2017 British Columbia election

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What is "doxing"?

Internet bloodsport.

[Lord Halifax]

What is "doxing"?

"Using private information gleaned from the internet to attack someone with whom you disagree, often by publishing their person info, opening them to abuse and possibly, danger.
While many consider doxing to be unethical, there continues to be a segment of internet users who will do anything to attack someone they don't like, or disagree with on an issue."

http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=doxing

[adma]

Hey: properly done, it can serve a purpose ;-)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWyCCJ6B2WE

[DL]

Aww...the poor BC Liberal party, just weeks away from the official start of the election campaign and now they are under investigation by Elections BC for their corrupt fundraising practices.

https://beta.theglobeandmail.com/news/british-columbia/elections-bc-probes-liberal-party-fundraising/article34210991/?ref=http://www.theglobeandmail.com&

[Lotuslander]

Damn. the BC Libs are now toast in 2017. Who woulda thunk?

Wait a minute. Wait a minute. What's this from the Globe and Mail newspaper:

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On the weekend, Andrew Weaver and the BC Green Party issued a press release requesting both Elections BC as well as the RCMP investigate both the BC Libs and BC NDP:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Hell, the BC Greens certainly know how to smell political red meat when they see it.

Oh Oh again. Elections BC head Archer this afternoon stated that he will be investigating both the BC Libs and BC NDP regarding lobbyist donations. Same lobbyists donated multiple times to both BC Libs and BC NDP according to Elections BC database. The $5,000/plate breakfast for BC NDP leader Horgan in wayyyy off Toronto, organized by an ON nuclear energy lobbyist, is also now under EBC scrutiny. Say it can't be?

No wonder both BC Lib leader Clark and BC NDP leader Horgan were "unavailable" for media interviews this afternoon. Meanwhile BC Green leader Weaver was having a field day swamping the BC media this afternoon.

Gotta hand it to Weaver and the BC Greens. Again, they can smell a political "red meat" issue when they see one.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

^^^^

I saw this on the local news last night. Very smart for Weaver to make this an issue. Greens are already in double digits and this could bring them above 20%.

[Lotuslander]

Today's Mainstreet Research IVR/robo poll. Their 3rd in 3 weeks and looks to be a weekly fixture until e-day. Again, in BC, IVR is cheap junk polling based upon 2013 election and other BC elections:

BC NDP: 29%
BC Liberal: 26%
BC Green: 10%
BC Con: 10%
Undecided: 25%

[lilTommy]

Mainstreet Poll 3/11-12
http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/despite-campaign-finance-controversy-liberals-ndp-gain/

Decided/Leaning
NDP - 40%
BCL - 36%
Green - 13%
Con - 11%
... Looks at the trend since Feb, the NDP is ticking up every poll (37%, 38%, 39%, 40%) The BCL are static. NDP leads in VanIsd, GV; BCL leads "Rest of BC" BCL still have the strongest voter strength at 70% NDP not far behind with 63%, Green the weakest 45% (this is good news for the NDP since the Green second choice is NDP 45% vs BCL 16%) Interesting here is that the Conservative second choice is showing mostly Green 40%, NDP 28%, BCL 19%. The NDP also leads in every age bracket. Grain of salt polling.

Interestingly in regards to the Ironworkers Liberal endorsement, looks like there is a members movement against this, actual members, workers are not happy or supportive of the BCL endorsement. 3/25 we will see if there is a significant membership push to overturn this or making a competing endorsement for the NDP (or no one). But interesting infighting between Union executive and the membership. 

http://theprovince.com/news/bc-politics/mike-smyth-ironworkers-fight-their-own-union-over-liberal-endorsement

[DL]

Its fascinating how the "conventional wisdom' is that those voters who claim they would vote for the essentially defunct BC Conservatives will almost all end up voting for the BC Liberals. and yet, they have such an astonishingly high "rejection rate" for the BC Liberals with only 19% saying they would vote BC Liberal as a second choice...way behind the percentage who would vote NDP or even Green! and that pattern has been consistent in every wave of this survey.

What it suggests to me is the following:

1. There is a chunk of about 10% in BC who are wedded to the "conservative" name. These people tend to really really dislike Christy Clark who walks and talks like a federal Liberal. They are likely rural populists who see the BC Liberals as a "downtown business elite party" (which they are).

2. There is an anti-establishment, throw the bums out segment in BC that is "anyone but Liberal"

3. Clearly some of those BC Con people will end up voting BC Liberal...but perhaps no where as large a share of them as the BC Liberals need. I suspect that some will vote for what BC Conservatives candidates there on ballot, some will vote for the plethora of independents small 'c' conservative candidates who seem to be running quasi serious campaigns in various ridings. Some will cast an anti-Christy protest vote for the BC NDP or for the Greens and some will just stay home   

[Lotuslander]

Interestingly in regards to the Ironworkers Liberal endorsement, looks like there is a members movement against this, actual members, workers are not happy or supportive of the BCL endorsement. 3/25 we will see if there is a significant membership push to overturn this or making a competing endorsement for the NDP (or no one). But interesting infighting between Union executive and the membership. 

http://theprovince.com/news/bc-politics/mike-smyth-ironworkers-fight-their-own-union-over-liberal-endorsement

Most likely disgruntled old ideologues within the Ironworkers Union. Again, the 2013 BC election was a historical watershed election in that blue collar workers abandoned the BC NDP for the BC Libs - esp. in interior BC. Since then, we have already seen close links by the unionized BC Building Trades unions  and the BC Libs as well as internal dissension within USW ranks over their support of the BC NDP.

Within the last week or so the recently retired head of the ILWU penned this letter to the Province newspaper:

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And one can see similar undercurrents from the IAMAW:

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To paraphrase Bob Dylan's old classic "The Times They Are A-Changin'".

[Lotuslander]

Another Mainstreet Research opinion poll out today - IVR/robo poll. Am on record as stating this methodology is just cheap polling junk in BC... but am throwing it out there in any event.

Decided/Leaning:

BC NDP: 36%
BC Liberal: 34%
BC Green: 19%
BC Con: 11%

The regional result for Van Isle is certainly bizarre:

BC Green: 32%
BC Lib: 32%
BC NDP: 28%
BC Con: 7%

http://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/greens-tie-liberals-for-first-on-vancouver-island/

Also an interesting G&M article today on public BC opinion polling in both the BC 2013 election and public pollsters' thoughts for 2017... as well as political parties internal polling strategies:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/british-columbia/bc-polling/article34548468/

[King of Kensington]

How is the BC NDP handling the "jobs vs. environment" frame or materialism vs. post-materialism this time?  False dichotomy it may be, it has plagued the party since the 1990s.  Take too strong an environmental stance, you risk losing votes to the right, take too strong an "extractionist" stance you lose votes to greens.

The common narrative for BC 2013 is that Christy Clark put on a hard hat and promised construction jobs, costing the NDP votes in the interior.  Then again, the NDP did worse than expected in the Lower Mainland too, and I have my doubts this was why the Liberals won votes there too.

[Lotuslander]

Interesting to note that one advert that has been running constantly for a few weeks now all over various 6 pm evening newscasts, radio etc. [sponsored by a group apparently/obviously aligned with the BC Libs]... is about the Leap Manifesto.

Said advert also includes footage of BC NDP leader John Horgan from a few months ago, back in January, 2017, stating that he "doesn't disagree with the bulk of the Leap Manifesto and that he will be putting forward his own 'Leap Manifesto' in [this] election":

https://vimeo.com/209227555

[RogueBeaver]

Globe on ground wars & Vancouver Sun on key battlegrounds.

[136or142]

The NDP has announced the last candidate to fill out their slate for the election in line with the campaign kickoff (Peace River South was the last riding.)

Due to the large demand here (every person has messaged me demanding this - actually nobody has) I will once again list the slate of NDP candidates for every riding. 

Please remain at your computers right on this web page until I do so.

[136or142]

Vancouver
1.Vancouver-Fairview, George Heyman,67, Executive Director Sierra Club, former President BCGEU, runner and kayaker, M.L.A 2013-

2.Vancouver-False Creek, Morgane Oger,48, RO IT Systems Lead Consultant, Owner Pilothouse Marina (located in Powell River), President Trans-Alliance Society,  B.Sc-Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture

3.Vancouver-Fraserview, George Chow,66, Retired B.C Hyrdro Senior Engineer, B.Sc-Engineering, Vancouver City Councillor 2005-2011, 2013 nominee in Vancouver-Langara

4.Vancouver-Hastings, Shane Simpson, Smart Growth B.C Director of Policy and Communications,  Former Community Economic Program Instructor, Former CUPE Legislative Coordinator, Former Executive Director Worker Ownership Resource Center, Former Vice Chair Isadora's Cooperative Restaurant, M.L.A 2005-

5.Vancouver-Kensington, Mable Elmore,48, Bus Driver and Union Local Activist, B-Physical Education,  M.L.A 2009-

6.Vancouver-Kingsway, Adrian Dix,53, Executive Director Canadian Parents for French (Education) B.C and Yukon Branch, former Premier Glen Clark Chief of Staff, B.A-History and Political Science, M.L.A 2005-

7.Vancouver-Langara, James Wang, Canadian Overseas Holdings Vice President and Marketing Director, Canada Export Center Senior Advisor, M.B.A,  Burnaby City Councillor 2014-, Burnaby School Trustee 2008-2014, Golfer

8.Vancouver-Mount Pleasant, Melanie Mark, 41, B.C Children's Advocate Deputy Representative, B.A-Political Science and Sociology, Certificate-Children and Youth Human Rights, Executive Certificate-Business Administration and Management, M.L.A 2016-

9.Vancouver-Point Grey, David Eby,40, Human Rights Lawyer, Executive Director B.C Civil Liberties Association, Law Professor,  Former President Canadian HIV/AIDS Legal Network, B.A - English - rhetoric and professional writing, LLB - law, M.L.A 2013-

10.Vancouver-Quilchena, Madeline Lalonde,22, S.I Systems Inc I.T Recruiter (Employee Recruiter), B.A-Sociology

11.Vancouver-West End, Spencer Chandra Herbert,36, Dance Troupe Manager, B-Fine Arts, Vancouver Parks Commissioner 2005-2008, M.L.A 2008-

[136or142]

Greater Vancouver
1.Burnaby-Deer Lake, Anne Kang, Elementary School Music Teacher, B.-Music, B-Elementary Education, Certificate-Special Education- Gifted and Creative Learners, M-Special Education, Montessori Certificate, Burnaby City Councillor 2008-

2.Burnaby-Edmonds, Raj Chouhan, Hospital Employees Union Director of Bargaining, Founding President Canadian Farmworkers Union,  M.L.A 2005-

3.Burnaby Lougheed, Katrina Chen, M.P Peter Julien Constituency Assistant, B.A-Political Science (minor-history) Certificate - Immigration Laws, Policies and Procedures, Burnaby School Trustee 2014-

4.Burnaby North, Janet Routledge, Retired Public Service Alliance of Canada Regional Director, Employment and Insurance Board Referee, B.A-Political Science and Economics, M.A-Liberal Studies, Masters Thesis: "Why did the American White Working Class Vote for Sarah Palin?"  (She went back and earned her masters years after earning her B.A), 2013 nominee

5.Coquitlam-Burke Mountain, Jodie Wickens,34, Executive Director Autism Support Network, B-Community Rehabilitation - Disability and Applied Behavior Analysis, Certificate - Behavior Intervention-Classroom and Community Support, M.L.A 2016-

6.Coquitlam-Maillardville, Selina Robinson,54, Self Employed Couple and Family Therapist, Counselling Instructor, SHARE Family Services Director of Development, M.A-Counselling Psychology, Coquitlam City Councillor 2008-2013, M.L.A 2013-

7.Delta North, Ravi Kahlon,38, N.D.P Caucus Director of Stakeholder Relations, Field Hockey Player and Olympian, Field Hockey Youth Coach

8.Delta South, Bruce Reid, High School Counselor and School Counselors Association President, Richmond Teacher's Association Executive, Former Salvation Army Pastor and Administrator, Delta School Trustee 2014-

9.New Westminster, Judy Darcy,67, Hospital Employees Union Business Manager, Former President CUPE, Studied Political Science, Kayaker, M.L.A 2013-

10.North Vancouver-Lonsdale, Bowinn Ma, Civil Engineer and Project Manager, B.Sc (Applied)- Civil Engineering, M-Management

11.North Vancouver-Seymour, Michael Charrois,54, Actor and Theater Arts Instructor, B-Fine Arts, 2008 and 2011 Federal Nominee and 2015 Candidate for Nomination, 2001 Provincial nominee

12.Port Coquitlam, Mike Farnworth,57,  International Democracy Organization Worker, Former M.L.A Constituency Assistant, B.Sc-Geography, Port Coquitlam City Councillor 1983-1990, M.L.A 1991-2001 2005-

13.Port Moody, Rick Glumac, Atmi Software Inc Development Team Lead, B.Sc-Electronics Engineering, Port Moody City Councillor 2011-

14.Richmond North Center, Lyren Chiu, Nursing Instructor and Former Professor, Executive Director Canadian Research Institute of Spirituality and Healing, Former Owner Beautiful Minds Wellness Center,  B.Sc-Nursing, M.Sc-Psychiatric Liaison Nursing (minors Nursing Administration),  PhD-Nursing

15.Richmond South Center, Chak Au, Mental Health Therapist and Richmond Mental Health Team Program Leader, Richmond School Trustee 1999-2011, Richmond City Councillor 2011-

16.Richmond-Queensborough, Amandeep Singh Chandi (Aman Singh), Human and Civil Rights Lawyer and Law Firm Partner, B.Sc-Anthropology and Physics, J.D

17.Richmond-Steveston, Kelly Greene,37 Co-Founder Richmond Schools Stand United

18.West Vancouver-Capilano, Mehdi Russel, Physician, Managing Director Bioca Pharma (pharmaceutical export consulting), Ondine Biomedical Inc Vice President International Marketing and Sales, M.D, M-Public Health, M.B.A, PhD-Health Planning and Management, Former Iranian Health Department Senior Civil Servant (Developed the Iranian Public Health Insurance System)

19.West Vancouver-Sea to Sky, Michelle Livaja,45, Former B.C Nurses Union Communications Specialist, Volunteer Tai-Chi Instructor, Certificate-Communications, Communications Student

Any errors in the information presented are the fault of anybody but me!

[Lotuslander]

15.Richmond South Center, Chak Au, Mental Health Therapist and Richmond Mental Health Team Program Leader, Richmond School Trustee 1999-2011, Richmond City Councillor 2011-

Au was recruited/appointed/acclaimed by BC NDP HQ in this riding. BTW in the foregoing riding, with transposed 2013 results, BC NDP received 23% under new riding boundaries in 2013.

However, that appointment will obviously turn out to be quite problematic for BC NDP provincially heading into the writ period next Tuesday. Why?

Chinese Fairchild TV/radio had an interview with Au a few days ago... Au is obviously a very *social conservative* candidate, against human rights, also backed by the local Richmond Con MP Alice Wong:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://www.reddit.com/r/britishcolumbia/comments/63loe5/fairchild_ndp_richmond_south_centre_candidate/

English Language media has not yet caught on to his very so-con views but causing a bit of a stir on social media tonight. Even BC Green Party leader Andrew Weaver has now espoused his concerns on social media, which also obviously will not make the BC NDP base happy.

Suspect that English media will catch on early next week at time of writ drop. Reminds me of a similar situation with BC NDP after writ drop in 2013:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2013/04/16/dayleen-van-ryswyk-kelowna-ndp-racist_n_3093747.html

[DC Al Fine]

How did a socon get on the NDP ticket? Instamembers, or did the NDP do a crappy job on their vetting?

[136or142]

How did a socon get on the NDP ticket? Instamembers, or did the NDP do a crappy job on their vetting?

If this is true, it would be a surprise to me.  I can't speak Chinese so I don't know what Chak Au said.

What I'm aware of is that some person placed an ad in a Chinese newspaper that said that with Chak Au as the NDP candidate, that Richmond would become like the Downtown Eastside with same sex marriages, sex education, injection sites and the like.

As I posted, Chak Au has been a school trustee and then a city councilor here in Richmond for nearly 20 years and he has been mostly associated with the 'left wing' on those boards.  If he had ever made a comment against sex education in schools as a school trustee I have no doubt it would have become a major issue.  The most controversial thing about him is that he has switched municipal political parties a couple times and ran with the more 'right wing' slate the last time around.  However, he generally votes with the more 'left wing' faction on council.

For instance, in the 2013 provincial election, he supported fellow city councilor Carol Day who ran with the B.C Conservative Party.  However, as I've noted before, the B.C Conservatives, unlike the Federal Conservatives (the two parties are not united and most federal Conservatives support the B.C Liberals)
the B.C Conservatives are more of a populist party and Carol Day on city council mostly votes with the 'left wing' faction especially in terms of opposing 'runaway' property development.

Chak Au was also asked to run for the Federal Conservatives in 2015 and apparently briefly considered the idea.  

It should be noted here that Au has been totally open about all of these things and has not tried to hide his political 'machinations.'  So, that he would have covered up his views on these issues for going on 20 years would be a major surprise to me.

This is me speculating, but I would be surprised if the Provincial NDP did not discuss Chak Au with longtime city councilor and former Richmond M.L.A Harold Steves before talking to Au about the possibility of running.

I would remind you that the Original Poster here on this is Lotuslander and that only a fool would believe anything he says without checking and double checking.

He could be right, but I haven't seen anything about it and it would be a surprise to me.

[136or142]

Surrey
1.Surrey-Cloverdale, Rebecca Smith, Executive Director Surrey Hospice Society, Management Consultant and Firm Owner (Valshiva Consulting), Former Executive Director B.C Psychological Association, Former President Bully Free B.C,  B.A - Political Science and Government, M.B.A, Certification - Public Relations, Advertising and Applied Communications, 2015 Federal NDP nominee

2.Surrey-Fleetwood, Jagrup Brar,58, Former Radio India Talk Show Host, Former Executive Director Surrey Self Employment and Entrepreneur Development Society (SEEDS), M.P.A, M-Philosophy, Former Indian National Team Basketball Player, M.L.A 2004-2013

3.Surrey-Green Timbers, Rachna Singh, CUPE National Representative, Former Drug and Alcohol Counselor, M.A-Psychology

4.Surrey-Guilford, Garry Begg,66, Retired RCMP Senior Inspector, Police Institute Graduate - Law and Justice, 2015 Federal Nominee

5.Surrey-Newton, Harry Bains,65, I.W.A. Local Vice President, M.L.A 2005-

6.Surrey-Panorama, Jinny Sims,64, Former President B.C Teacher's Federation, Former High School English Teacher, B-Education, M.P 2011-2015

7.Surrey-South, Jonathan Silveira, Re/Max Realtor and Mortgage Broker, 2014 Surrey School Board Candidate (Received highest vote of any non winning candidate, though still only around half the votes of the lowest Surrey First slate candidate)

8.Surrey-Whalley, Bruce Ralston,64, Lawyer and Firm Owner,  Former Director and Chair VanCity Savings Credit Union, Former President B.C N.D.P, B.A - History, J.D, Surrey City Councillor 1988-1993, M.L.A 2005-

9.Surrey-White Rock, Niovi Patsicakos,60, Retired Special Education Teacher, Former President Association of Surrey Specialist Educators, Former B.C.T.F Activist, M-Education-Remediation and Special Education, 2014 Surrey School Board Candidate

[Lotuslander]

How did a socon get on the NDP ticket? Instamembers, or did the NDP do a crappy job on their vetting?

Doubt many NDP members in the riding of Richmond South Centre considering that they received 23% here with 2013 transposed results. Suspect that Au was recruited by NDP HQ and then anointed/acclaimed.

A few days ago, Au was interviewed in Cantonese by Fairchild TV/Radio and stating his socon views and opposition to gay marriage, injection sites, gender-neutral washrooms, pot legalisation and early sex ed.

What's even more surprising is that Au told Fairchild TV that he was invited by the BC NDP to run and that the NDP assured him that he can vote his conscience on these sensitive issues.

Fairchild media interview here with translation:

https://www.facebook.com/am1470fm961/videos/1669655613059464/

This matter just got picked up early yesterday evening on social media and English-language media is not yet aware of same. Problem is that if/when they pick it up, likely this week, could cause a major distraction for BC NDP campaign after writ is dropped on Tuesday. Bizarre.

[136or142]

Fraser Valley
1.Abbotsford-Mission, Andrew Christie, Gordon Neighborhood House Community Food Advocate, former Head Chef and Food Security Coordinator, (Lives in Vancouver)

2.Abbotsford South, Jasleen Arora, Simon Fraser University Steps Forward Senior Facilitator (SFU Campus) (Supports Post Secondary Students with Developmental Disabilities),  B.A - Criminology and Sociology, M.Sc- Leadership and Organizations - Philanthropic Leadership, (Lives in Burnaby)

3.Abbotsford West, Preet Rai, Chartered Accountant and B.C Government Auditor, B - Commerce - Accounting, Abbotsford School Trustee 2008-, 2013 Nominee (Lives in Abbotsford )

4.Chilliwack, Tracey O'Hara, School District Secretary, CUPE Local First Vice President and Former Shop Steward, Fraser Valley (Labor) District Council Trustee

5.Chilliwack-Kent, Patti MacAhonic, Executive Director (Chilliwack) Ann Davis Transition Society,  C.E.O and Lead Consultant Executive Business Smarts and L-Attitude in Leadership Consulting Ltd, Former Executive Director Chilliwack Chamber of Commerce, MBA - Management Consulting, B.A (Hons)-Adult Education, Provincial Instructor Diploma, 2013 Nominee, 2014 City Council Candidate (Top Non Winning Candidate)

6.Langley, Gail Chaddock Costello, Langley Teacher's Association President, Former Education Professor, Former School Principal, Bed and Breakfast Owner, B.A- B - Education, M - Education, 2009 Nominee, 2013 Candidate for Nomination

7.Langley East, Inder Johal, Kwantlen (Polytechnic University) Public Interest Research Group Marketing and Communications Coordinator, B.C Fed of Labor Health and Safety Center Workshop Facilitator - Alive After Five Program (Occupational Health and Safety Programs for High School Students and Young Workers), B.A - Criminal Justice, A.A - Criminology, Certificate - Graphic Design

8.Maple Ridge-Mission, Bob D'Eith,52, Entertainment Lawyer and Firm Owner, Music Consultant, Pianist, Author, Former Executive Director Music B.C,  Record Label and Publishing Owner (Adagio Music Inc), B.A(Hons) - History, 2015 Federal Nominee, 2013 Provincial Candidate for Nomination

9.Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows, Lisa Beare,40, Former Flight Attendant,  Former CUPE Local Vice President, Diploma - Local Government Management, Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows School Trustee 2014-

[DL]

Here is a brilliant ad from Better Government for BC that lays out the case for how Christy Clark is totally corrupt and has got to go.

https://youtu.be/zV-N9vlURuU

Its gonna be a nailbiter. Insight West has a kick off poll out today

http://www.insightswest.com/news/clark-drops-horgan-stable-weaver-surges-in-british-columbia/

NDP - 40%
BC Libs - 38%
Greens - 17%
BC Cons - 3%
Other - 2%

There is literally nothing left for the Bc Libs to draw from the defunct BC Conservatives - but the NDP could gain a lot of ground as people parked with the Greens start to vote strategically for the only part that can give "Crooked Christy" the boot. Note that the poll also shows that the vast majority want a change of government and even more disturbing to the Bc Liberals, when people are asked what the top election issue is 39% say "housing/poverty/homeless" (an NDP strong suit), 20% say health care (another NDP strong suit) and just 19% say the economy (the only Liberal strong suit)...oh yeah and only 7% say the environment is the top issue whihc doesnt bode well for the Greens in the long run

[136or142]

I'm still seeing no reporting on the alleged story on Chak Au.  I'm more than a little suspicious that that post was deliberate 'fake news' by Lotuslander.  If that is the case, I hope the moderator here finally bans Lotuslander.