FL-Trafalgar Group: Trump+4 (4-way), OCT. 27-31, C (according to 538) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 02:16:31 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL-Trafalgar Group: Trump+4 (4-way), OCT. 27-31, C (according to 538) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL-Trafalgar Group: Trump+4 (4-way), OCT. 27-31, C (according to 538)  (Read 1560 times)
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
« on: November 02, 2016, 08:48:05 AM »


A few things that might be fiddling with this:

1. It's all automated calls. No mention of Spanish.
2. Almost all of the minority margins seem quite low for Clinton. Hard to believe that Latinx are 55-40, Blacks are 68-27, or that Trump is winning "other" at all, much less to do so by 13 points. Seems impossible that all three of those are true.
3. They weighted it to 2012 GE demos, which won't be very close to 2016 demos.

It's also based on a list of voters, yet they ask people to self identify their gender, race, etc...
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 13 queries.