NH-UMass Lowell: Tied (user search)
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  NH-UMass Lowell: Tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-UMass Lowell: Tied  (Read 5429 times)
Virginiá
Virginia
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« on: November 03, 2016, 09:33:48 PM »
« edited: November 03, 2016, 09:35:49 PM by Virginia »

What are the odds that 4 new polls now show the race tied or Trump ahead in NH are all off and Clinton is still ahead? According to 538, we have two B+, one C+ and one A-.

It seems like the appropriate view is that, at least for right now, she is either down slightly or teetering on the edge in New Hampshire.

That hardly kills her chances, and I don't think she is going to lose the election by any means, but why is there such a wide rejection of these polls? Doesn't it at least signify a worrying trend that there is little time to rectify?

She was never down in NH on RCP even through downright awful stretches of her campaign:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_trump_vs_clinton-5596.html

but now suddenly a painfully opaque letter from Comey that signifies pretty much nothing except that there are some more emails on top of the thousands of emails everyone already knew about, and suddenly the floor drops out? What the heck is that about.
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2016, 09:36:54 PM »

Where have you been? Tongue

It has been that way, since I registred here Roll Eyes

I'm talking about these specific NH polls. Please don't take my post and try to turn it into some new part of your unending insults of Atlas and its users.
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2016, 09:58:48 PM »

Lol, people here havent learned anything from 2012 and 2014, have they? Maine, Virginia, Michigan and Minnesota flip before NH.

TNVol is the Ralston of NH. I'll take his word on it. He's proven himself right enough times.

Perhaps, but all it takes now is one Democrat statewide loss to shatter a worldview he has been cultivating for what seems like years now.

That's some dangerous footing and I don't want to be around when the reality comes crashing down in the TN-verse.
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