FL-Trafalgar Group: Trump+4 (4-way), OCT. 27-31, C (according to 538) (user search)
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  FL-Trafalgar Group: Trump+4 (4-way), OCT. 27-31, C (according to 538) (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Trafalgar Group: Trump+4 (4-way), OCT. 27-31, C (according to 538)  (Read 1548 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,667
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« on: November 02, 2016, 08:52:24 AM »
Quote from: Donnie on November 02, 2016, 08:39:16 AM
FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 = FL-Trafalgar Group: Trump+4

The same b***it polls. FL is pure toss-up at this point.

Take FOUR off both and average them. Yeah. You get Hillary +2. I think this is gonna be teh Donald by 2. They are both really good fits for down there.

The ironic thing is that in Florida, when Trump talks about Mexicans, he is really talking about the Tampa boys that support him.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 08:56:38 AM »
Quote from: afleitch on November 02, 2016, 08:54:11 AM
Quote from: peterthlee on November 02, 2016, 08:52:51 AM
In this poll, Hillary is only leading Latinos by 56-39 and black 68-26. Trump wins white 59-37.
(Please deduce, critically, if this truly holds; and I'm not familiar with detailed demographics, so I won't comment much)

So not counting the early vote and having probably Trumps best numbers among AA's and Hispanics.

Trumps biggest lead in age cohort is 10 points among 26-35 year olds...

This would be a serious realignment that Trump is able to win Blacks and Youngs. That said, it looks like poop.
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