2017 British Columbia election

[Vosem]

Libs lead 31-22-2. Greens ahead in Saanich North, but I don't see where else. Nothing in yet from Oak Bay.

Kelowna is the first seat to be called -- for the Liberals. At the federal level, this is a longtime safe Reform/Conservative seat that was picked up by the Trudeau Liberals in 2015, recording a much greater swing than most of the region, in what was definitely the most impressive Lib win in BC, and one of the most impressive nationwide

EDIT: With the update, Libs up 39-27-0. NDP now ahead in Saanich North, by 10 votes

[MAINEiac4434]

The Green candidate in Columbia River-Revelstoke looks like he's 12 years old.

[Vosem]

Amusingly, the riding of North Island is currently an exact tie between the Libs and NDP.

EDIT: Vancouver-Quilchena called for the Libs. Very safe seat (went 64-25 for Libs in 2013). Kelowna, the other called seat, was 57-25 back then. Current lead in Vancouver-Quilchena, 58-25

[MAINEiac4434]

NDP takes the lead in Saanich North and the Islands.

[jaichind]

Total vote count lead by LIB of 47.3% vs NDP 35.1% looks pretty good for LIB right now ...

[Vosem]

45 Libs, 28 NDP, 1 Green. 47%-35%-15%. Clearly a Liberal victory here.

Greens currently lead NDP in Saanich North 37-34. Libs far behind there.

EDIT: First NDP call of the night in Powell River. Libs receive calls in Abbotsford, Vancouver-Quilchena, Kelowna-Lake Country (which I mistakenly abbreviated to just Kelowna earlier), and Kelowna-Mission

[trebor204]

About 5% of the polls reported, the smaller polls tend to be counted first (fewer ballots to be counted) , and then the larger polls. Maybe 2-3% of the votes has been counted.

[KingSweden]

44 seats for majority yes?

[MAINEiac4434]

40-34-1. Greens have the lead in Saanich.

[MAINEiac4434]

Vancouver-Quilchena called for the Liberals.

[Vosem]

Libs win Surrey-White Rock. NDP wins Vancouver-Mount Pleasant.

In terms of leads, Liberal 40, NDP 34, Greens 1 (tightening). In terms of called seats, Libs lead NDP 5-2. Popular vote is 46%-36%-15%.

EDIT: Libs win Delta South. NDP wins Surrey-Walley.

[Hatman 🍁]

The NDP is pretty far behind in the popular vote. If we are looking at a close race in the popular vote, then a lot of the NDP areas aren't in yet.

[jaichind]

The CON vote collapse should seem like a bad sign for NDP.  

[MAINEiac4434]

Powell River-Sunshine Coast an NDP victory.

[Vosem]

First poll in Saanich South has the Greens and NDP exactly tied. Looks like Greens may emerge with a couple of seats on the island once all this is said and done (still nothing in at all from Oak Bay, their 2013 victory).

Getting tired of reporting exact seats since so many are coming in, but Libs lead NDP 9-4 in terms of calls, none of which are remarkable. 42Lib-35NDP-1Green seat leads. 45%-37%-15% PV.

EDIT: One notable call -- the first seat called on the island, Mid Island, is for the NDP. Alberni-Pacific Rim, the seat it is descended from, is fairly NDP, but still notable as the Greens cut into their vote on the Island.

[Vosem]

Liberals have a large lead right now in called seats and the popular vote, but the total seat count in terms of leads is actually fairly close. NDP seem to have a lot of fairly safe seats, the 2001 wipe-out notwithstanding.

[Hatman 🍁]

The CON vote collapse should seem like a bad sign for NDP.  

LOL they're a non-factor; running in just 10 seats

[jaichind]

The CON vote collapse should seem like a bad sign for NDP.  

LOL they're a non-factor; running in just 10 seats

Well, they did get almost 5% of the vote in 2013.  Now I think it is near zero.

[MAINEiac4434]

This election will come down to a handful of marginals.

[MAINEiac4434]

NDP just took the lead in two ridings. Total is now 42-40-1 with a handful still not reporting.

[Hatman 🍁]

NDP is doing reasonably well in most of the marginals, which is good news. Lots of talk about the huge advance polls. Wonder how they will lean?

[jaichind]

Pretty amazing how close the seat count is given the large LIB vote share lead.

[Vosem]

The seat lead is 42-40-1 for the Libs right now (with 2 seats still entirely out), even as they lead 45%-37%-15% on the popular vote.

[MAINEiac4434]

Pretty amazing how close the seat count is given the large LIB vote share lead.

Liberals are running up the score in their safe ridings while somewhat underperfoming in marginals. It's 41-41-1 with one tied and three still not reporting.

[Vosem]

Libs lead 26-13 in called seats and 44%-38% in popular vote, but the seat count is tied 41-41.