Turkey referendum, 2017
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Author Topic: Turkey referendum, 2017  (Read 20101 times)
Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #100 on: April 16, 2017, 10:19:21 AM »
God Bless America!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #101 on: April 16, 2017, 10:20:04 AM »
My new estimate is YES 53%, 47% No in the end.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #102 on: April 16, 2017, 10:22:43 AM »
Why are expats so overwhelmingly pro-Erdogan? That doesn't really make sense to me.
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Beezer
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« Reply #103 on: April 16, 2017, 10:24:04 AM »
Quote from: heatcharger on April 16, 2017, 10:22:43 AM
Why are expats so overwhelmingly pro-Erdogan? That doesn't really make sense to me.

Cause they're mostly found in the lower echelons of society. They define themselves through their Turkish nationalism.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #104 on: April 16, 2017, 10:25:16 AM »
they don't suffer from supression and only feel economical success - and often are less educated than the average turk.
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #105 on: April 16, 2017, 10:26:48 AM »
I think Istanbul is a good bellweather for this referendum? If no pulls ahead there maybe it has a shot at winning.

Though I'd be surprised if it was 52-48 like Brexit, let alone closer.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #106 on: April 16, 2017, 10:27:03 AM »
« Edited: April 16, 2017, 10:34:18 AM by Ronnie »

Yup.  Whenever we encounter varying degrees of madness over the next 4-8 years, I will just remind myself that at least we aren't Turkey.
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jaichind
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« Reply #107 on: April 16, 2017, 10:28:13 AM »
With 63.4% of the vote in it is Yes at 55.7.  Using Nov 2015 as calibration Yes is headed toward 53.1 win.  No continues to gain round relative to Nov 2015 count patterns.  At this rate Yes will most likely win with less than 53% of the vote.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #108 on: April 16, 2017, 10:29:33 AM »
Worst possible timeline, people
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jaichind
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« Reply #109 on: April 16, 2017, 10:32:52 AM »
With 67.1% of the vote in it is Yes at 55.2.  Using Nov 2015 as calibration Yes is headed toward 52.8 win.  No continues to gain round relative to Nov 2015 count patterns.
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #110 on: April 16, 2017, 10:42:37 AM »
I thought it was the dankest timeline?
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kelestian
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Germany


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« Reply #111 on: April 16, 2017, 10:50:00 AM »
this is close
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Beezer
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« Reply #112 on: April 16, 2017, 10:53:17 AM »
Istanbul
50.1 yes
49.9 no

87% counted
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🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
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Kiribati


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« Reply #113 on: April 16, 2017, 10:54:09 AM »
Hopefully the west takes the PKK off the terrorist list.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #114 on: April 16, 2017, 10:54:33 AM »
Constantinople flips.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #115 on: April 16, 2017, 10:58:23 AM »
Antioch Flips.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #116 on: April 16, 2017, 10:58:44 AM »
Istanbul not Constantinople (repeat 2x)
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #117 on: April 16, 2017, 11:04:56 AM »
No just surpassed the 20 million vote mark.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #118 on: April 16, 2017, 11:05:44 AM »
Wow, this is getting intense. This is no time for caution.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #119 on: April 16, 2017, 11:09:06 AM »
Looks like this is gonna end up being closer than Brexit.
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Beezer
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« Reply #120 on: April 16, 2017, 11:10:55 AM »
I guess the Turkish expat vote will eventually win it for Erdogan. I feel bad for the real Turks that will actually have to live in Erdoganistan.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #121 on: April 16, 2017, 11:13:08 AM »
Europe Elects projects Yes as the winner.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #122 on: April 16, 2017, 11:13:58 AM »
thx foreign turks for saving autocracy.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #123 on: April 16, 2017, 11:14:45 AM »
Some expats voted overwhelmingly for Evet, others overwhelmingly for Hayir.
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Beezer
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« Reply #124 on: April 16, 2017, 11:15:21 AM »
There are what...6 million votes left? And "no" is trailing by 2 so I don't see this happening.
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