In what year will the first female President be elected?

[Senator-elect Spark]

[Heisenberg]

Most likely in '24 or '28, but I voted for 2024.

[Xing]

I'm gonna be bold and say 2020.

[Kingpoleon]

2017-2021: Donald Trump/Mike Pence
2021-2025: Kirsten Gillibrand/Martin Heinrich
2025-20??: Senator Kelly Ayotte/Governor Carlos Curbelo

[100% pro-life no matter what]

By 2032 at the latest.  My other prediction is that she will be a Republican.

[Del Tachi]

2028

[Mister Mets]

There are better than even odds that a woman will win the Democratic party's nomination in 2020 (Warren, Gilibrand, Harris being possibilities) and they may have a better than even odds in the general, but it's still not going to be a combined 50%.

Odds of a female President may be worse in 2024. Warren and Gilibrand will be less appealing candidates, and there would be the possible blowback from two women losing in a row. There might also be more men who will emerge as party leaders. On the Republican side, Pence would be the frontrunner for the nomination.

It could very well take a while. The following is all plausible.

Democrats nominate a woman in 2020, and she loses to Trump, just as the majority of challengers lose to incumbent Presidents.
Democrats nominate a man in 2024, and he wins, just as tends to occur when parties hold the White House for two terms. He gets reelected in 2028.
So it would all end up depending on who parties nominate in 2032.

[eric82oslo]

By 2032 at the latest.  My other prediction is that she will be a Republican.

In that case it'll have to be Nicky Haley. I can't think of any other GOP female politician who is both popular enough, moderate enough and has the ambition in order to become a president. Susana Martinez obviously is moderate/popular enough, but doesn't have any ambition whatsoever.

An alternative to Nicky could perhaps be Lisa Murkovski? That's the only alternative I could think of right now at least.

[The_Doctor]

2040. A white man will be president, for a while.

[The_Doctor]

I'll elaborate.

Geraldine Ferraro was the 1984 Democratic VP nominee. Clinton became the 2016 DNC nominee in 2016.
Jesse Jackson ran for President in 1988. Obama won 20 years later.

Civil rights came first. Then suffrage. It will be another 20-30 years but a woman will be elected president of the United States. A woman has in fact won the popular vote for President of the United States.