absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Ebsy]

Also, I'd rather be the person worrying about people leaving lines during early voting because so many supporters are turning out rather than a person worrying about smooth sailing because no one is voting at all.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

Also, I'd rather be the person worrying about people leaving lines during early voting because so many supporters are turning out rather than a person worrying about smooth sailing because no one is voting at all.

Maybe they could mail them in instead?

[Holmes]

People leaving the lines sucks but the more people early vote now, the less long the lines will be when they come back on election day.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

I like the idea of national mail in voting even if it might hurt my party, I love high voter turnout, I'm a weirdo lol

[BoAtlantis]

This is the same pattern from 2012... guess who got it right?

Latinos more likely to pick up their phone tends to be more fluent in English and is probably more conservative than the average Latino.

[izixs]

I like the idea of national mail in voting even if it might hurt my party, I love high voter turnout, I'm a weirdo lol

There's nothing weird about supporting a more complete democracy. Or at least it shouldn't be.

[JerryArkansas]

They just extended voting hours at a Mexican supermarket to 10 pm.  Close to 1000 people in line.  If you have a panic button GOP, find it.

Raston just now.

Don't think it really is that many, however it does illustrate a point.  Not sure if he is trolling though.  He might be.

[Dr. Arch]

They just extended voting hours at a Mexican supermarket to 10 pm.  Close to 1000 people in line.  If you have a panic button GOP, find it.

Raston just now.

Don't think it really is that many, however it does illustrate a point.

The firewall just gets taller and taller. Can't wait to hear about the net gains in NV tomorrow.

[Yank2133]

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[dspNY]

They just extended voting hours at a Mexican supermarket to 10 pm.  Close to 1000 people in line.  If you have a panic button GOP, find it.

Raston just now.

Don't think it really is that many, however it does illustrate a point.

The firewall just gets taller and taller. Can't wait to hear about the net gains in NV tomorrow.

[Speed of Sound]

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Game. Set. Match. Trump needs WI/PA. He cannot (he. cannot.) win with just NH and ME02. NV has blocked that path.

[Xing]

(ignore the "Democratic caucuses" part)

[Absolution9]

They just extended voting hours at a Mexican supermarket to 10 pm.  Close to 1000 people in line.  If you have a panic button GOP, find it.

Raston just now.

Don't think it really is that many, however it does illustrate a point.  Not sure if he is trolling though.  He might be.

Trump's been behind during practically the entirety of the election with only a minor glimmer of hope in the last week.  Did anyone in the GOP establishment actually think he was winning Nevada?  I doubt they are panicking, this wasn't unexpected.

[Holmes]

I like the idea of national mail in voting even if it might hurt my party, I love high voter turnout, I'm a weirdo lol

My husband and all my in-laws do voting by mail. It's so convenient. You get your ballot 3 weeks before the election and can fill it out and mail it right away. They're all on the "automatically send mail ballot" list so the ballots just come as soon as they're ready to go.

[ApatheticAustrian]

(ignore the "Democratic caucuses" part)

was there a lot of republican nevada talk when you changed your avatar?

seems prophetic now.

[dspNY]

This is why Clinton is still in Ohio: Franklin County expected to beat 2012 EV turnout

http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/11/04/early-voting-long-lines.html

[win win]

Dem early ballots down from 46% to 40% while R has stayed the same. Blamed on lower black turnouts.

[Speed of Sound]

I don't think Clinton is up by that much. It's lean D to be sure, but to say that Clinton already has it in the bag is just a little much, dux.

[win win]

I don't think Clinton is up by that much. It's lean D to be sure, but to say that Clinton already has it in the bag is just a little much, dux.

you got it wrong
trump has it in the bags

Lets it play it this way:

2012 D 893
2016 D 887

2012 R 585
2016 R 644

Clinton is underperforming Obama in 2012 at this point in early voting by some 70,000 votes. FYI Obama lost NC.

[Lief 🗽]

This is why Clinton is still in Ohio: Franklin County expected to beat 2012 EV turnout

http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/11/04/early-voting-long-lines.html

Clinton is campaigning hard in Ohio.  She was here tonight and she'll be back on Sunday.  Ohio early voting lasts through Monday too.  It's gonna be tight folks.

[Virginiá]

never, since it's mail-only.

How does their VbM work? Is it like Oregon where ballots need to be received in the mail by ED, or California where ballots need to be postmarked by ED?

Also, do they have ballot drop sites liberally distributed throughout every county, or do they need to be  mail or delivered to the county election office/courthouse?

This is a common misconception, especially on this forum. Colorado isn't mail-only. All active voters get a ballot in the mail, but there are also vote centers where people can go and register to vote/vote same day, update registration, drop off ballot, etc. There are just fewer of them since they began moving to mail voting. I forget the stats from 2014, but I think most people still voted in-person. Unless I have it backwards, it'll take time for people to move to mail only.

That being said, the proportion of people voting by mail right now in Colorado should be taken into account. In 2012, the system was completely different. If the GOP is gaining now, it might be better for them than it was in 2012, though I'm just speculating.

This could explain why black early voting started slow in NC.

It looks like NC blacks were handicapped through cancelled voter registrations.

Not at all. That was less than 7,000 registrations. North Carolina once again has same-day registration during early voting, so even if those people got de-registered, they could have registered again right before voting.

The reason for the dip is a combination of less enthusiasm, the hurricane and voter suppression (severe lack of early voting sites for first week and tweaks to election laws that created longer lines, such as elimination of straight-ticket voting)

Polls say it will.

[Xing]

You are in for a very rough election night if you think Trump has states like NC in the bag.

[BoAtlantis]

This is why Clinton is still in Ohio: Franklin County expected to beat 2012 EV turnout

http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/11/04/early-voting-long-lines.html

HuffPo average shows 43 each. I don't see why she should give up.

We'll see what Targetsmart poll shows on Sunday.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

I hope she makes a stop in PA, Michigan and Co.

[Ebsy]

We are currently seeing unprecedented levels of early voting in Nevada tonight. Wow!

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  3m3 minutes ago
"We will not turn people away," Election Dept spox tells me, saying voting places will stay open as long as it takes.
cc: Adelson News