|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 26, 2020, 05:51:53 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4
Author Topic: CNN/ORC polls: Trump ahead AZ NV, Clinton ahead FL and PA  (Read 5711 times)
jaichind
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,751
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2016, 11:06:47 am »

CNN/ORC polls: AZ: Trump 49 Clinton 44 NV: Trump 49 Clinton 43 FL: Clinton 49 Trump 47 PA Clinton 48 Trump 44

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/02/politics/polls-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-florida-pennsylvania-nevada-arizona/index.html
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,393
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 11:07:25 am »

Not as bad as I was expecting. 
Logged
Ronnie
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,982
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 11:07:44 am »

Nevada is ridiculous based on what we know about early voting, but the rest look plausible.
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,751
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2016, 11:08:06 am »

NV looks off given the other numbers.
Logged
Colby Covington 2024
ShadowOfTheWave
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,468
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 11:08:07 am »


Switch the numbers in FL, and take a point or two off Hillary's % in PA and it looks right.
Logged
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,868
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2016, 11:09:01 am »

NV to the right of AZ! #MNVGA
Logged
Mike88
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,411
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2016, 11:09:06 am »

The NV result is weird. All the rest seems plausible.
Logged
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,126
United States


P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 11:09:18 am »

NV is already practically secured, but we know how horrible NV polls are in general so w/e.

Clinton lead in FL and PA, of course, are great news overall.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 11:09:59 am »


Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,134
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2016, 11:10:10 am »

CNN leans right so this is good.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,177
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2016, 11:11:00 am »

Compared to previous:


8/23 AZ:

Trump nc
Clinton nc

9/12 FL:

Trump -3
Clinton +3

9/25 PA

Trump -3
Clinton -2

10/15 NV:

Trump +3
Clinton -7 (Huh)



Only positive movement for Trump is in NV, which....looks a bit odd, to say the least.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,941
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2016, 11:11:24 am »

Pity about AZ, but if they find Hillary down 6 in NV, maybe she does still have a chance there. NV polls are gonna NV poll, people. It's not a Trump state.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,393
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2016, 11:11:28 am »

Also Rubio is up only one in the poll.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2016, 11:12:04 am »

No. All CNN:s poll was adjusted +1 to Trump by 538 so far. Let see what happen to those.

Good news for Trump.
Clear D-lean Tongue
Logged
Yank2133
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,313


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2016, 11:12:49 am »

Those NV numbers are a joke.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,132
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2016, 11:14:27 am »

Ignoring the obviously garbage result in NV, great results for Clinton! Especially considering CNN's heavy R lean.
Logged
Colby Covington 2024
ShadowOfTheWave
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,468
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2016, 11:15:22 am »

All it takes is a white with no college degree surge on election day voting and NV is back in play.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,206
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2016, 11:16:58 am »

All it takes is a white with no college degree surge on election day voting and NV is back in play.

Luckily there are no indications in registration numbers or otherwise that imply such an occurrence.
Logged
Yank2133
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,313


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2016, 11:17:39 am »



No. All CNN:s poll was adjusted +1 to Trump by 538 so far. Let see what happen to those.

Good news for Trump.
Clear D-lean Tongue

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
EliteLX
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 982
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.64, S: 0.85

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2016, 11:20:19 am »

Time travel a year back to early 2016 Atlas and tell somebody that in the final week we would be seeing NV numbers to the right of Arizona, Utah is a toss-up, and OH and FL are almost showing to the right of North Carolina.

You would be beaten with a virtual bat.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2016, 11:21:07 am »

All it takes is a white with no college degree surge on election day voting and NV is back in play.

Luckily there are no indications in registration numbers or otherwise that imply such an occurrence.
The turnout among non-educated registred voters was low, IIRC. So IF Trump manages to get a highet turnout among those, he might win.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,206
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2016, 11:21:32 am »

Lol @ Toomey underperforming Trump. Stick a fork in him.
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,429
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2016, 11:21:48 am »

We already had enough garbage polls in the past few days, so CNN decided to add their own.
Logged
SunSt0rm
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 489
Netherlands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2016, 11:22:29 am »

Polls seems reasonable with the exception of Nevada
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,517
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2016, 11:23:10 am »

a 6 point lead in Nevada? rofl. Aren't the GOP burning up rural voters in early voting?

also lol Pennsylvania

But otherwise this looks kind of reasonable.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.135 seconds with 14 queries.