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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CBS/YouGov: Clinton +3 (FL), Trump +3 (TX)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Clinton +3 (FL), Trump +3 (TX)  (Read 3214 times)
dspNY
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« on: October 23, 2016, 09:32:23 am »

Florida: Clinton 46, Trump 43
Texas: Trump 46, Clinton 43

#BattlegroundTexas
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Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2016, 09:33:49 am »

Texas might be a scare for Republicans on Election Day. Glad to see FL has been solidly for Clinton in a long time. It's unlikely that will change now.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2016, 09:34:38 am »

Me thinks both will do better at their winning states.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2016, 09:35:35 am »

Not sure why Trump looks so happy in this picture:

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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2016, 09:36:12 am »

RIP Florida 4
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2016, 09:37:13 am »

link:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-battleground-tracker-hillary-clinton-leads-florida-donald-trump-narrowly-leads-texas/
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heatcharger
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2016, 09:37:54 am »

I know some people are tired of the "did they poll in Spanish?" meme, but it could be really important in these two states.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2016, 09:38:16 am »

So would  T+3 in Texas suggest that Clinton is maintaining a large lead? I know there are some interesting shifts in the party coalitions, but is it possible for her to win nationally by, for instance, +7 and still lose by only 3-4 in Texas? I feel like she has to be ahead by more than 6 - 7 or so to have these numbers in TX.
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Arch
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2016, 09:39:35 am »

When there is a consistent Clinton+3 or higher in FL, and people feel disappointed, you know you're doing well.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2016, 09:39:47 am »

Trump should tweet that he's up in Texas by an overpowering 3%.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2016, 09:40:01 am »



Also, when Republicans were asked how they would vote in a hypothetical re-do of the presidential primary, 35% said they'd vote for Trump while 25% said they'd vote for Rubio.
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dspNY
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2016, 09:40:49 am »

Florida poll PDF:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/tczhqlhzzs/FL_Final_20161023.pdf

Texas poll PDF:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/1zhdvfbx7y/TX_Final_20161023.pdf
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ReapSow
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2016, 09:44:19 am »

Trump should tweet that he's up in Texas by an overpowering 3%.

"Great poll out of Texas! Thank you! #DrainTheSwamp #MAGA"

"Polls are rigged! Enthusiasm is in our side! #MAGA"

"Great new poll out of Florida! Clinton down one from last week! #MAGA"
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2016, 09:46:07 am »

Full #s with Johnson and Stein included:

Florida
Clinton 46%
Trump 43%
Johnson 3%
Stein 2%

Texas
Trump 46%
Clinton 43%
Johnson 5%
Stein 1%
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politicallefty
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2016, 09:49:08 am »

I want Hillary to win Texas so bad. It's so close!

To any Texas Democrat here, vote Hillary! You live in a battleground state now and can't afford to waste your vote.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2016, 09:54:20 am »

Florida:
men: Trump +2
women: Clinton +6
age 18-29: Clinton +15
age 30-44: Clinton +10
age 45-64: tie
age 65+: Trump +7
whites: Trump +15
blacks: Clinton +80
Hispanics: Clinton +19
Dems: Clinton +86
GOP: Trump +74
Indies: Trump +11

Texas:
men: Trump +6
women: Trump +1
age 18-29: Clinton +21
age 30-44: Clinton +8
age 45-64: Trump +14
age 65+: Trump +22
whites: Trump +37
blacks: Clinton +78
Hispanics: Clinton +30
Dems: Clinton +89
GOP: Trump +77
Indies: Trump +19

Johnson is still strong with the kiddies.  In Texas, he's at 17% among voters under 30 and 0% among voters over 65.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2016, 09:55:29 am »

I want Hillary to win Texas so bad. It's so close!

To any Texas Democrat here, vote Hillary! You live in a battleground state now and can't afford to waste your vote.

Early voting starts tomorrow, you can't say you didn't have time. I'm voting for Clinton in TX tomorrow morning!
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Trapsy
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« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2016, 09:57:57 am »

Let's drop the "TX isn't' a battleground state" talk. 2016 lol.
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dspNY
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« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2016, 09:58:11 am »

I want Hillary to win Texas so bad. It's so close!

To any Texas Democrat here, vote Hillary! You live in a battleground state now and can't afford to waste your vote.

Early voting starts tomorrow, you can't say you didn't have time. I'm voting for Clinton in TX tomorrow morning!

Your vote really matters now!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2016, 10:10:35 am »

Also, when Republicans were asked how they would vote in a hypothetical re-do of the presidential primary, 35% said they'd vote for Trump while 25% said they'd vote for Rubio.


More proof that the pussy tape wouldn't have costed Trump in the primary.
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Holmes
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« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2016, 10:18:59 am »

R+10 districts, no. But R+2 and R+3 ones, yes.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #21 on: October 23, 2016, 10:26:06 am »

I want Hillary to win Texas so bad. It's so close!

To any Texas Democrat here, vote Hillary! You live in a battleground state now and can't afford to waste your vote.

Early voting starts tomorrow, you can't say you didn't have time. I'm voting for Clinton in TX tomorrow morning!

Excellent! [/Mr. Burns tapping fingers] A Democratic Texas will be historic. I really hope Hillary has a campaign rally in the DFW Metroplex before this month is over. Ffs, Hillary is within 3 points of winning Texas!
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Cosmopolitanism Will Win
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« Reply #22 on: October 23, 2016, 12:30:33 pm »

No way those States are only 6 points from each other.
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #23 on: October 23, 2016, 12:31:11 pm »

One of these polls must be wrong
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #24 on: October 23, 2016, 12:32:55 pm »
« Edited: October 23, 2016, 12:40:19 pm by ProudModerate2 »

Both numbers look Great !
Florida has been consistent around the +4 mark.
And Texas in the R single-digits (as we have seen in other TX polls) ..... Wow !

PS: 538 adjusts the Florida number up from Clinton +3 to a +4.
And the Texas number is adjusted down from trump +3 to a +2.
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