2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[136or142]

Kentucky filing deadline was today.  Anybody have any updates?

John Yarmuth facing a potentially serious challenger:

One hour before Tuesday's filing deadline, a prominent member of Gov. Matt Bevin's Cabinet, Health and Family Services Secretary Vickie Yates Brown Glisson, filed for the 3rd District Congressional seat.

Glisson's family and friends stood alongside her as she launched her surprise campaign to unseat Yarmuth.

"I want Louisville to succeed, and I want Louisville to become a city that is strong and robust," Glisson said.

Glisson has resigned as head of the largest agency in state government, where she served as Bevin's point person for his controversial plan to change the Medicaid program in Kentucky. Now she's challenging the incumbent in a heavily Democratic district.

http://www.wdrb.com/story/37387352/record-number-of-candidates-file-for-upcoming-kentucky-elections

Full list:
http://apps.sos.ky.gov/elections/candidatefilings/statewide/default.aspx?id=4

[BuckeyeNut]

Yarmuth going nowhere in 2018.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Yarmuth going nowhere in 2018.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Yarmuth going nowhere in 2018.

[Gass3268]

Hawley couldn't hit 7 figures in Q4:

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[GeorgiaModerate]

Indicator of the current environment:

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[KingSweden]

Indicator of the current environment:

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But but but King Lear told me GOP is gaining 10 seats!!1!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Here's the thing: The Republicans are oblivious. They believe a tax cut bill and a mediocre SOTU will save them.

[LimoLiberal]

Here's the thing: The Republicans are oblivious. They believe a tax cut bill and a mediocre SOTU will save them.

Nope. They see a surging economy and a tax cut growing in popularity every day. They see a hugely disliked leader (Nancy Pelosi) that they can effectively run against. They see a president who's approval improves every day, and can activate millions of voters to vote for Republicans. They see the Democrats' much vaunted lead on the generic ballot narrowing every day.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Here's the thing: The Republicans are oblivious. They believe a tax cut bill and a mediocre SOTU will save them.

Nope. They see a surging economy and a tax cut growing in popularity every day. They see a hugely disliked leader (Nancy Pelosi) that they can effectively run against. They see a president who's approval improves every day, and can activate millions of voters to vote for Republicans. They see the Democrats' much vaunted lead on the generic ballot narrowing every day.

Do you honestly think Pelosi is a more poisonous figure in American politics than Trump? Do you? His approval rating is shooting downwards again and the poll you posted claiming it was a "collapse" was an increase and it really doesn't matter where the economy is going in a midterm. Just look at 2010. You are delusional.

[OneJ]

Here's the thing: The Republicans are oblivious. They believe a tax cut bill and a mediocre SOTU will save them.

Nope. They see a surging economy and a tax cut growing in popularity every day. They see a hugely disliked leader (Nancy Pelosi) that they can effectively run against. They see a president who's approval improves every day, and can activate millions of voters to vote for Republicans. They see the Democrats' much vaunted lead on the generic ballot narrowing every day.

Why didn't you keep your R-VA avatar?

[LimoLiberal]

Here's the thing: The Republicans are oblivious. They believe a tax cut bill and a mediocre SOTU will save them.

Nope. They see a surging economy and a tax cut growing in popularity every day. They see a hugely disliked leader (Nancy Pelosi) that they can effectively run against. They see a president who's approval improves every day, and can activate millions of voters to vote for Republicans. They see the Democrats' much vaunted lead on the generic ballot narrowing every day.

Why didn't you keep your R-VA avatar?

I'm a Democrat. But I can't be blind to the facts, and the facts show that Democrats are going to fair poorly this November.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Here's the thing: The Republicans are oblivious. They believe a tax cut bill and a mediocre SOTU will save them.

Nope. They see a surging economy and a tax cut growing in popularity every day. They see a hugely disliked leader (Nancy Pelosi) that they can effectively run against. They see a president who's approval improves every day, and can activate millions of voters to vote for Republicans. They see the Democrats' much vaunted lead on the generic ballot narrowing every day.

Why didn't you keep your R-VA avatar?

I'm a Democrat. But I can't be blind to the facts, and the facts show that Democrats are going to fair poorly this November.

Wow...

[Brittain33]

They see the Democrats' much vaunted lead on the generic ballot narrowing every day.

You quoted a poll where the Democrats' lead widened by one point as "collapse."

[Hindsight was 2020]

Here's the thing: The Republicans are oblivious. They believe a tax cut bill and a mediocre SOTU will save them.

Nope. They see a surging economy and a tax cut growing in popularity every day. They see a hugely disliked leader (Nancy Pelosi) that they can effectively run against. They see a president who's approval improves every day, and can activate millions of voters to vote for Republicans. They see the Democrats' much vaunted lead on the generic ballot narrowing every day.

Why didn't you keep your R-VA avatar?

I'm a Democrat. But I can't be blind to the facts, and the facts show that Democrats are going to fair poorly this November.

Which facts? Trump having a 35-40 approval rating? The lack of good GOP debate candidates in those Trump states we heard all about las year? The bad GOP fundraising? Most GCB having Dems from 6-8%?  The massive den swings in local elections? The GOP swing districts that now don't have incumbents due to retirements?
Anyone who has ever studied midterms say ^this^ are the indicators of how a midterm goes and they point to a wave

[junior chįmp]

With Trey Goudy (R-Ben Ghazi) gone, GOP breaks it's all time record of number of open seats

[The Other Castro]

CA-50 Retirement Watch:

https://twitter.com/hellofasandwich/status/958760141247008768

[YE]

With Trey Goudy (R-Ben Ghazi) gone, GOP breaks it's all time record of number of open seats

Records didn't begin in 2006.

[junior chįmp]

With Trey Goudy (R-Ben Ghazi) gone, GOP breaks it's all time record of number of open seats

Records didn't begin in 2006.

We're going back farther than that duh

[junior chįmp]

Records didn't begin in 2006.

I went into my nerdy cookie jar of data, here are House retirements for both parties going back into 1930:



GOP running for thar hills

[KingSweden]

We’re looking at 1974 levels here, it looks like

[junior chįmp]

Senate Candidate Phil Bredesen (D-TN) says he raised $518,000 over a 24-day period in his bid for the U.S. Senate

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Honestly I will take the great news of McCaskill destorying Hawley in fundraising, but can someone please explain why Hawley is getting creamed in this section by McCaskill? I thought Trumpians would pour money in here seeig as this is their best shot of flipping a seat, and I thought they loved Hawley as a candidate too.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Senate Candidate Phil Bredesen (D-TN) says he raised $518,000 over a 24-day period in his bid for the U.S. Senate

For only 24 days that is really good

[GeorgiaModerate]

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