Alabama Megathread: Bombshell allegations

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

A Democratic senator, in Alabama, in 2017, yeah, well, okay. I don't think I'll ever see that.

Competitive, not a D win but competitive with Moore is possible.

If it's competitive with Moore, it'll be competitive with Strange as well.

I don't think it will be "competitive" with either.

[Rjjr77]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

yeah, I don't think it will be competitive at all, and if it did get competitive it would just force democrats to piss away a bunch of money

[Orser67]

I don't think that the general election will be remotely competitive, but the primary is an interesting battle among Republican factions. And, unlike in the House, anyone elected to the Senate will immediately become a moderately important national politician.

The three candidates are also all pretty interesting. Mo Brooks is part of the Freedom Caucus, Strange was appointed in an ethically-dubious manner and, well Roy Moore is Roy Moore.

[Gass3268]

Trump recording a robocall for Strange

[Pheurton Skeurto]

Trump recording a robocall for Strange

lol. he sounds so unenthusiastic. I guess Strange is better than Mo "I survived a political assassination attempt, pls give me ur pity votes" Brooks and Roy "Actual Theocratic Dickface" Moore

[McGovernForPrez]

Whether this turns into an MA '10 situation depends on turnout not voter flexibility. Scott Brown would've had no chance of winning in a regular election here. He just got lucky that Democratic turnout was so abysmal. If Democrats wanna pick up this seat then the same would need to happen. I wouldn't be surprised to see lower Republic turnout either. Their party has been a sh**t show in Alabama. With the whole governor scandal and everything else. We've already seen close results in congressional districts that shouldn't have been close at all.

[The Other Castro]

Democrats may seriously try for the seat if Jones wins the nomination.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/13/us/politics/despite-trumps-support-alabama-senator-struggles-to-a-primary-finish.html?_r=0

[Cynthia]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

A Democratic senator, in Alabama, in 2017, yeah, well, okay. I don't think I'll ever see that.

Competitive, not a D win but competitive with Moore is possible.

If it's competitive with Moore, it'll be competitive with Strange as well.

I don't think it will be "competitive" with either.

It can be. Massachusetts 2010 was never "competitive".

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

A Democratic senator, in Alabama, in 2017, yeah, well, okay. I don't think I'll ever see that.

Competitive, not a D win but competitive with Moore is possible.

If it's competitive with Moore, it'll be competitive with Strange as well.

I don't think it will be "competitive" with either.

It can be. Massachusetts 2010 was never "competitive".

My God, Massachusetts and Alabama are such different states, comparing them like that just looks stupid.

[Young Conservative]

A better question is why aren't you tbh

[Gass3268]

Another Trump tweet:

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[Fudotei]

Primary tomorrow. I'm estimating this as Likely R with a victory for Roy Moore. Anyone else have final predictions?

[Maxwell]

Moore narrowly edges Strange in the first round

36% - Moore
33% - Strange
19% - Brooks
6% - Pittman
Some% - Others

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

CNN was laughing and saying how the dems have no chance here (true), but they also said Kennedy is leading because of his fake name, We will show them tonight, Doug Jones for victory!

[BuckeyeNut]

Democrats may seriously try for the seat if Jones wins the nomination.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/13/us/politics/despite-trumps-support-alabama-senator-struggles-to-a-primary-finish.html?_r=0

Good. I hope Kennedy doesn't win on his name.

[Classic Conservative]

Alabama Secretary of State is saying 10-15% turnout in total.

[The Other Castro]

Alabama Secretary of State is saying 10-15% turnout in total.

Sad!

[Matty]

Might not be an answerable question, but does low turnout benefit a certain republican/democrat?

Wasn't roy moore getting largest amounts of support the older voters? And don't older voters tend to turn out at highest rates?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Might not be an answerable question, but does low turnout benefit a certain republican/democrat?

Wasn't roy moore getting largest amounts of support the older voters? And don't older voters tend to turn out at highest rates?

It usually favours Republicans and conservatives, because as you said, older white people are not as affected as other groups.

[Matty]

Will this thread become even remotely active tonight? lol

It's still an election after all.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Once polls close, results will be covered at the topic linked below:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=261809.0

[Anna Komnene]

Might not be an answerable question, but does low turnout benefit a certain republican/democrat?

Wasn't roy moore getting largest amounts of support the older voters? And don't older voters tend to turn out at highest rates?

If I had to guess, I'd say it benefits the people with the strongest organization, who I'd assume would be Jones on the democrat side. It's probably Strange for republicans, but he might have a tough time getting his people to turn out if they don't like him that much. If Moore's supporters are more enthusiastic, that could help him. I'd guess it would not be good for Brooks if his support is mostly young people. But hey, I'm just a loony gal from New York. What do I know about Alabama?

[Young Conservative]

My family just went out to vote. Half Pittman, Half Jones.

[Progressive]

Can we just reflect on how wild it is that Roy freakin' Moore might be senator

[TheSaint250]

Can we just reflect on how wild it is that Roy freakin' Moore might be senator

Hopefully not. I think the establishment can win again.