Both numbers look Great !
Florida has been consistent around the +4 mark.
And Texas in the R single-digits (as we have seen in other TX polls) ..... Wow !
PS: 538 adjusts the Florida number up from Clinton +3 to a +4.
And the Texas number is adjusted down from trump +3 to a +2.
What I find interesting is everyone's willingness to buy into 538's "unskewing". I get that they are unskewing based on house effect rather than Party ID, but I think we will look back on this election and note that it's not a proper method of evaluating polls. For example, Nate Silver's article on poll herding showed that perceived outliers that avoid the herding concept (Seltzer in that instance, I believe) often get the correct result.
TLDR: Perceived "house effects" may show correct turnout models and adjusting such numbers may be compounding error by forcing a "herding" effect.
