ME: Independents Gaining Traction

[MAINEiac4434]

Mills with an extremely small fundraising lead over Moody, but the majority of his donations came from a single $500K loan to his own campaign. Hayes has most COH

She has the most COH yet she can't afford an issues page..

She has no issues lmao: https://www.pressherald.com/2018/02/25/candidates-for-governor-weigh-in-on-gun-reform/

Ctrl+F Hayes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have said this before Adam Cote would have beaten Shawn Moody; however, Janet Mills is unpopular enough to cost Dems here. But, it's not just here, MD, CT and now OR have pragmatic GOP competetive in these states

[MAINEiac4434]

I have said this before Adam Cote would have beaten Shawn Moody; however, Janet Mills is unpopular enough to cost Dems here. But, it's not just here, MD, CT and now OR have pragmatic GOP competetive in these states

You’re absolutely right, which is why Cote was third on my ballot despite my personal disdain for him.

The thing about Moody is, he’s not pragmatic. He’s running as a continuation of the LePage Years with an “aw shucks” Kasich persona. He’s also an empty suit and really not smart. From what my Republican friends tell me, his campaign was incredibly poorly run in the primaries and it hasn’t improved now that he’s facing Mills. I think Mills will squeak by because of the National environment, but who knows.

[Free Bird]

I have said this before Adam Cote would have beaten Shawn Moody; however, Janet Mills is unpopular enough to cost Dems here. But, it's not just here, MD, CT and now OR have pragmatic GOP competetive in these states

You’re absolutely right, which is why Cote was third on my ballot despite my personal disdain for him.

The thing about Moody is, he’s not pragmatic. He’s running as a continuation of the LePage Years with an “aw shucks” Kasich persona. He’s also an empty suit and really not smart. From what my Republican friends tell me, his campaign was incredibly poorly run in the primaries and it hasn’t improved now that he’s facing Mills. I think Mills will squeak by because of the National environment, but who knows.

I'm not so sure. The "I'm just a dude and Mills is a career politician" thing Moody is trying seems to be working. You've told me that Somerset, Franklin, and Oxford Counties are the bellwethers, and I've seen almost all Moody signs driving through those 3.

[MAINEiac4434]

I have said this before Adam Cote would have beaten Shawn Moody; however, Janet Mills is unpopular enough to cost Dems here. But, it's not just here, MD, CT and now OR have pragmatic GOP competetive in these states

You’re absolutely right, which is why Cote was third on my ballot despite my personal disdain for him.

The thing about Moody is, he’s not pragmatic. He’s running as a continuation of the LePage Years with an “aw shucks” Kasich persona. He’s also an empty suit and really not smart. From what my Republican friends tell me, his campaign was incredibly poorly run in the primaries and it hasn’t improved now that he’s facing Mills. I think Mills will squeak by because of the National environment, but who knows.

I'm not so sure. The "I'm just a dude and Mills is a career politician" thing Moody is trying seems to be working. You've told me that Somerset, Franklin, and Oxford Counties are the bellwethers, and I've seen almost all Moody signs driving through those 3.

Mills has no signs out right now for whatever reason. The campaign hasn’t really gotten going yet.

Regardless:
https://twitter.com/paulmerrillwmtw/status/1022257959177519104?s=21

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have Moody eaking out a small victory, but its an upset for me.

[Bojack Horseman]

If the Democrats win unified control of Maine this fall, they should whip the caucuses to move the state to winner-take-all in the presidential election in order to guarantee that Trump does not get an electoral vote there. If 2020 turns out to be a 270-268 type election, it may make the difference.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rate it a tossup for now. Mills is no shoe-in

[MAINEiac4434]

If the Democrats win unified control of Maine this fall, they should whip the caucuses to move the state to winner-take-all in the presidential election in order to guarantee that Trump does not get an electoral vote there. If 2020 turns out to be a 270-268 type election, it may make the difference.

This is a good way to destroy the Maine Democratic Party.

[ON Progressive]

If the Democrats win unified control of Maine this fall, they should whip the caucuses to move the state to winner-take-all in the presidential election in order to guarantee that Trump does not get an electoral vote there. If 2020 turns out to be a 270-268 type election, it may make the difference.

This is a good way to destroy the Maine Democratic Party.

Do people in ME seriously care that much about their CDs having separate electoral votes? I could see it being popular, but not actually motivating votes at all.

[MAINEiac4434]

If the Democrats win unified control of Maine this fall, they should whip the caucuses to move the state to winner-take-all in the presidential election in order to guarantee that Trump does not get an electoral vote there. If 2020 turns out to be a 270-268 type election, it may make the difference.

This is a good way to destroy the Maine Democratic Party.

Do people in ME seriously care that much about their CDs having separate electoral votes? I could see it being popular, but not actually motivating votes at all.

It would easily be co-opted by Republicans as "elitist Portlanders trying to steal your votes." Rural Mainers like their independence, even if it's independence from other Mainers.

[TheSaint250]

Candidates to get public campaign funds as LePage releases $1.4 million under court order

This should help Terry Hayes in her campaign.

[Sestak]

Literally any of Sweet, Eves, or Cote would have been much better than this.

Yet even with RCV, the Maine Dems still managed to screw it up.

Hayes makes this a tossup, a tad closer to Lean R than Lean D, but I don’t blame her at all for staying in the race.

[Politician]

Does Terry Hayes have potential to win the governorship?

[MAINEiac4434]

Does Terry Hayes have potential to win the governorship?

Too soon to tell. My guess is no. She doesn’t have the money Cutler did and Democrats are just absolutely incensed at LePage and Cutler.

[MAINEiac4434]

Major gender divide in Maine.

Reading that article makes me think women are going to put Janet Mills in the Blaine House.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't be too sure about Janet Mills winning, due the fact that GOP polls well in NE states. Even, RI Gov, the GOP are fielding well there.

[MAINEiac4434]

I wouldn't be too sure about Janet Mills winning, due the fact that GOP polls well in NE states. Even, RI Gov, the GOP are fielding well there.

Well, yeah, that’s because the incumbent Rhode Island Governor is an unpopular Democrat.

[MAINEiac4434]

Terry Hayes's website finally adds an issues section.

[MAINEiac4434]

FWIW I’ve seen a ton of Moody stickers and signs and not a single one for Mills, Hayes or Caron. I do live in Moody’s home county though. Maybe his car repair shop are sticking them on the back of every car they service.

(Probably not).

[Adam Griffin]

I took some time this morning to break down the primary electorate of both CDs in Maine on AAD, but realized just now I had over-analyzed and screwed up what were initially correct figures (had ME-1 as two-thirds of votes casts, which couldn't have been right); in case anybody was interested (Senate primaries):

ME-1 (55.1% of ballots)
DEM: 79976 (61.92%)
GOP: 49193 (38.08%)

ME-2 (44.9% of ballots)
DEM: 52687 (50.15%)
GOP: 52373 (49.85%)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Mills is obviously a weaker than expected candidate, hopefully, Hayes can come through.

[henster]

A shame ME Dems chose Mills over Cote.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A shame ME Dems chose Mills over Cote.

Mills can be upset

[MAINEiac4434]

Just saw this extremely low-energy ad for Terry Hayes on MSNBC.