Pew National: Clinton +6; +7 H2H

[psychprofessor]

http://www.people-press.org/2016/10/27/2-factors-underlying-voter-preferences-positive-and-negative-voting/

Clinton 46
Trump 40
Johnson 6
Stein 3

Clinton 50
Trump 43

Men: Trump +4 43/39
Women: Clinton +16 52/36

White: Trump +11 49/38
Black: Clinton +78 81/3
Hispanic: Clinton +47 65/18

White, college degree: Clinton +15 51/36 WOW
White, non college: Trump +25 56/31

Clinton even winning Catholics, 46/44 another WOW

[Dr. Arch]

Great Trump can't make up 6 points in less than two weeks 'til ED, especially with millions of people already having voted.

[psychprofessor]

Great Trump can't make up 6 points in less than two weeks 'til ED, especially with millions of people already having voted.

This is also showing a whiter electorate than 2012, which I'm not sure will manifest. Her top line Black and Hispanic numbers are somewhat lower than what will pan out. In my opinion, this is on the conservative side of her winning margin.

[Horus]

Trump in 3rd place among black voters once again, with 3%, this time losing to Johnson.

[BoAtlantis]

Pew was within 1.2% of every national poll every year so our hypothesis that the race is more or less 5-7 points lead for her is probably correct.

[ProudModerate2]

+6 works for me.
Go Hillary !

[Mr. Morden]

Crosstabs (again with Trump in 3rd place among blacks):

[RI]

Clinton even winning Catholics, 46/44 another WOW

Democrats usually win "Catholics" nationally.

[Ebsy]

Clinton even winning Catholics, 46/44 another WOW

Democrats usually win "Catholics" nationally.

I will be interested to see how white catholic break.

[Mr. Morden]

How voters supporting different candidates in the primaries now view Clinton and Trump:





Only 50% of Republicans who supported a candidate other than Trump in the primaries say that Trump “represents the core principles and positions their party should stand for”:



Clinton supporters much more favorable towards free trade agreements than Trump supporters:



Free trade agreements now far less popular among Republicans than they were just a few years ago:



Trump supporters much more likely than Clinton supporters to say that Russia isn’t much of a problem:

[dspNY]

Clinton 50, Trump 43
Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 6, Stein 3

http://www.people-press.org/2016/10/27/as-election-nears-voters-divided-over-democracy-and-respect/

[mark_twain]

Excellent!

[Dr. Arch]

I think this was posted earlier, but the title for this thread is more accurate.

[dspNY]

Excellent!

Poll taken 10/20 to 10/25 with around 2500 LVs so this is a classic gold standard Pew poll

[dspNY]

Excellent!

Poll taken 10/20 to 10/25 with around 2500 LVs so this is a classic gold standard Pew poll

Yeah, mods should merge this thread

[Landslide Lyndon]

I think this was posted earlier, but the title for this thread is more accurate.

Yeah, the other thread doesn't even mention the 2-way numbers.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

SIMPLY BREATHTAKING!!!

[NeverAgain]

MUH CLINTON UNDER 60!

[PollsDontLie]

I read somewhere that in 1997, 36% of people called were willing to do the Pew survey, whereas now only 9% are agreeable. 

On one hand you could argue that the low response rate just means they have to call more people, but on the other hand, that only works if the population percentage who are now declining the survey are (a) adequately represented by the lower response rate with more people called or (b) the polling company makes proper adjustments.  It will be interesting to see if Pew has adjusted properly (if at all) to this low response rate.