TX-SEN: True to Form

[wesmoorenerd]

Hot take: TX is more likely to flip at this point than OH or WI, especially the latter.

[Doimper]

Hot take: TX is more likely to flip at this point than OH or WI, especially the latter.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Lying Ted Cruz up to his old tricks again:

https://www.twitter.com/TexanTruth42/status/1000838395898232832

Wasn't the Cruz campaign dinged for this during the presidential primaries as well? I don't think this is the first time he's resorted to this tactic.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

It's desperation like this that makes me think TX is quite possibly flipping.

[McGovernForPrez]

Those mailers have the same attitude as the radio ad he released earlier this year. It sounds like he's giving orders on who Texans can and can't vote for. I really hope stuff like this becomes his undoing because it's really obnoxious.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MS is more likely to flip than TX

[ON Progressive]

MS is more likely to flip than TX

No it isn't. TX is much bluer than MS, and significantly more elastic. The only way MS is competitive is if McDaniel makes the runoff, but that isn't likely because McDaniel has far less support than 2014 from groups that helped him a lot in that race.

[Arkansas Yankee]

I will say it's super-weird that I haven't seen a single yardsign or bumper sticker for Lyin' Ted even when driving around really Republican areas. Every GOP sign is either for Trump, House candidates, or some local judge.

Why are signs in yards in May an important fact.

In Arkansas we take down the yard signs after the primary.  We put them back up in September.

Do they do it different in Texas?

[The Mikado]

I will say it's super-weird that I haven't seen a single yardsign or bumper sticker for Lyin' Ted even when driving around really Republican areas. Every GOP sign is either for Trump, House candidates, or some local judge.

Why are signs in yards in May an important fact.

In Arkansas we take down the yard signs after the primary.  We put them back up in September.

Do they do it different in Texas?

No, but they had a bunch of signs up due to the May primary runoff.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

MS is more likely to flip than TX

No it isn't. TX is much bluer than MS, and significantly more elastic. The only way MS is competitive is if McDaniel makes the runoff, but that isn't likely because McDaniel has far less support than 2014 from groups that helped him a lot in that race.

I am baffled at the deplorables in MS not backing a fellow Neo Confederate deplorable like McDaniel.

[OSR stands with Israel]

MS is more likely to flip than TX

No it isn't. TX is much bluer than MS, and significantly more elastic. The only way MS is competitive is if McDaniel makes the runoff, but that isn't likely because McDaniel has far less support than 2014 from groups that helped him a lot in that race.

Only in Presidential Elections


Democrats have won statewide elections more recently in MS than they have in TX. Actually, I believe TX is the state which Democrats have gone longest in without winning a single statewide election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one knows who Beto is.  From a media stand point.  Mike Espy and David Baria are much better known. But, in this environment, neither are flipping, though

[Young Conservative]

No one knows who Beto is.  From a media stand point.  Mike Espy and David Baria are much better known. But, in this environment, neither are flipping, though

These statements are just false.

[Politician]

No one knows who Beto is.  From a media stand point.  Mike Espy and David Baria are much better known. But, in this environment, neither are flipping, though

These statements are just false.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was talking about in the mode of Julian Castro, they are like the darlings of Democrats in TX.  In order to take down Cruz,  you have to go with a better candidate.  The same holds true in 2020 against Cornyn

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

No one knows who Beto is.  From a media stand point.  Mike Espy and David Baria are much better known. But, in this environment, neither are flipping, though

These statements are just false.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well David Baria isn't well known.

[Maxwell]

Also Espy is... problematic in a few ways. I was definitely disappointed when he jumped in and scared away any potential Mississippi Doug Jones clones.

[CatoMinor]

O'Rourke has campaigned in all 254 counties already. Impressive.

[ON Progressive]

MS is more likely to flip than TX

No it isn't. TX is much bluer than MS, and significantly more elastic. The only way MS is competitive is if McDaniel makes the runoff, but that isn't likely because McDaniel has far less support than 2014 from groups that helped him a lot in that race.

Only in Presidential Elections


Democrats have won statewide elections more recently in MS than they have in TX. Actually, I believe TX is the state which Democrats have gone longest in without winning a single statewide election.

The only Dem that ever wins statewide in MS is Jim Hood. Outside of him, MS might as well be TX in terms of statewide wins.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

O'Rourke has campaigned in all 254 counties already. Impressive.

Even in King County as well?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

It's true that Beto is not well known. Political enthusiast forums =/= voters in Texas and Mississippi. Pretty much every poll of TX Senate shows about half of voters do not have an opinion of Beto. While pretty much everyone can identify that they have heard of Beto before, many do not know much about him besides he is a democrat and maybe some superficial attributes (such as him being young).


I am not sure about Baria, but I'd imagine he's not well known either considering his result in the primary.

[CatoMinor]

O'Rourke has campaigned in all 254 counties already. Impressive.

Even in King County as well?

That was probably an early stop considering how close it is to his district.

[Blair]

The real question is whether the slight bump in Name ID that the Castro brothers have, outweigh their other weaknesses as candidates

[cvparty]

you know if republican turnout is somewhat lower and beto doesn’t get absolutely demolished in the rural areas while maintaining/outdoing hillary’s margins in the triangle, he has a pretty decent chance