2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 03:37:48 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 51 52 53 54 55 [56] 57 58 59 60 61 ... 75
Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread  (Read 234715 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1375 on: January 20, 2018, 03:48:26 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on January 20, 2018, 03:36:42 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on January 20, 2018, 03:33:09 PM
Nj 5th is lean D, and Nj 2nd is Likely R.

An open NJ-02 with Van Drew running and national Republicans basically writing the seat off already is not Likely R.

Oh crap, you are right, I am readjusting this to tilt D. I had no idea we had such a great recruit here while the GOP is barren.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,785
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1376 on: January 21, 2018, 12:09:59 PM »
Ryan said on SOTU that he's undecided on running for re-election. Will decide in the spring.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,117


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1377 on: January 21, 2018, 12:17:12 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on January 21, 2018, 12:09:59 PM
Ryan said on SOTU that he's undecided on running for re-election. Will decide in the spring.

He's got to be really tired of all the hassle.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,785
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1378 on: January 21, 2018, 12:55:44 PM »
I'd be surprised if Ryan didn't run for re-election, but I don't think it's improbable. The seat would be vulnerable if the two recent Wisconsin specials are anything to go by. The filing deadline in June 1st.
Logged
Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,030


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1379 on: January 21, 2018, 01:20:53 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on January 21, 2018, 12:55:44 PM
I'd be surprised if Ryan didn't run for re-election, but I don't think it's improbable. The seat would be vulnerable if the two recent Wisconsin specials are anything to go by. The filing deadline in June 1st.

Would be nice to get a high-profile challenger that's not Randy Bryce.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,825


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1380 on: January 21, 2018, 05:25:56 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on January 21, 2018, 12:09:59 PM
Ryan said on SOTU that he's undecided on running for re-election. Will decide in the spring.

I bet the March PA-18 special will wear heavy on his decision.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,102
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1381 on: January 21, 2018, 05:31:26 PM »
Quote from: AndrewCA🌹 on January 21, 2018, 05:28:13 PM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on January 21, 2018, 01:20:53 PM
Quote from: Holmes on January 21, 2018, 12:55:44 PM
I'd be surprised if Ryan didn't run for re-election, but I don't think it's improbable. The seat would be vulnerable if the two recent Wisconsin specials are anything to go by. The filing deadline in June 1st.

Would be nice to get a high-profile challenger that's not Randy Bryce.

Why? He's raising solid numbers and I - unless I'm mistaken - has the support of local Democratic politicians as well.

He wasn't paying child support until he filed to run.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,785
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1382 on: January 21, 2018, 09:06:04 PM »
I don't think child support's a big deal.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,785
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1383 on: January 22, 2018, 12:41:20 PM »
Duffy gets a challenger.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics1com/status/955443018257092610
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,047


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1384 on: January 22, 2018, 12:44:14 PM »

That's good. This is a district one would expect to be volatile in a wave.
Logged
Chief Justice Keef
etr906
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,100
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1385 on: January 22, 2018, 12:44:34 PM »

If WI SD 10 is any sign for 2018, Duffy's seat is vulnerable.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1386 on: January 22, 2018, 01:27:06 PM »

I’m skeptical Duffy loses, but better to have somebody modestly credible against him
Logged
Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,030


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1387 on: January 22, 2018, 07:27:13 PM »

This, but the special election swings have got to have him spooked.
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1388 on: January 23, 2018, 07:28:36 AM »
Politics1.com
‏
 
@Politics1com
 14m14 minutes ago
More
FL CD-27: Ex-Clinton Admin Health Secy & ex-Univ of Miami Pres Donna Shalala (D) is likely to soon jump into this open congressional seat race, per @politico
Logged
kph14
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 444
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1389 on: January 23, 2018, 07:32:05 AM »
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

There are now four serious Republicans running in CA-49. R vs. R runoff is now basically off the table (maybe that was never a question)
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1390 on: January 23, 2018, 04:35:00 PM »
« Edited: January 23, 2018, 04:38:52 PM by Interlocutor »
I don't think Gaspar will do that well in the primary. She just got elected as a Supervisor in November 2016, beating a scandal-ridden incumbent by half a percent. Only a fifth of her district is in CA-49 and she lost that portion about 52-48. Within her Supervisor district, Applegate got 60-40
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1391 on: January 23, 2018, 11:35:32 PM »
Quote from: 136or142 on January 23, 2018, 07:28:36 AM
Politics1.com
‏
 
@Politics1com
 14m14 minutes ago
More
FL CD-27: Ex-Clinton Admin Health Secy & ex-Univ of Miami Pres Donna Shalala (D) is likely to soon jump into this open congressional seat race, per @politico

Dear god no FFS she’s 76. Let’s build a bench
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,018


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1392 on: January 23, 2018, 11:36:30 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on January 23, 2018, 11:35:32 PM
Quote from: 136or142 on January 23, 2018, 07:28:36 AM
Politics1.com
‏
 
@Politics1com
 14m14 minutes ago
More
FL CD-27: Ex-Clinton Admin Health Secy & ex-Univ of Miami Pres Donna Shalala (D) is likely to soon jump into this open congressional seat race, per @politico

Dear god no FFS she’s 76. Let’s build a bench

No, that would be a good idea, you see. And this is the Florida Democratic Party.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1393 on: January 23, 2018, 11:38:22 PM »
Am I crazy for thinking that WV 3rd might be tilt D right now?
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,785
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1394 on: January 23, 2018, 11:40:03 PM »
« Edited: January 23, 2018, 11:43:24 PM by Holmes »
Quote from: Bagel23 on January 23, 2018, 11:38:22 PM
Am I crazy for thinking that WV 3rd might be tilt D right now?

The special election in Pennsylvania HD 35 makes this look good, but we should see how PA-18 goes first.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1395 on: January 23, 2018, 11:44:49 PM »
Quote from: PNM on January 23, 2018, 11:40:39 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on January 23, 2018, 11:38:22 PM
Am I crazy for thinking that WV 3rd might be tilt D right now?

Crazier for thinking Kihuens seat is lean R

tilt R my friend.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,648
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1396 on: January 23, 2018, 11:47:42 PM »
http://www.courierpress.com/story/news/2018/01/20/weinzapfel-expected-run-congress/1051228001/

Former Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel will run for Congress in IN-8.  Definitely an A-list recruit.
Logged
Mike Thick
tedbessell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,084


Political Matrix
E: -6.65, S: -8.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1397 on: January 23, 2018, 11:49:55 PM »

Gesundheit
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1398 on: January 23, 2018, 11:52:31 PM »

lmao
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,785
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1399 on: January 24, 2018, 12:20:42 AM »
It would be a good recruit, but I'm skeptical that it can flip. But it is the bloody 8th after all, so you never know. 
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 51 52 53 54 55 [56] 57 58 59 60 61 ... 75  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 11 queries.