IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2 (user search)
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  IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll thread FINAL - Trump + 1/ Trump + 2  (Read 15878 times)
republicanx
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« on: October 22, 2016, 11:26:12 AM »

if there is a 2-3 point bias this race is essentially tied.
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republicanx
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2016, 11:30:50 AM »

if there is a 2-3 point bias this race is essentially tied.

Practically every national poll and all state polls point otherwise, so no. There's no way Trump is even close to a tie with Texas being in the low single-digits, and him under performing in Rep states that are usually 60%+ like ID.

texas will stay republican so will georgia etc, clinton is underperforming in early voting especially in nc not hitting 2012 #'s where she needs to do well or trump will win esp in a close race.
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republicanx
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2016, 11:35:54 AM »

if there is a 2-3 point bias this race is essentially tied.

Practically every national poll and all state polls point otherwise, so no. There's no way Trump is even close to a tie with Texas being in the low single-digits, and him under performing in Rep states that are usually 60%+ like ID.
texas will stay republican so will georgia etc, clinton is underperforming in early voting especially in nc not hitting 2012 #'s where she needs to do well or trump will win esp in a close race.

No, she is not under performing in NC. Dem numbers are slightly up and Rep numbers are extremely down.
slightly up? i mean electproject is saying something different. Also, 6% less blacks voting from 2012 and if there r more white they r voting for trump... 25% of whites in NC r voting for clinton.
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republicanx
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2016, 12:04:45 PM »

slightly up? i mean electproject is saying something different. Also, 6% less blacks voting from 2012 and if there r more white they r voting for trump... 25% of whites in NC r voting for clinton.

ALL are down from 2012 cause of a lack of voting stations but republicans are significant weaker than 2012 atm.



There you go

comparison to 2012 how how much was the lead democrats had going into election day
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republicanx
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2016, 12:17:23 PM »

Democrats up 60k at the moment correct? Do they usually increase over time or do republicans close the gap near election day? (sorry for al these questions) The stats r so interesting to me.
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republicanx
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2016, 12:36:55 PM »

is there possibility that the "white democrats" are voting trump and haven't changed their registration.
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republicanx
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2016, 12:41:44 PM »

I have family who r registered democrats and voting trump (voted obama twice). thats why i was wondering.
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republicanx
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2016, 12:45:22 PM »

Yup, i'm from nj so it's happening there as well even tho it ain't a swing state.
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