2017 British Columbia election

[Hatman 🍁]

No new results from Courtenay-Comox yet today, but in this morning's counting, the province-wide Liberal PV lead is down to ~1700.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

According to Richard Zussman this is the order of how absentee ballots are being counted the first two categories have been counted, I assume we will have to wait until close to 5 to see the final margin.

1.Section 98 Special- This would cover voting within the district at places like Hospitals.

2. Section 99 Absentee - in ED- Voters that vote in their district but not at their assigned polling place.

3. Section 100 Absentee - out of ED-Voters that voted outside of their district on election day.

4. Section 101 Absentee - advance-Voters that voted outside of their district during advanced voting.

5. Section 104 Voting in DEO office-Voters that voted at the District Electoral office.

8. Section 106 Voting by mail-Voters that voted by mail.


Edit voting results last time: http://142.34.128.33/docs/rpt/2013GE/CMX.pdf

NDP won section 98,99,100, and 106 last time, Liberals won section 104 last time and section 101 was a Liberal and NDP tie.

[Njall]

NDP lead in Courtenay-Comox up to 148 votes.

[Hatman 🍁]

Only 4 more ridings to count PV margin now at ~1600 votes. Even though Section 106 voters are disproportionately NDP voters, I don't think the NDP can make up the difference. 2 of the 4 ridings remaining went/are going NDP, 1 Liberal and the other is Courtenay-Comox.

[Njall]

Also, according to Richard Zussman on Twitter, there are around 568 votes left to count in Courtenay-Comox, so Benninger would need around 2/3rds of the vote (doing rough math in my head) to win.

[Jeppe]

Liberal margin in Coquitlam-Burke Mountain is down to 87, although I don't think there are any more absentee ballots to count. Any possibility of a recount this late in the stage? They did have the weird vote adjustment that gave the Liberal candidate an extra 70 votes the day after the election.

[cp]

Also, according to Richard Zussman on Twitter, there are around 568 votes left to count in Courtenay-Comox, so Benninger would need around 2/3rds of the vote (doing rough math in my head) to win.

HA! I went to high school with him. Was on the debating team. Nice guy. Glad to see he's doing well for himself.

[Hatman 🍁]

Two ridings left to count, and of course Courtenay-Comox is one of them. No update there. Liberal province-wide PV lead is under 1700 votes.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

NDP win Courtenay-Comox by 189 votes.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Woot! Looks like the Greens have a lot more power in government now.

[Hatman 🍁]

Woot! Looks like the Greens have a lot more power in government now.

Enjoy your Liberal-Green coalition.

[lilTommy]

WOW...

Popular Vote:
BCL - 40.36%
NDP - 40.28%

Also, looks like the best results for the BC Conservatives was... Courtney-Comox, with 7.55%

http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/GE-2017-05-09_result.html

[Krago]

WOW...

Popular Vote:
BCL - 40.36%
NDP - 40.28%

Also, looks like the best results for the BC Conservatives was... Comox-Courtney, with 7.55%

http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/GE-2017-05-09_result.html

Is this the closest popular vote margin for any recent provincial election?

[Boston Bread]

WOW...

Popular Vote:
BCL - 40.36%
NDP - 40.28%

Also, looks like the best results for the BC Conservatives was... Comox-Courtney, with 7.55%

http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/GE-2017-05-09_result.html

Is this the closest popular vote margin for any recent provincial election?

I think it's the closest since NB 1978.

[136or142]

Regional vote totals

Vancouver 259,429
N.D.P:   134,241, 51.74%
Liberal:   87,470, 33.72
Green:    34,358, 13.24
Other:       3,361

Lower Mainland (Richmond, Tri Cities, Delta, New Westminster, North Shore, Burnaby - 19 ridings)
Total  431,299
N.D.P:  182,324, 42.27%
Liberal: 174,279, 40.41 
Green:    63,714, 14.77
Other:     10,982

Surrey 193,098
NDP:      88,706, 45.94%
Liberal:   79,469, 41.15
Green:   20,632,  10.68
Other:      4,291

Fraser Valley (Abbotsford, Chilliwack, Langley, Maple Ridge - 9 ridings)
Total: 217,853
NDP:       73,827, 33.89%
Liberal: 105,385, 48.37
Green:    31,990, 14.68
Other:      6,651

Southern Interior (Okanagan, Kootenays, Kamloops, Fraser-Nicola)
Total:  320,562
NDP:      97,183, 30.32%
Liberal: 158,779, 49.53
Green:    55,217, 17.23

North (including North Coast and Powell River-Sunshine Coast)
Total: 156,222
NDP:     55,090, 35.26%
Liberal: 78,425, 50.20
Green: 15,764, 10.01
Other:    6,943

Southern Vancouver Island (Up to Langford - 7 ridings)
Total:     198,659
NDP:    84,225, 42.40%
Liberal: 47,282, 23.80
Green:  64,980, 32.71
Other:     2,172

Northern Vancouver Island (Starting with Cowichan - 7 ridings)
Total: 196,792
NDP:     79,510, 40.40%
Liberal:  65,583, 33.33
Green:   45,733, 23.24
Other:     5,966

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Greater Vancouver - 48 ridings
Total: 1,101,679
NDP:      479,098,  43.49%
Liberal:  446,603,   40.54
Green:   150,693,   13.68
Other:     25,285


Interior (and Coast) - 25 ridings
Total: 476,784
NDP:      152,273, 31.94%
Liberal:  237,204, 49.75
Green:     70,981, 14.89
Other:      16,326

Vancouver Island - 14 ridings
Total: 395,451
NDP:     163,735, 41.40%
Liberal:  112,865, 28.54
Green:   110,713, 28.00
Other:        8,138

----------------------------------------------

Total:     1,973,914
NDP:        795,106 40.28%
Liberal:    796,672, 40.36
Green:     332,387, 16.84
Other:        49,749

[136or142]

WOW...

Popular Vote:
BCL - 40.36%
NDP - 40.28%

Also, looks like the best results for the BC Conservatives was... Comox-Courtney, with 7.55%

http://electionsbcenr.blob.core.windows.net/electionsbcenr/GE-2017-05-09_result.html

Is this the closest popular vote margin for any recent provincial election?

The 1999 and 2003 Saskatchewan Elections are probably instructive here for B.C. In 1999, the NDP won 29 of 58 seats, and the Sask Party 26 with the Liberals taking 3.  The NDP and the Liberals formed a coalition government, with one Liberal refusing to join after the Saskatchewan Liberal Party Executive voted that it wanted no part of a NDP-Liberal Coalition.  Still, the 31 seat coalition managed to remain in office for a full four year term.

The Sask Party won the popular vote in that 1999 election by 39.6-38.7%

In 2003, The Saskatchewan NDP won a bare majority by 30-28 seats (despite winning the popular vote 44.7-39.4%) yet, again, managed to govern for their entire four year term.

[136or142]

Starting to look over some more numerical tidbits.

1.This isn't completely accurate, because a few ridings had their election night totals adjusted (I never adjusted my preliminary vote totals), but it's obviously fairly close:

Absentee vote totals: 174,559
NDP:      78,033, 44.7%
Liberal:   61,568, 35.3
Green:    31,109, 17.8
Other:      3,849

2.Number of ridings in which the winning candidate received over 50% of the vote: 48/87

[136or142]

Northern Vancouver Island and the Coast isn't that different from the Interior.  Both the NDP and the B.C  Liberals should figure out why they can win in one area but not the other.

[lilTommy]

Northern Vancouver Island and the Coast isn't that different from the Interior.  Both the NDP and the B.C  Liberals should figure out why they can win in one area but not the other.

That just feels wrong?   Maybe someone with more local understanding can answer this... but Northern Vancouver Island, and the Coast have voted NDP since 72 most riding's going NDP, save 86 which had more mixed results.
The interior has a swing to it, When the NDP won (72,91,96) they won over much of the interior (Kootenays, Thompson, north Fraser, Cariboo) with the exception of the Okanagan which has been pretty solid SC/BCL

[Hatman 🍁]

A majority of Green voters think the NDP should form government: http://www.insightswest.com/news/most-british-columbians-want-greens-to-support-ndp-in-legislature/

[Antonio the Sixth]

A majority of Green voters think the NDP should form government: http://www.insightswest.com/news/most-british-columbians-want-greens-to-support-ndp-in-legislature/

lol

[RogueBeaver]

Make 1985 Great Again?

[DL]

Let's start singing "The Orange and The Green"

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-greens-and-ndp-to-hold-joint-news-conference-1.4136539

[Hatman 🍁]

Can we call it an Ireland coalition?

[RogueBeaver]

How does 44/43 last 4 years?