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News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  PA: Trafalgar (R) - Trump + 1
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Author Topic: PA: Trafalgar (R) - Trump + 1  (Read 9096 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: November 07, 2016, 02:09:37 PM »

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B4lhKxf9pMiteE9pZkcwQnZ3TVk/view
Trump - 48
Clinton - 47
Johnson - 2
Stein - 1
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 02:10:11 PM »

Riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 02:10:49 PM »

el oh el
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 02:11:02 PM »

Sounds right relative to their others (i.e, move everything 5 points left).
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2016, 02:11:10 PM »

LOL,,,,

Trafalgar is pretty much a fake poll.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2016, 02:11:31 PM »

I think we've found the Rasmussen of 2016.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2016, 02:12:32 PM »

WOW!!! The rich women of the Northwestern Philly suburbs are coming home!!! Their husbands must have told them they would have to work if Hilliary implements the tax increases!! Huge, if true!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2016, 02:13:06 PM »

LOL,,,,

Trafalgar is pretty much a fake poll.

But you believed C+8 in Florida by TargetSmart, huh? Roll Eyes

I think this one will be less off Tongue


WOW!!! The rich women of the Northwestern Philly suburbs are coming home!!! Their husbands must have told them they would have to work if Hilliary implements the tax increases!! Huge, if true!
Ahahaahahaa
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2016, 02:14:40 PM »

Are we sure this isn't some fake pollster like the one a few months ago?
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2016, 02:15:48 PM »

Are we sure this isn't some fake pollster like the one a few months ago?
No they are real, they polled back in the primaries as well I believe
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Clamdick McClaw
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2016, 02:17:06 PM »

These are probably the same people that ran Long Room News.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 02:19:17 PM »

https://www.facebook.com/The-Trafalgar-Group-277956148932570/ Actually they've been doing private polling since 2012
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 02:19:26 PM »

Are we sure this isn't some fake pollster like the one a few months ago?
No they are real, they polled back in the primaries as well I believe

So did Overtime Politics.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 02:21:49 PM »

Why have we been getting a lot of Republican internals lately?
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Ljube
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2016, 02:28:19 PM »

Why have we been getting a lot of Republican internals lately?

I was just about to ask the same thing.
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Ljube
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2016, 02:30:32 PM »

So are we really going to add these to the database? Why?

The crosstabs seem right.

They may be on to something.
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dspNY
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2016, 02:31:33 PM »

Someone is cooking fake polls for Trump I see
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2016, 02:32:01 PM »

How good were they in the primaries and how "plausible" were they?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2016, 02:32:07 PM »

We might need to explore banning partisan pollsters at the rate the GOP is flooding us these last 2 weeks.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2016, 02:32:42 PM »

So are we really going to add these to the database? Why?

Every data point is sacred,
Every data point is good,
If a data point is ignored,
Nate gets quite irate.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2016, 02:37:00 PM »

Are we sure this isn't some fake pollster like the one a few months ago?
No they are real, they polled back in the primaries as well I believe

So did Overtime Politics.

lol - wish they were still a thing. I wanted to see some GE polling.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2016, 02:48:49 PM »

Folks, this proves that Trump wins if "those" people in Philadelphia don't vote 15 times. #SystemRigged #MAGA
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #22 on: November 07, 2016, 03:52:24 PM »

So are we really going to add these to the database? Why?
NEED MORE SH** TO F**K UP THE AVERAGE
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alomas
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« Reply #23 on: November 07, 2016, 05:14:48 PM »

Trump is up 2 points not 1.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #24 on: November 07, 2016, 05:17:12 PM »

This actually caused PA to move towards Clinton on 538. I guess, since PA is so safe D, this bumped Trafalgar's House Effect R-wards, which influenced NH/MI averages more than this influenced PA.
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