ME: Independents Gaining Traction
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  ME: Independents Gaining Traction
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Author Topic: ME: Independents Gaining Traction  (Read 65052 times)
KingSweden
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« Reply #500 on: June 16, 2018, 11:42:39 PM »

Really wish that Troy Jackson ran. I get that he seems seems to enjoy being a legislator, but man, if he had the inclination to, he'd have made a great candidate and governor. Maybe 2022 is his chance if Moody wins this time around.

Maybe there’s a Senate race he has his eye on in 2020 Wink

As for Governor, I’m skeptical about exit polling with ranked choice being so new
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GoldenMainer
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« Reply #501 on: June 17, 2018, 07:30:47 AM »

Meh, I think Janet Mills's weaknesses are a bit overstated. While I don't agree with her on Native American water rights, I don't see that issue even being in the top 5 issues voters care about. In the age of Trump, who's going to say "I'm okay with batsh**t insane Lepage 2.0 Moody so I'll vote for centrist Terry Hayes because I don't agree with centrist Janet Mills on Native American water rights"? And previously having an A+ rating from the NRA isn't a horrible thing for a statewide campaign. Being tough on guns may win some votes in Portland and wealthy coastal areas, but it'll lose you votes anywhere inland and northern. Even common sense measures like background checks don't win on the ballot in this state. I mean, I want a candidate to be "bold" but I also want to win a general election because I'm tired of this state being ruled by crazy people. If I have to compromise on some things, I will.

Since all of team Lepage has been behind Moody, this race is mainly going to be a referendum on Lepage. I think we can win that and when we do, Mills can easily be pushed to sign some strong Democratic legislation.
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henster
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« Reply #502 on: June 17, 2018, 01:11:50 PM »

The indies seem like GOP plants.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #503 on: June 17, 2018, 06:29:00 PM »

So if Cote is NOT nominated tomorrow, I guarantee he runs against Collins in 2020. He might even have the field cleared for him.
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YE
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« Reply #504 on: June 17, 2018, 06:34:46 PM »

So if Cote is NOT nominated tomorrow, I guarantee he runs against Collins in 2020. He might even have the field cleared for him.

We can do better than Cote. Golden or Troy Jackson would be our best bet, no?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #505 on: June 17, 2018, 07:11:03 PM »

Joni Ernst is vulnerable more so than Collins
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #506 on: June 17, 2018, 07:47:07 PM »

Mills was one of the weaker candidates of the field but I'm willing to bet she's still the favorite.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #507 on: June 17, 2018, 08:28:54 PM »

So if Cote is NOT nominated tomorrow, I guarantee he runs against Collins in 2020. He might even have the field cleared for him.

We can do better than Cote. Golden or Troy Jackson would be our best bet, no?
Cote would probably have higher name rec than both of them by virtue of already running a statewide campaign. Though all three of them would be the strongest challengers Collins has faced in a decade.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #508 on: June 17, 2018, 09:31:59 PM »

Quick Someone calculate the chance Collins is defeated:
*calculating*
*calculating*
*calculating*



0% chance.


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ON Progressive
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« Reply #509 on: June 17, 2018, 10:45:20 PM »

Quick Someone calculate the chance Collins is defeated:
*calculating*
*calculating*
*calculating*



0% chance.




She could easily lose a Republican primary for “not being loyal to Trump” lmao. Just ask Mark Sanford  about what happens when a Republican says anything bad about Trump.

As for a general election, I wouldn’t say 0% but she would be very heavily favoured for sure.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #510 on: June 17, 2018, 11:03:27 PM »

Honestly, Collins would even win as an Independent, if she lost her primary. Democrats would drop their candidate and rush over to support Collins against a Trumplican, a la Murkowski in 2010.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #511 on: June 18, 2018, 12:03:36 AM »

Young Conservative
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ME: Curtis vs Erwin
« Reply #543 on: June 18, 1970, 09:31:59 pm »
Quick Someone calculate the chance Margaret Chase Smith is defeated:
*calculating*
*calculating*
*calculating*



0% chance.
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Politician
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« Reply #512 on: June 18, 2018, 10:46:05 AM »

Maineiac, here's another one

Young Democrat
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« Reply #543 on: June 18, 2004, 09:31:59 pm »
Quick Someone calculate the chance Tom Daschle is defeated:
*calculating*
*calculating*
*calculating*



0% chance.
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GoldenMainer
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« Reply #513 on: June 18, 2018, 12:16:21 PM »





We'll likely get 100% of the first round votes in today. Then onto the second round tomorrow.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #514 on: June 18, 2018, 12:16:52 PM »

Aren’t the final results coming out today?
Supposedly. Still waiting for literally any sign that they are.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #515 on: June 18, 2018, 01:05:00 PM »



*Throws self off bridge*
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #516 on: June 18, 2018, 05:51:46 PM »

ME-GOV went up from 516/584 to 523/584 reporting earlier in the day, but it's been stuck at 523 since. CD-2 is still where it was on Friday, 340/405 reporting.
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henster
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« Reply #517 on: June 18, 2018, 11:23:19 PM »

MT, ID, NM all states with similar populations to Maine and even larger land mass with lots of rural areas all count way faster than Maine. I hope the next Governor addresses this because there's no excuse for it.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #518 on: June 19, 2018, 10:56:17 AM »

Maine is still acting like a sloth. Move along, nothing to see today.

https://www.centralmaine.com/2018/06/19/additional-ballot-collection-could-delay-ranked-choice-results/

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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #519 on: June 19, 2018, 03:24:57 PM »

I’m so glad the Secretary of State’s office took the weekend off and ends everyday at five.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #520 on: June 19, 2018, 04:45:17 PM »

Yeah sane people have seen that irv has been an absolute train wreck
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #521 on: June 19, 2018, 05:21:43 PM »

Yeah sane people have seen that irv has been an absolute train wreck
For the last time: they’re still not done counting FIRST CHOICE VOTES.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #522 on: June 19, 2018, 05:26:04 PM »

Yeah sane people have seen that irv has been an absolute train wreck
For the last time: they’re still not done counting FIRST CHOICE VOTES.

Wouldn't this be fun if it was the general election and control of the House hinged on ME-02?
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #523 on: June 19, 2018, 05:27:07 PM »

Yeah sane people have seen that irv has been an absolute train wreck
For the last time: they’re still not done counting FIRST CHOICE VOTES.

Good so rather than finding out mills won on election night you get to find out mills won after 2 weeks because people are upset over an election that was almost 10 years ago
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Kodak
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« Reply #524 on: June 19, 2018, 05:30:22 PM »

Yeah sane people have seen that irv has been an absolute train wreck
For the last time: they’re still not done counting FIRST CHOICE VOTES.

Wouldn't this be fun if it was the general election and control of the House hinged on ME-02?
I think California will still take longer to count all of their ballots.
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