President Mike Pence versus John Bel Edwards 2020

[Sir Mohamed]

The Trumpster gets impeached in the summer of 2018 and Pence becomes the 46th president in September 2018. He runs for reelection in 2020 with his VP (whoever that is). Meanwhile, LA Gov. John Bel Edwards beats Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo and Tulsi Gabbard for the Democratic nomination. Who wins? Right-winger versus moderate Dem. I assume Edward’s VP is a member of the progressive faction then.

[Sir Mohamed]

President Mike Pence (R-IN)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) 289 EVs
Governor John Bel Edwards (D-LA)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) 249 EVs

President Pence tries to undo some hard line immigration policies that Trump implemented and he makes great strides with Hispanic Americans. He puts Rubio on the ticket and they run with a positive immigration policy. Edwards wins back some of the white working class vote and secures Pennsylvania and Michigan because Pence reversed some protectionist policies Trump implemented. Hispanics move to Bush 00' and '04 numbers. Edwards fails to make a pivot to Hispanics thinking that the white working class voters would be better to take him to victory.

I doubt he’s winning NM at all. CO is also moving away from the GOP.

Isn’t Rubio VP before the election? Or who does Pence appoint under the 25th amendment? Just a placeholder?

[Kingpoleon]

356: Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards/Senator Elizabeth Warren - 51.5%
160: President Mike Pence/Vice President Renee Elmers - 43.0%
22: Uncalled
Others - 5.5%

[Sir Mohamed]

356: Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards/Senator Elizabeth Warren - 51.5%
160: President Mike Pence/Vice President Renee Elmers - 43.0%
22: Uncalled
Others - 5.5%

As much as disagree with Pence politically, I don’t think he would perform that bad as an incumbent president. He was pretty strong at the VP debate last year, I have to admit. I think he would successfully distance himself from Trump after the impeachment. Also with about two years to govern before the election.

Did Edwards step down in 2019 in that scenario? If he were to lose reelection that year, he would likely not become the nominee.

[Kingpoleon]

356: Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards/Senator Elizabeth Warren - 51.5%
160: President Mike Pence/Vice President Renee Elmers - 43.0%
22: Uncalled
Others - 5.5%

As much as disagree with Pence politically, I don’t think he would perform that bad as an incumbent president. He was pretty strong at the VP debate last year, I have to admit. I think he would successfully distance himself from Trump after the impeachment. Also with about two years to govern before the election.

Did Edwards step down in 2019 in that scenario? If he were to lose reelection that year, he would likely not become the nominee.

The grounds for impeachment would have to have been terrible for Pence not to lose in a landslide. Nixon  caused Gerald Ford, an impeccable nominee, to lose, originally in a landslide. Pence couldn't distance himself from Trump as well as Ford did from Nixon.

[GoTfan]

I can't wait for Southern Gothic to see this.

[BlueDogs2020]

I think Edwards would do a lot better than you think. He will appeal quite a bit to White voters, and is a devout Catholic so will carry the Southwest. His credentials will win him the Deep South: Successful and popular Governor of Louisiana, Pro-life, pro-guns, Veteran. He will face tight races in Liberal states like OR, DE, and CT because people who supported Warren in the primary won't turn out. But I think he would win by landslide margins, including Red States like Louisiana, Missouri, Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, West Virginia, and North Carolina. But he would somehow lose Florida.

[Dr. MB]

NC, Florida, Arizona, Ohio, Iowa being swing states. Montana closer than expected.

[bagelman]

TexasConservative gives a good view of what the GOP strategy might be under Pence.

Here's a competitive Pence losing against Edwards:


with GA voting to the left of both NC and FL being the big surprise of the night

http://www.270towin.com/maps/mJYGv

[Agonized-Statism]

President Mike Pence (R-IN) / Vice President Nikki Haley (R-SC)
Governor John Edwards (D-LA) / Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) ✓

[President Biden Democrat]

I definitely do think Edwards would win this matchup.



Gov. John Bell Edwards (D-LA)/Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) ✓
Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN)/VP Nikki Haley (R-SC)*