Who do you think will be the most vulnerable Senate Democrat in 2018?
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  Who do you think will be the most vulnerable Senate Democrat in 2018?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Skip
#1
Joe Manchin (WV)		  
#2
Bill Nelson (FL)		  
#3
Joe Donnelly (IN)		  
#4
Claire McCaskill (MO)		  
#5
Jon Tester (MT)		  
#6
Bob Menendez  (NJ)		  
#7
Heidi Heitkamp (ND)		  
#8
Sherrod Brown (OH)		  
#9
Bob Casey (PA)		  
#10
Tammy Baldwin (WI)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 32

Author Topic: Who do you think will be the most vulnerable Senate Democrat in 2018?  (Read 344 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« on: November 04, 2016, 08:09:13 PM »
Only adding potentially competitive or actually competitive races here.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 08:25:39 PM »
McCaskill
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2016, 10:43:44 PM »
Heitkamp because North Dakofa is by far the farthest right besides WV. ND has a PVI to the right of Mississippi.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 05:08:01 AM »
i'd say manchin tbh
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 05:10:59 AM »
One of McCaskill, Manchin, or Donnelly should be triaged ASAP.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2016, 11:20:21 AM »
Heitkamp is the most vulnerable one, but Manchin and Donnelly are the ones with the biggest risk to get blanched (but Manchin could also win).
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DavidB.
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2016, 11:47:50 AM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 05, 2016, 11:28:01 AM
Quote from: DavidB. on November 05, 2016, 11:20:21 AM
Heitkamp is the most vulnerable one, but Manchin and Donnelly are the ones with the biggest risk to get blanched (but Manchin could also win).
Just out of curiosity: What makes Heitkamp more vulnerable than McCaskill? Just because Roy Blunt is in such trouble this year doesn't mean that McCaskill will have an easier time winning reelection IMO. ND is a quite incumbent-friendly state and a state where retail politics matters.
ND is more Republican than MO. Definitely not saying McCaskill will win re-election though, lol, she's probably toast too. But you could be right on ND.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2016, 11:53:32 AM »
Heidi Heitkamp.

Missouri is leaning more Democratic in non-presidential elections (like senate and governor).
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2016, 11:56:44 AM »
Quote from: DavidB. on November 05, 2016, 11:47:50 AM
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 05, 2016, 11:28:01 AM
Quote from: DavidB. on November 05, 2016, 11:20:21 AM
Heitkamp is the most vulnerable one, but Manchin and Donnelly are the ones with the biggest risk to get blanched (but Manchin could also win).
Just out of curiosity: What makes Heitkamp more vulnerable than McCaskill? Just because Roy Blunt is in such trouble this year doesn't mean that McCaskill will have an easier time winning reelection IMO. ND is a quite incumbent-friendly state and a state where retail politics matters.
ND is more Republican than MO. Definitely not saying McCaskill will win re-election though, lol, she's probably toast too. But you could be right on ND.
ND is R+10 and MO is R+5. That means that Missouri is as Republican as Oregon is Democratic, while North Dakota is as Republican as Maryland and Massachusetts are Democratic.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2016, 12:12:21 PM »
Quote from: Representative Kingpoleon on November 05, 2016, 11:56:44 AM
Quote from: DavidB. on November 05, 2016, 11:47:50 AM
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 05, 2016, 11:28:01 AM
Quote from: DavidB. on November 05, 2016, 11:20:21 AM
Heitkamp is the most vulnerable one, but Manchin and Donnelly are the ones with the biggest risk to get blanched (but Manchin could also win).
Just out of curiosity: What makes Heitkamp more vulnerable than McCaskill? Just because Roy Blunt is in such trouble this year doesn't mean that McCaskill will have an easier time winning reelection IMO. ND is a quite incumbent-friendly state and a state where retail politics matters.
ND is more Republican than MO. Definitely not saying McCaskill will win re-election though, lol, she's probably toast too. But you could be right on ND.
ND is R+10 and MO is R+5. That means that Missouri is as Republican as Oregon is Democratic, while North Dakota is as Republican as Maryland and Massachusetts are Democratic.
I don't know about ND but in MO it's still quite possible to win a downballot race as a Democrat. See also Chris Koster, Jason Kander. Isn't Heitkamp more of an exception?
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2016, 03:26:49 PM »
Quote from: Representative Kingpoleon on November 05, 2016, 11:47:03 AM
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 05, 2016, 11:28:01 AM
ND is a quite incumbent-friendly state and a state where retail politics matters.
Larry Pressler, Tom Daschle, and Stephanie Herseth Sandlin would all like a word with you.

those are, uh, all south dakotans
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