Under what conditions would the preceding poster win the preceding state?

[Xing]

In a general election, primary/caucus, or both.

I'll start with Montana.

[heatcharger]

General: For a relatively typical liberal Dem like yourself, you'll need an extremely unpopular Republican incumbent with a failed war record, along with a strong Libertarian candidate in the mold of Ron Paul.

Georgia

[Mr. Smith]

He'd need to be scandal free, really get minority outreach going and run against someone like Donald Trump.

Arizona

[Lachi]

You'd win when all of the angry New Hampshire women vote for you

Arizona

[Classic Conservative]

You could win Arizona by pumping up Hispanic turnout and have a good Hispanic outreach program along with pumping out college turnout and turnout amongst the LBGTQ community.

Pennsylvania

[Santander]

Economic nationalism, Catholic identity and black outreach.

California

[Wells]

Switch back to being a Democrat

North Carolina

[Xing]

General: You'd need a large, continuous GOTV effort, and it would probably help if your opponent was unpopular.

Primary: If your Democratic opponent was even further to the left than you, you'd very likely win it.

Florida

[100% pro-life no matter what]

If the left was significantly more excited than the right to overcome relatively weak numbers in the suburbs

Wisconsin

[Goldwater]

Focusing on social/cultural issues while running against an unpopular Democrat that is seen as out of touch with middle america

Nevada

[Kingpoleon]

If he ran as a Republican, he'd only lose it to (primaries) Sandoval, Heller, or a Mormon. In the general, he'd only lose it to CCM or a Hispanic who won the PV nationally by at least 2%.

MN(as a Republican)

[Xing]

General: If you ran against a corporatist Democrat who was seen as an elitist and part of the establishment, you'd stand a good chance.

Primary: You'd win against a Trump-like Republican in Minnesota.

West Virginia (remember that you can also discuss primaries, and don't necessarily have to talk about a general election)

[jamestroll]

In the primary, he may likely win but perhaps a yokel or creepy coal miner could win.

In the general, it would be extremely tough. But Democrats seem to have some pulse statewide.

For me, use MO.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

None.  A gay mormon with the rubes in Ozarks?  None.  Sorry, james.

LA for me.

[Santander]

Run on David Duke's platform minus the white separatist rhetoric/Holocaust quasi-denial.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Montana for me.

[White Trash]

Unpopular Republican incumbent with an evangelical bent. Also, if Jon Tester, Steve Bullock or Brian Schweitzer was his VP.

West Virginia.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

My Republican opponents stating he hates coal and will abolish it entirely.

Delaware.

[Kingpoleon]

Primary: He would lose it to someone more moderate unless he got major endorsements there. Kalwejt could also beat, say, Klobuchar or Bullock.
General: He would win it against all but the most liberal Republicans(RINO Tom or Brian Sandoval).

[Xing]

Since Puerto Rico only votes in the primaries right now, I suppose you'd win it against a very conservative Republican.

Iowa

[TDAS04]

The GOP candidate goes too far in bashing corn.

Alaska

[Crumpets]

Running on a populist message leaving environmental issues at bay. Republican is Mitt Romney on steroids/Donald Trump without the campaign skills. A corrupt big-city millionaire who makes his contempt for the working class known. Right before the election, the Republican is found to have taken a massive bribe from some company/person who is unpopular particularly in Alaska. Maybe also something about a turnout effort among Native Americans in rural Alaska to push him over the edge.

Mississippi

[Oldiesfreak1854]

The GOP nominates a lousy candidate and completely collapses.

[Mr. Smith]

The Democrats nominate a lousy candidate and completely collapse.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

No state given, though catastrophic GOP is the blanket answer.

North Dakota