerate]

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[Young Conservative]

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Wow.

The memo is still pretty hurtful to Democrats though...

[Sestak]

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Wow.

The memo is still pretty hurtful to Democrats though...

No, it's not. It completely legitimizes the Mueller investigation by confirming it doesn't originate with the dossier.

And it's still unclear how much the dossier itself was actually relied on. #ReleaseTheApplication

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Arizona’s 2nd Democratic Primary
Mary Matiella - $50,181

For f**k's sake.

Still think she's a powerhouse candidate?

Not fundraising-wise, no, but I still seriously doubt Kirkpatrick's strength, especially as a long-term candidate. Our field of candidates in AZ-02 absolutely sucks.

Nah, Kirkpatrick's got this.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

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Wow.

The memo is still pretty hurtful to Democrats though...

I expected nothing out of that memo and I was still disappointed. It was like, completely devoid of anything. There's a reason Joe Walsh (one of the most conservative people on the planet) of all people is saying this memo was a dud.

[Crumpets]

What rating do people give Nunes for reelection? His district is, what, R+8? So I probably wouldn't call him safe by any means, even if he's clearly favored.

[Devout Centrist]

Devin Nunes won by a bigger margin than Steve King in 2016. It's gonna take a lot of work to even come close to ousting him.

[136or142]

Chicago Alderman Raymond Lopez dropped out of the race in Illinois 4th.

[publicunofficial]

Devin Nunes won by a bigger margin than Steve King in 2016. It's gonna take a lot of work to even come close to ousting him.

Counterpoint: Devin Nunes was a relatively anonymous congressman in 2016.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Oh wow, I did not know that Gray was running for ky 6th.