What are the odds that 4 new polls now show the race tied or Trump ahead in NH are all off and Clinton is still ahead? According to 538, we have two B+, one C+ and one A-.
It seems like the appropriate view is that, at least for right now, she is either down slightly or teetering on the edge in New Hampshire.
That hardly kills her chances, and I don't think she is going to lose the election by any means, but why is there such a wide rejection of these polls? Doesn't it at least signify a worrying trend that there is little time to rectify?
She was never down in NH on RCP even through downright awful stretches of her campaign:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_trump_vs_clinton-5596.htmlbut now suddenly a painfully opaque letter from Comey that signifies pretty much nothing except that there are some more emails on top of the thousands of emails everyone already knew about, and suddenly the floor drops out? What the heck is that about.