TX-SEN: True to Form

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Senator Barnabas Glenn Ellis.

Previous occupation: lives in parents basement

Texas Class 1.

Won in 2012 against Ted Cruz, 52-43. Only one to file in primary because of apathetic TexDem party.
Was down in the all the polls by about 5-6 points, until a certain tape was released of Ted Cruz and Maria Cantwell exactly two weeks before the election. Polls quickly showed a double digit reversal, and Ellis scored an upset.

Please let this occur except with Beto as the dem nominee.

A modern day Democratic victory map in Texas would be pretty fascinating. Maybe the candidate gets around 60% in both Harris and Bexar?

How much would the Dem have to score in Tarrant?  Somewhere in the ballpark of 51-55%?

Winning Tarrant 50-49 would put the Democrats at about the point they need to win statewide.

[libertpaulian]

Senator Barnabas Glenn Ellis.

Previous occupation: lives in parents basement

Texas Class 1.

Won in 2012 against Ted Cruz, 52-43. Only one to file in primary because of apathetic TexDem party.
Was down in the all the polls by about 5-6 points, until a certain tape was released of Ted Cruz and Maria Cantwell exactly two weeks before the election. Polls quickly showed a double digit reversal, and Ellis scored an upset.

Please let this occur except with Beto as the dem nominee.

A modern day Democratic victory map in Texas would be pretty fascinating. Maybe the candidate gets around 60% in both Harris and Bexar?

How much would the Dem have to score in Tarrant?  Somewhere in the ballpark of 51-55%?

Winning Tarrant 50-49 would put the Democrats at about the point they need to win statewide.

Yeah, I think 60%+ in Harris and Bexar, 70%+ in El Paso and Travis, and slightly north of 50% in Tarrant should do the trick.  Plus running up the score in the counties along the Mexico border and not getting killed in the conservative rural counties.

[ajwiopjawefoiwefnwn]

Beto hit a million in online donations in just 3 days https://mobile.twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1026283083954352128

Bruh

[SCNCmod]

How will new Ted Cruz ad play in Texas:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-MdlR9R4Zs

Will it work to soften his image a bit ... or be seen as sort of using the Hurricane for political gain?

[Doimper]

How will new Ted Cruz ad play in Texas:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-MdlR9R4Zs

Will it work to soften his image a bit ... or be seen as sort of using the Hurricane for political gain?

Wow, he's flailing. Trying to negatively define O'Rourke didn't (o')work, so now he's done a 180.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

How will new Ted Cruz ad play in Texas:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-MdlR9R4Zs

Will it work to soften his image a bit ... or be seen as sort of using the Hurricane for political gain?

I mean it's a good ad.

[Zaybay]

The fact that this is Cruz's 4th or 5th ad so far, and Beto has only released one is telling.

[SCNCmod]

How will new Ted Cruz ad play in Texas:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-MdlR9R4Zs

Will it work to soften his image a bit ... or be seen as sort of using the Hurricane for political gain?

I mean it's a good ad.

Is it the type of ad that would pick up votes?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

How will new Ted Cruz ad play in Texas:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-MdlR9R4Zs

Will it work to soften his image a bit ... or be seen as sort of using the Hurricane for political gain?

I mean it's a good ad.

Is it the type of ad that would pick up votes?

I'm no texpert but this seems to be good trying to highlight a relatively non controversial issue to try and show that he didn't just spent his entire term running for president. If it runs enough it could pick up a percent or two, but it takes a really big kahuna to have really any implications or effects of much size this far out when looking towards november.

[kyc0705]

king of eating

https://twitter.com/GideonResnick/status/1027620265600212995

[Progressive Pessimist]

king of eating

https://twitter.com/GideonResnick/status/1027620265600212995

O'Rourke and John Kasich should be part of an eating competition.

[Zaybay]

Looks like the race may finally be starting:

Beto O'Rourke buys his first TV ads with $1.27 million he raised from Ted Cruz's attack ads

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/2018-elections/2018/08/13/beto-orourke-buys-first-tv-ads-127-million-raised-ted-cruzs-attack-ads

[Canis]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

[NewYorkExpress]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

Beto would have to run for re-election in 2024, and I doubt he'd win that race (unless Cruz decided to run again) so he might jump in if he wins this cycle.

[Zaybay]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

Beto would have to run for re-election in 2024, and I doubt he'd win that race (unless Cruz decided to run again) so he might jump in if he wins this cycle.

By then, TX would be a tilt R, tossup, or lean R state, so Beto would actually have an easier time winning then.

[Webnicz]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

He would literally be a senator for 3 months before running for president, has anything of that sort happened before??

Also hard to believe(but also not really) that a year from today we will pretty much already be familiar with the entire 2020 democratic field

[NewYorkExpress]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

Beto would have to run for re-election in 2024, and I doubt he'd win that race (unless Cruz decided to run again) so he might jump in if he wins this cycle.

By then, TX would be a tilt R, tossup, or lean R state, so Beto would actually have an easier time winning then.

He's not going to win in a Lean R Texas in a Presidential year...but if Texas becomes a tossup or Tilt R state he could win reelection, yes.

[RFayette 🇻🇦]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

He would literally be a senator for 3 months before running for president, has anything of that sort happened before??

Also hard to believe(but also not really) that a year from today we will pretty much already be familiar with the entire 2020 democratic field

Yeah, Obama was an extraordinary candidate and even he had been in the Senate at least since Jan 2005 before running in '08. 

Of course, Beto is no Obama, and Terrific Ted will cruise to victory, so it's a moot point.

[ajwiopjawefoiwefnwn]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

He would literally be a senator for 3 months before running for president, has anything of that sort happened before??

Also hard to believe(but also not really) that a year from today we will pretty much already be familiar with the entire 2020 democratic field

Yeah, Obama was an extraordinary candidate and even he had been in the Senate at least since Jan 2005 before running in '08. 

Of course, Beto is no Obama, and Terrific Ted will cruise to victory, so it's a moot point.

I think you mean cruz...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

Beto would have to run for re-election in 2024, and I doubt he'd win that race (unless Cruz decided to run again) so he might jump in if he wins this cycle.

He would run for Governor instead in 2022, after Abbott retires.
By then, TX would be a tilt R, tossup, or lean R state, so Beto would actually have an easier time winning then.

He's not going to win in a Lean R Texas in a Presidential year...but if Texas becomes a tossup or Tilt R state he could win reelection, yes.

[RogueBeaver]

First debate is on the 31st in Dallas.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

First debate is on the 31st in Dallas.

Cruz will find an excuse to back out last day or so.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

If beto wins people will want him to run in the next presidential election thats open for the dems after 2020

He would literally be a senator for 3 months before running for president, has anything of that sort happened before??

Also hard to believe(but also not really) that a year from today we will pretty much already be familiar with the entire 2020 democratic field

Yeah, Obama was an extraordinary candidate and even he had been in the Senate at least since Jan 2005 before running in '08. 

Of course, Beto is no Obama, and Terrific Ted will cruise to victory, so it's a moot point.

No one besides far right looney nutcases likes Tepid Ted

Unfortunately, dems decided to run Beto the Communist

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

First debate is on the 31st in Dallas.

Can I just show up, or is it for like bourgeois types only?

[Zaybay]

First debate is on the 31st in Dallas.

Can I just show up, or is it for like bourgeois types only?

If you go, you should totally record a video and post it.