2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread** (user search)
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  2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 24517 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« on: November 08, 2016, 04:54:58 PM »
Not exits but Trump's latest price on PredictIt before the exits comes out is around 20 cents. It was 22 cents the day before the first Comey letter then shot up to 36 cents last week but closed yesterday back at 22 cents after Comey's 2nd letter. 
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2016, 05:31:19 PM »
For comparison 2012 exits  (when decided to vote)
When Decide
Last few days/last week:9%
In october:11%
In september:9%
Before that:69%

So this year more people decided later
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2016, 05:39:54 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:32:36 PM
Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3



hmmm...
Quote from: Likely Voter on November 05, 2016, 12:55:08 AM
I would guess

White 70 (-2)
Black 12 (-1)
Hispanic 12 (+2)
Asian 4 (+1)
Other 2 (-)
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2016, 06:17:12 PM »
Comparing Ideological breakdown 2016 (vs 2012):
liberals 27 (+2)
moderates 39 (-2)
conservatives 35 (-)
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2016, 06:34:34 PM »
Party ID comparison (vs 2012)
Dem 37 (-1)
Independent 31 (+2)
Republican 32 (-)


So far the electorate looks
More Liberal (+2)
More Independent (+2)
More non-white (+2)
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344
« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2016, 06:46:07 PM »
Something to keep in mind at 7pm. 4 years ago only IN, KY, VT were called right away and GA, NH, SC, and VA were too close to call.   
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Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344
« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2016, 07:00:28 PM »
VA Demographics (changes since 2012)

Race
White 68 (-2)
Black 20 (-)
Latino 6 (+1)
Asian 3 (-)
Other 3 (+1)

Education
College Grad 57 (+3)
Non-College 43 (-3)
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Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344
« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2016, 07:11:21 PM »
GA was called at 8pm in 2012, VA wasn't called until around midnight I think.
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