Jon Ralston rates the 2018 NV field

[The Other Castro]

Jon Ralston (God of Nevada politics) has a piece out on the 2018 NV candidates, what offices they might run for, and their odds of winning those offices.

Clark County Commissioner Steve Sisolak (D)
-Odds for Governor = 4-1

Lt. Gov. Mark Hutchison (R)
-Odds for Governor = 10-1 in contested primary,  3-1 in uncontested primary
-Odds for Senate = Same as for Governor

Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R)
-Odds for Governor = 4-1
-Odds for Senate = 4-1
-Odds for reelection = 1-2

Treasurer Dan Schwartz (R)
-Odds for Governor = 12-1

Controller Ron Knecht (R)
-Odds for Governor = 25-1

U.S. Sen. Dean Heller (R)
-Odds for reelection = 1-2
-Odds for Governor = 2-1

Economic Development Chief Steve Hill (R)
-Odds for Governor = 8-1

State Senate Majority Leader Aaron Ford (D)
-Odds for Governor = 7-1
-Odds for Attorney General = 10-1 if Laxalt runs, 5-1 if Laxalt does not run

State Sen. Kelvin Atkinson (D)
-Odds for some constitutional office = 9-1

https://knpr.org/desert-companion/2016-11/politics-pol-positioning

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So NV Dems still have a thin bench. Okay.

[Virginiá]

So NV Dems still have a thin bench. Okay.

I don't understand. Between Fall 2014 and now, where would the bench have materialized from? As you can see, most of the GOP's bench here comes from executive offices they won only because of a lucky break in 2014 (and of course the LtGov position they have won consistently for years). They could just as easily lose those offices in 2018 and the script would be flipped from large GOP bench to large Democratic bench.

"Still have a thin bench" would have been more meaningful if you said it sometime after 2018.

[Klartext89]

LOL that Ralston guy is totally partisan. Just look at his tweets, he's not even trying to hide his bias.

Yes, Nevada went for Clinton and Cortez-M, but this Clown acted like the Dems would win 70:30, in fact he was right with the outcome but way off the margin and his 1.000 Latinos in line at a Mexican supermarket weren't anything but not an indicator of the race.

Whatever...

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Jon Ralston is a discredited hack after he spread the propaganda that Bernie supporters threw chairs.

[Fusionmunster]

Jon Ralston is a discredited hack after he spread the propaganda that Bernie supporters threw chairs.

Still holding a grudge, are we?

[BundouYMB]

Jon Ralston is a discredited hack after he spread the propaganda that Bernie supporters threw chairs.

The Kremlin would be proud of you jfern. I have never seen anyone so committed to lying about everything.

Ralston's brave on the ground reporting of the violent Sanders mob, at grave personal risk to himself, is yet another notch in his incredibly accomplished hat.

[ApatheticAustrian]

few people were so correct about 2016 without citing their gut as only source than ralston.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Sislock will win it calling it now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sislock will win it calling it now

[Hindsight was 2020]

Sislock will win it calling it now

My bad I meant Sisolak

[publicunofficial]

Jon Ralston is a discredited hack after he spread the propaganda that Bernie supporters threw chairs.

Get over yourself.